Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 27 Updates: +85 PUD, +46 NAG, +36 DNHDD, +36 MEG, +23 CHD, +21 LDK, +20 ANI, +10 SKM, and early numbers +448 RAJ, +130 JH, +55 HP

Update: +1503 in ODI... Ganjam and Khorda (Bhubaneswar) ok, but Cuttack has a +136 (8%) jump.
Data: 9703 tests @15.% in ODI... They need to drop it, but Sunday positivity is often high. Still not doing AG tests?
Update: +1473 in TEL... From 9817 tests @ 15% ... That is a jump.
Update: +2192 in BIH... They always have cases from earlier days added (so it's not all from Sunday)
Data: 14236 tests in BIH @ 15.4%. They also need to test a lot more. No way but to do AG tests.
Update: +613 in DEL... It is a Sunday drop due to reduced testing, but a bit more than expected!
Data: 11506 tests (7685 AG) in DEL @ 5.3%
Update: +3505 in UP... 312 Lucknow, 248 Kanpur, 162 Prayag, 146 Varanasi, 139 Shahjahanpur, 136 Gorakhhpur.
Data: 106962 tests in UP at 3.3% positivity. They added 50K more tests/day in just TWO days. :notworthy:
Comment: UP did 57K on Fri, 77K on SAT, and to 107K on SUN. Not too focused on AG testing? Fine. Just test.
Update: +6051 in AP... 655+1210 in Vishakh+E.Godavari... Vijayawada (Krishna) still low. Not testing much?
Data: 43127 tests (16453 AG) in AP @ 14%... A drop from 16 to 14 on a Sunday, is very good news!
Update: +702 in KER with 17588 tests (8654 AG) @ 4.0% positivity. Th'puram 161. Kochi with 15, not testing well?
Update: +6993 in TN with 1138 in Chennai, but +687 in Thoothukudi/Virudhunagar. Horrible.
Data: 63250 tests @ 11.1% positivity. TN needs to stop being stubborn. Add 30K AG tests please! :damn:
Update: +470 in J&K
Update: +5324 in KAR with 1470 in Bengaluru and 840 in Ballary.
Data: 28224 tests (9708 AG) @ 18.9% ... And Karnataka is now a Maharashtra. :damn:
Update: +789 in MP, +551 in PUN, +1052 in GUJ, +795 in HAR, +258 in Goa (big jump)
Data: 25474 tests in GUJ @ 4.1%... Rose from 8K/day to 15K over a week, then to 20K SAT. Now 25K. :dance:
Update: +7924 in MAH with 1021 in Mumbai, 1432 in Thane, 1927 in Pune
Data: 39103 tests @ 20.3% ... +8240 off 36358 tests @ 22.6% last MON. So, a clear improvement! :dance:
Update: +224 in UK... +51 in MNP
Update: +2112 in WB
Update: +686 in RAJ (night) for 1134 today... +250 in CHG (evening)... +39 in HP (night) to 94
Update: +324 in JH (night) for 454 today
Update: +1348 in ASM (only 155 in Guwahati)... +147 in TPR... +81 in ARP

+46,367 and that is a final (unless CHG or MIZ does a late +100 update) - EDIT: CHG did do a late update of a +117, so it is 46,484


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 27 Summary: +46,484 to 1,482,503 at a daily growth rate of 3.327% and doubling period of 21.8 days
Deaths: +636 to 33,448... Not a bad day. The overall death rate has fallen to 2.26%
Recoveries: +34,444 to 953,189. The overall recovery ratio improves to 64.3%

Bad Areas:
+5437 (6.9%) to 84139 outside Chittoor/Krishna/Srikakulam in the state of AP
+4498 (5.6%) to 84529 outside Chennai/Chengalpattu/Thiruvallur/Vellore/Madurai in the state of TN
+3468 (9.7%) to 39378 outside Bengaluru/D.Kannada/U.Kannada/Hassan/Yadgir/Bidar/Chikkab./Bagalkote, KAR
+1961 (6.4%) to 32765 outside Bhagalpur/Muzaffarpur/Rohtas/Begusarai/Siwan, BIH
+1503 (5.9%) to 26892 in the state of ODI
+1255 (7.6%) to 17672 Lucknow/Kanpur/Barabanki/Hard./Shahj./Bar./Ramp./Pili./Farr./Kann./Ham./Jal., UP
+1193 (6.6%) to 19391 outside Guwahati in the state of ASM
+996 (8.6%) to 12623 Ghazip./Chand./Varan./Bhado./Praya./Azam./S.Kab./Basti/Gon./Gorakh./Jaun./Siddha., UP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.327*1.25 = 4.046%) and 700+ new cases... The bad areas together had +20,311 cases to take their total to 317,389 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.83%... The rest of the country had +26,173 cases to take their total to 1,165,114 at a good area growth rate of 2.30%. Today's good areas are where 78.6% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 28 Updates: +139 PUD, +75 NAG, +41 MEG, +34 DNHDD, +25 ANI, +24 SKM, +24 CHD, +23 MIZ, +21 LDK, and early updates +406 RAJ, +74 JH, +12 HP

Update: +1610 in TEL with 531 in Hyderabad and 152 in Warangal
Data: 15839 tests @ 10.2%
Update: +1215 in ODI ... Dropping numbers?
Update: +2480 in BIH ... Patna drops to +414 but other places rise.
Data: 16275 tests in BIH @ 15.2%... Certainly not enough.
Update: +1056 in DEL
Data: 18544 tests (13701 AG) in DEL @ 5.7% ... Holding pattern now.
Update: +7948 in AP
Data: 62979 tests (32100 AG) in AP @ 12.6% ... This dropped by about 3 percent from late last week. Good. :)
Update: +1167 in KER... Unable to drop numbers fast. Veg market in Kottayam added 100+
Data: 18431 tests (10481 AG) @ 6.3% in KER
Update: +6972 in TN... 1107 in Chennai but +577 in Virudhunagar. Stop this dumb bullcrap, TN. :damn:
Data: 61153 tests @ 11.4%. Maybe the rising positivity will tell them to do AG tests. Stubborn idiot officials.
Update: +3458 in UP... 335 Bareilli, 247 Lucknow, 267 Kanpur, 191 Jaunpur, 138 Varanasi, 125 Prayagraj,
Data: 91830 tests in UP @ 3.8%... 10K less than yesterday. So it's not UP that raised our testing today! Good :)
Update: +489 in J&K... Very high level of testing seems to help keep it in control in J&K?
Update: +5536 in KAR (102 deaths :() with +1898 in Bengaluru. Need to control Ballary (+452).
Data: 37720 tests (16340 AG) @ 14.7%... Phew, it dropped from 18 yesterday.
Update: +749 HAR, +628 in MP, +609 in PUN, +259 in UK, +31 MNP
Update: +7717 in MAH... A real drop in MAH finally?? YES. Mumbai 717, Thane 1069, Pune 2195 :dance:
Data: 43160 tests in MAH @ 17.9% ... 4K more tests than last Tuesday. 3% less positivity. This is great! :dance:
Update: +168 in Goa, +1108 in GUJ, +277 CHG (evening)
Update: +2134 in WB
Data: 17021 tests @ 12.5% ... They had 13K tests for 2300 @ 17% last Tuesday. Things improving in WB too!! :dance:
Update: +666 in RAJ (night) for 1072 today... +686 in JH (night) for 760... +48 in HP (night) for 60.
Update: +1371 in ASM with 295 in Guwahati/Kamrup... +222 in TPR... +91 ARP
Update: +29 in CHG (night) for 306 today.

+49,632 and that is a final!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 28 Summary: +49,632 to 1,532,135 at a daily growth rate of 3.348% and a doubling period of 21.1 days
Deaths: +770 to 34,224... Not a good day but the overall death rate still drops to 2.23%
Recoveries: +35,671 to 988,770... Overall recovery ratio improves to 64.5%

Bad Areas:
+7373 (8.3%) to 96579 outside Vishakhapatanam/Krishna(Vijayawada) in the state of AP
+5057 (5.9%) to 91000 outside D.Kannada(Mangaluru)/U.Kannada/Udupi/Shivamogga/Yadgir/Bidar, KAR
+3831 (5.8%) to 69931 outside Chennai/Cheng./Thiruval./Kanchee./Rani./Vell./Salem/Tiruchi./Madurai, TN
+2249 (6.8%) to 35300 outside Bhagalpur/Begusarai/Munger/Siwan/W.Champ/E.Champ, BIH
+1109 (6.1%) to 19383 (+654+455 to 12776+6607) Aurangabad + Ahmednagar/Buldhana/Beed/Parbhani/Latur, MAH
+1079 (6.6%) to 17386 outside Kasaragod/Kannur/Idukki in the state of KER
+905 (7.1%) to 13629 in Ghazip./Chand./Varan./Bhado./Praya./Azam./Siddha./Basti/Ayod./Gon./Gorakh./Jaun., UP
+855 (4.4%) to 20467 outside Guwahati in the state of ASM
+791 (13.0%) to 6897 in Sitapur/La.Kheri/Pilibhit/Bareilli/Rampur/Amroha/Sambhal/Moradabad, UP
+760 (8.6%) to 9563 in the state of JH

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.348*1.25 = 4.184%) and 700+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,009 cases to take their total to 380,135 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.74%... The rest of the country had +25,623 cases to take their total to 1,152,000 at a good area growth rate of 2.27%. Today's good areas are where 75.2% of our current cases are.

Bihar and Jharkhand... That is where the real growth is, now. Need to watch how bad it might get.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 29 Updates: +65 ANI, +53 NAG, +44 CHD, +38 DNHDD, +20 LDK, +17 SKM, +11 MIZ, +5 MEG, and early numbers +328 RAJ, +105 JH, +34 HP

Update: +1764 in TEL with 509 in Hyderabad (& about +500 in 3 surrounding districts). +180 in two Warangal districts.
Data: 18858 tests @ 9.3%... Thank you, KCR :)
Update: +1068 in ODI
Update: +2388 in BIH @ 13.4%... Need more tests.
Data: 17794 tests in BIH @ 13.4%
Update: +3383 in UP... Lucknow/Kanpur stable at ~ 250 each. Gorakhpur 176 . Prayagraj 150.
Data: 87754 tests (52195 AG) in UP @ 3.9% positivity. Again, :notworthy:
Update: +540 in J&K... Sreenagar stable at +204.
Data: 11652 tests in J&K @ 4.6% ... They have always kept a low positivity. Still testing well. Good :)
Update: +10093 in AP ... 3300 in Ananta./Chittoor/Kurnool/Guntoor. 841 in Vishakaha. Vijayawada low.
Data: 70584 tests (37119 AG) in AP @ 14.3%... So many asymp cases; no quarantining. What's the point in such testing?
Update: +903 in KER
Data: 23624 tests (12201 AG) in KER @ 3.8% ...
Update: +5503 in KAR with 2270 in Bengaluru.
Data: 32990 tests (16995 AG) in KAR for 16.7% positivity. No improvement :(
Update: +6426 in TN with 1117 in Chennai but about 1240 in the 5 southern-most TN districts.
Data: 60794 tests in TN for 10.6%
Update: 1035 in DEL
Data: 17392 tests (12318 AG) in DEL @ 6.0% ... Now more RT-PCR and containment needed. Not improving.
Update: +568 in PUN, +917 in MP, +755 in HAR, +202 Goa, +279 UK, +141 MNP
Data: 3780 tests in UK @ 7.4%, so things are not getting bad in places like Dehradun (+27 today).
Update: +1144 in GUJ.. +166 PUD
Update: +9211 in MAH... 1109 Mumbai, 1421 Thane, 2591 Pune.
Data: 47675 tests @ 19.3% in MAH. It was +106K with 46.6K tests @ 22.7% last WED, so a big improvement :)
Update: +2294 in WB... Nothing really flaring up in WB. That is good news :)
Data: 17144 tests @ 13.4% in WB
Update: +229 in CHG (evening; may update later)
Update: +816 in RAJ (night) for 1144 today... +39 in HP (night) for 73.
Update: +1348 in ASM (348 in Guwahati), +226 in JH (night) for 331 today... +80 in ARP
Data: 18941 tests in ASM @ 7.1... They're still staying out of trouble.
Update: +85 in CHG (night) for 314 today. Flat pattern there. Good :)

+52,263 with TPR to come. It doesn't look like they will report today. So this looks like the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 29 Summary: +52,263 to 1,584,384 at a daily growth rate of 3.411% and a doubling period of 20.7 days.
Deaths: +775 to 35,003... The death numbers generally flat these days. Overall death rate drops to 2.21%
Recoveries: +32,829 to 1,021,611, so the overall recovery ratio is 64.5%

Bad Areas:
+9834 (9.4%) to 114131 outside Krishna(Vijayawada) and Vizianagaram districts in the state of AP
+4827 (5.3%) to 95303 outside D.Kannada/U.Kannada/Udupi/Vijaypura/Bagalkote/Raichur districts, KAR
+1639 (6.6%) to 26623 outside Patna/Bhagalpur/Muzaffarpur/Gaya/Begusarai/Siwan/Munger/Nawada districts, BIH
+1296 (8.0%) to 17501 in Ghazip./Varan./Bhado./Praya./Azam./Sid./Ayod./Gon./S.Kab./Gorakh./Maha./Jaun./Bal./Deo./Kush., UP
+1266 (5.9%) to 22851 in Virudhunagar/Thoothukudi/Tirunelveli/Kanyakumari, TN
+670 (6.1%) to 11641 outside Ganjam/Puri/Cuttack/Jagats./Jajpur/Kendhujhar/Mayurbhanj/Kendrapara/Bhadrak/Balasore, ODI

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.411*1.25 = 4.264%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +19,532 cases to take their total to 380,135 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.27%... The rest of the country had +32,731 cases to take their total to 1,296,334 at a good area growth rate of 2.59%. Today's good areas are where 81.8% of our current cases are.

The bad areas have shrunk to a few spots (especially AP) that are *really* bad now. The rest of the country is all well under 2.75% in growth rate (about 26 days doubling period). But many rural districts are indeed growing at around 3% rate, so we need it to drop soon to 2% or less.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 30 Updates: +121 PUD, +48 NAG, +42 ANI, +38 CHD, +35 DNHDD, +31 LDK, +19 MEG, +14 SKM, +14 MIZ, and early numbers +365 RAJ, +134 JH, +11 HP

Update: +1811 in TEL with 521 in Hyderabad (and 473 in 3 nearby dists). All calm.
Data: 18263 tests @ 9.9% in TEL.
Update: +1203 in ODI
Update: +2082 in BIH... This is a nice drop in numbers. Patna stable at +411
Data: 20801 tests in BIH @ 10.0%... Good :)
Update: +3705 in UP ... 485 in Lucknow, 208 Kanpur, 153 Varanasi, 133 Prayagraj, 125 Moradabad.
Data: 88967 tests (51484 AG) in UP @ 4.16% ... slight rise there.
Update: +5864 in TN .... Finally a good drop!! :) ... Chennai 1175. Coimbatore (+330) is the lone issue.
Data: 61202 tests @ 9.6%... Nice drop from 10.6 yesterday! Good :)
Update: +506 in KER... Very good drop by 400 cases :dance: Th'puram down to 70.
Data: 21580 tests in KER @ 2.3%, so the tests weren't less by much. Positivity down 40%. Good :)
Update: +450 in J&K
Update: +10167 in AP... No drop, but at least no rise! Vishakhapatnam 1223
Data: 70,068 tests (38758 AG) @ 14.5%... About the same as yesterday.
Update: +6128 in KAR with 2233 Bengaluru and 430 Mysuru.
Data: 38095 tests (20488 AG) @ 16.1%
Update: +1159 in GUJ... +834 in MP... +510 in PUN
Update: +11147 in MAH... 1208 Mumbai, 1501 Thane, 3309 Pune, 342 Nagpur.
Data: 53894 tests @ 20.7% positivity. Looks like the AG tests in MAH are not added to their test total.
Update: 1093 in DEL... Holding pattern. If you don't enforce containment, you won't drop it further, Khichdi.
Data: 19475 tests (13944 AG) in DEL @ 5.6%
Update: +623 in HAR... +215 in Goa... +47 MNP
Update: +2434 in WB
Data: 18042 tests @ 13.5% ... At least WB is increasing the test numbers at 500 per day.
Update: +791 in RAJ (night) to 1156 today... +175 in CHG (evening)..
Update: +2112 in ASM. Big jump from a big rise in tests. 283 in Guwahati but a huge rise elsewhere :(
Data: 41028 tests in ASM... The testing is still at 5.1% positivity
Update: +371 in JH... +199 in UK... +92 in HP (night) to 103... +81 in CHG (night) for 256
Update: +74 in ARP, and that pushes us over 55K today.
Update: +216 in TPR
Comment: TPR reported early today; shouldn't be added to yesterday; looks like they'll report next day, now on)

+54,966 ... and that is the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 30 Updates: +54,966 to 1,639,350 at a daily growth rate of 3.469% and a doubling period of 20.4 days
(NOTE: Tripura count of +216 is added to today, not yesterday, unlike at Covid19india.org)
Deaths: +783 to 35,786... The overall death rate drops to 2.18%
Recoveries: +37,425 to 1,059,093... Overall recovery ratio is 64.6%

Bad Areas:
+10167 (8.4%) to 130557 in the state of AP
+3697 (6.6%) to 59804 outside Bengaluru and Mangaluru (D.Kannada) districts, KAR
+1829 (8.5%) to 23296 outside Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) district in the state of ASM
+1123 (8.4%) to 14418 (342+781 to 4494+9924) Nagpur + Amra./Chan./Gon/Gad./Bhan./War./Yav./Nand./Parb./Lat./Osm./Beed, MAH
+1107 (7.2%) to 16493 (+486+496+125 to 7615+7149+1729) Lucknow+ Unn./Hard./Kann./Shahj./Pili./Bareil./Ramp. +Moradabad, UP
+1049 (7.2%) to 15583 in 16 districts in two connected strips (Ballia to Prayagraj and Mirzapur to Ayodhya to Sitapur), UP
+1049 (5.7%) to 19393 (411+638 to 8229+11164) in Patna/Nalanda/Vaishali/Begusarai/Saran/Bhojpur/Buxar/Rohtas/Kaimur, BIH
+855 (9.0%) to 10367 (+395+208+252 to 4571+3704+2092) in Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+853 (6.1%) to 14852 (+303+550 to 4647+10205) in Coimbatore + Nil./Tiruppur/Dind./Theni/Karur/Nama., TN
+805 (5.9%) to 14412 outside Ganjam/Nayagarh/Puri/Jagats./Jajpur/Kendhujhar/Mayurbhanj/Kendrapara/Balasore, ODI

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.469*1.25 = 4.337%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +22,534 cases to take their total to 319,175 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.59%... The rest of the country had +32,432 cases to take their total to 1,320,175 at a good area growth rate of 2.52%. Today's good areas are where 80.5% of our current cases are.

The central-most region of India around Nagpur just got into the bad list, so the nation-wide spread is finally complete. Now we await how soon these small/medium city/town district cases will calm down in AP, MAH, KAR, Assam, etc. Again, vast regions have now gone down to a 2.50% growth rate, so keep hope alive :)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 31 Updates: +78 ANI, +46 DNHDD, +35 CHD, +29 SKM, +26 LDK, +20 MEG, -1 MIZ, and early numbers +362 RAJ, +89 JH, +6 HP

Update: +127 in NAG... This is one NE state that is NOT testing well at all. Just 418 tests @ 30% :(
Update: +1986 in TEL with 586 in Hyderabad (521 in three surrounding districts). Mild growth.
Data: 21380 tests @ 9.3%
Update: +2986 in BIH ... The numbers are growing at a decent rate.
Data: 22,742 tests in BIH @ 13.1%... They need to do at least twice as many tests. Urgently. Look at AP, please.
Update: +1499 in ODI
Update: +4422 in UP with Lucknow 573, Kanpur 321, Bareilli 294, Prayagraj 232
Data: 115,618 tests in UP @ 3.8% positivity :notworthy:. UP may go up a lot more before flattening (200M poeple!)
Update: +1195 in DEL where the curve is fully flat but not dropping
Delhi: 19091 tests (13462 AG) @ 6% ... Need more PCR tests there, and tracing/containment.
Update: +10736 in AP ... The numbers are flat for now in all districts. Still 7.9% growth :(
Data: 61699 tests (35024 AG) in AP @ 17.4%... Too high, still.
Update: +490 in J&K... Generally flat or dropping for now. Tests were a bit fewer at 10128, but @ 4.8%...
Update: +5881 in TN... Finally Coimbatore also dropping and out of the bad list :)
Data: 60276 tests in TN @ 9.8% ... The curve is flat now in TN
Update: +1310 in KER... Th'puram 322. Kochi 132. Not done with trouble just yet.
Data: 21867 tests (12095 AG) in KER @ 6% ... They shouldn't let this go up any higher!
Update: +174 in PUD. They need to test and contain a lot more. Stop learning from idiot TN officials on AG testing.
Update: +5483 in KAR with 2220 in Bengaluru... Things are flat for now in the state.
Data: 36936 tests (22164 AG) in KAR @ 14.8% ... A slight improvement.
Update: +663 in PUN (on average, very mild growth)
Update: +1153 in GUJ... The state has flat numbers. Cities are dropping, rural districts with some growth
Update: +838 in MP... The state has flat numbers. Cities dropping, some rural districts with mild growth
Update: +711 in HAR... +116 in MNP... +118 in UK
Update: +10320 in MAH... 1085 Mumbai, 1558 Thane, 3006 Pune, 341 Nagpur,
Data: 59970 tests @ 17.3% ... So things improved today.
Update: +2496 in WB ... Flat in the 5 Kolkata area districts (about 1800). Darjeeling/CoochBehar with some numbers.
Data: 19003 tests in WB @ 13.1% ... Another 5.5% raise in tests and only 2.5% rise in cases.
Update: +230 CHG (evening)... +209 Goa... +52 HP (night) for 58
Update: +785 in RAJ (night) for 1147 today. This state is flat... just flat
Update: +826 in JH (night) for 915 today. That is quite a growth there today :(
Update: +1862 in ASM... Guwahati (+281) is flat but other districts have some decent growth.
Data: 38324 tests in ASM @ 4.9% ... So it didn't worsen from the 5.1 yesterday. Good :)
Update: +106 in CHG (night) for 336 today... +107 in ARP

+57,212 is the final

(Need to add +219 from TPR reported today to this total, for 57,431. Covid19india added it to yesterday's total)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 31 Summary: +57,431 to 1,696,780 at a daily growth rate of 3.503% and a doubling period of 20.2 days
Deaths: +764 to 36,551... The death numbers have been rather flat lately. Overall death rate falls to 2.15%
Recoveries: +36,554 to 1,095,647... Overall recovery ratio: 64.6%

Bad Areas:
+10376 (7.9%) to 140933 in the state of AP
+2741 (5.7%) to 51035 outside Bengaluru/D.Kannada/Kalaburagi/Yadgir/Chikkab./Kolar/Koppal, KAR
+2595 (7.0%) to 39616 outside Bhagalpur/Begusarai/Samastipur/W & E Champaran/Nawada/Munger/Jehanabad, BIH
+1581 (6.8%) to 24877 outside Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) district in the state of ASM
+1523 (11.8%) to 20016 (+563+321+639 to 8178+5018+6820) in Lucknow + Kanpur+ 7 districts (Hardoi to Bareilli), UP
+1281 (8.7%) to 16032 in two connected strips of 17 districts (Prayag to Bahraich and Sultanpur to Kushianagar), UP
+1184 (7.5%) to 16867 (+341+520+323 to 4855+7272+4740) Nagpur + Wardha/Yavatmal/Nanded/Parbhani/Latur/Beed + Osman., MAH
+980 (6.8%) to 15353 outside Ganjam/Puri/Jagats./Kendrapara/Jajpur/Kendhujhar/Mayurbhanj/Bhadrak/Balasore, ODI
+910 (8.8%) to 11277 (+489+168+253 to 5060+3704+2092) in Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+658 (4.6%) to 14792 (363+295 to 7865+7107) in Virudhunagar/Thoothukkudi, TN
[JH and KER have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.503*1.25 = 4.379%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +23,829 cases to take their total to 350,798 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.29%... The rest of the country had +33,602 cases to take their total to 1,345,982 at a good area growth rate of 2.56%. Today's good areas are where 79.3% of our current cases are.

Pretty much the same bad areas as in the last several days. Some vigorous growth to the north west of Lucknow-Kanpur in UP, up to Bareilli. Lots of village district cases coming from Bihar as well (which is actually good to see) - small numbers, though they add up. The Kolhapur area, south west side of Maharashtra is also flaring, but should die out soon. No big flares anywhere else. AP may have flattened a bit. TN is almost out of the bad list.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 1 Updates: Only minimal updates (if at all) today - due to some heavy work commitments/deadlines for me. May edit tomorrow.

Smaller/early ones: +134 PUD, +138 NAG, +88 ANI, +45 DNHDD, +33 MEG, +28 CHD, +11 SKM, +5 MIZ, and +563 RAJ, +52 JH, +32 HP

Bigger: +2083 TEL... +1602 ODI... +1118 DEL... +3587 UP... +9276 AP... +5879 TN... +1129 KER... +613 J&K... +5172 KAR... +1136 GUJ... +808 MP... +944 PUN... +2502 BIH... +793 HAR... +264 UK... +2589 WB... +9601 MAH... +280 Goa... +1457 ASM... +380 CHG (EDIT: only 193; evening)... +587 RAJ (night)... +135 in MNP... +38 HP (night)... +58 LDK... +738 JH... +83 ARP... +42 CHG (night)

Total: +54,865... That's a final (or 55,139, adding TPR of last night)

(+274 of TPR yesterday should be added to today for growth rate calculations, as today TRP numbers will come only tomorrow)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 1 Summary: +55,139 to 1,751,919 at a daily growth rate of 3.250% and doubling period of 21.7 days.
Deaths: +852 to 37,403... After a few flat days, an uptick :(.... But the overall death rate drops to 2.13%
Recoveries: +51,232 to 1,146,879... Our most recoveries ever. Overall recovery ratio is 65.5%

Bad Areas: (Will update by tomorrow)

Good to see a 2300 drop today, on a Saturday when it always rises, so effectively a drop by 3500 to 4000 cases from expected numbers! :)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 2 Updates: +57 MIZ, +55 DNHDD, +38 CHD, +18 MEG, +8 SKM, +4 LDK and early numbers +561 RAJ, +74 JH, +20 HP

Update: +200 in PUD... When will they test enough to end it in this small place? Just 866 tests. Horrible :(
Update: +1891 in TEL with 517 in Hyderabad.
Data: 19202 tests @ 9.8% in TEL
Update: +1434 in ODI with Khorda (Bhubaneswar) 218, Rayagada 197, and Cuttack 123. No flares.
Data: 14608 tests in ODI @ 9.8% ...
Update: +961 in DEL
Data: 12731 tests (8441 AG) in DEL @ 7.5%... WTH? Why are the tests down so much? Khichdi again. :damn:
Update: +1169 in KER... God's own country still not calm. Th'puram 377 and Kochi 128
Data: 21915 tests (12849 AG) in KER @ 5.3% positivity.
Update: +5875 in TN with 1060 in Chennai.
Data: 60344 tests in TN @ 9.7%
Update: +2762 in BIH... Patna 466.
Data: 35619 tests in BIH @ 7.8%... Steep rise in testing (up 50% from 2 days ago). Took a cue from UP? :dance:
Update: +104 in NAG from 658 tests. Okay, so they are testing a bit better, @ 15.8% positivity.
Update: +444 in J&K
Update: +3873 in UP with Kanpur 504, Lucknow 391, Gorakhpur 179
Data: 114822 tests in UP @ 3.4%... No let up there. Yogi's focus mantra - "Om temple, Om testing..." ;)
Update: +8555 in AP .. It is another drop there. But Vishakhhapatnam 1227
Data: 52834 tests @ 16.2% in AP, and it again improved slightly. Good! :)
Update: +790 in PUN... Hope they will control this latest flare. Their third wave.
Data: 7259 tests in PUN @ 10.9% ... Testing reduced 30% just when it should go up! Come on.
Update: +5532 in KAR with Bengaluru 2331, Ballari 377, Mysuru 238
Data: 33017 tests (18517 AG) in KAR @ 16.8% ... Still too high. Increase at least AG testing.
Update: +1101 in Gujarat. Testing at a nice 26K per day these days for 4% positivity. Good :)
Update: +9509 in MAH with Mumbai 1105, Thane 1556, Pune 2981, Ahmednagar 305, Nagpur 245
Data: 60758 tests in MAH @ 15.6 positivity. Not bad. Decent drop lately.
Update: +921 in MP... +761 in HAR... +98 in ANI... +75 MNP
Update: +2739 in WB
Data: 21072 tests @ 13.0% ... Testing has gone up well in WB in 10 days (80% rise). Good :)
Update: +146 in UK... +181 in CHG (evening update)... +606 in RAJ (night) for 1167... +337 in Goa...
Update: +1178 in ASM... +371 in JH (night) for 445 today... +49 in HP (night) for 69
Update: +24 in ARP

+52,531 with maybe some +CHG to come.

(Yesterday's +252 from TPR was reported today, and will add to this for growth calculations)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 2 Summary: +52,783 to 1,804,702 at a daily growth rate of 3.013% and a doubling period of 23.4 days
Deaths: +756 to 38,161... The numbers have flattened for several days (thought it was up yesterday). Overall death rate: 2.11%
Recoveries: +40,213 to 1,187,228 ... Overall recovery ratio: 65.8%

Bad Areas:
+8555 (5.7%) to 158764 in the state of AP
+2907 (5.7%) to 54123 outside Bengaluru/Blr-Urb./Chikkab./Tumak./Kol./Kod./D.Kann./U.Kann./Vijay./Yadgir, KAR
+2595 (7.0%) to 39616 outside Muzzaffarpur/Begusarai/Bhojpur/Siwan/W.Champaran/Nawada/Munger/Jehanabad, BIH
+1804 (6.1%) to 31251 in Lucknow, Kanpur, Barelli, and 15 districts to the west and north of Kanpur, UP
+1230 (6.8%) to 19324 (+245+680+305 to 5432+8356+5536) Nagpur + Ward./Yav./Wash./Nanded/Lat./Beed/Osm. + Ahmed., MAH
+1032 (4.5%) to 24098 (+309+340+278+105 to 5664+8491+7628+2315) in Theni/Virudhunagar/Thoothukkudi/Tenkasi, TN
+968 (6.6%) to 15614 in Ayodhya, Prayagraj, Gorakhpur, Jaunpur and 9 other eastern districts, UP
+686 (5.8%) to 12460 outside Amritsar/Sangrur/Hoshiar./Pathan./F.Sahib/T.Taran/S.Bhagat.S.N/Faz./Rup./S.M.Sahib, PUN
[ODI (4.3%) and KER (4.7%) had bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous areas of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.503*1.25 = 4.379%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +19,777 cases to take their total to 355,250 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.90%... The rest of the country had +33,006 cases to take their total to 1,449,452 at a good area growth rate of 2.33%. Today's good areas are where 80.3% of our current cases are.

A nice drop of about 5K in daily counts in the last 2 days... And SAT and SUN are days when the numbers normally go up at a high rate. We have seriously slowed down in the last few days. I think we are past the inflection point on the daily growth curve (actually that probably came several days ago). Need to wait till next WED/THU to know if we are actually at some sort of peak. We could be, but I'm not too confident of calling it yet.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 3 Updates: +43 CHD, +35 DNHDD, +30 SKM, +28 MEG, +26 MIZ, +19 LDK, and early numbers +545 RAJ, +323 JH, +22 HP

Update: +194 in NAG, +176 PUD
Data: Only 845 tests in NAG (23%) 782 tests (23%) at PUD... These two places are just not testing at all! :damn:
Update: +983 in TEL... Only 273 in Hyderabad, but it is from reduced Sunday testing.
Data: 9443 tests in TEL @ 10.4% positivity.
Update: +1384 in ODI with Bhubaneswar(Khorda) 211.
Data: 13272 tests in OD @ 10.4%
Update: +4441 in UP with Lucknow 507, Kanpur 414, Varanasi 195, Gorakhpur 185, Prayagraj 166
Data: 89629 tests in UP today @4.9%
Update: +962 in KER ... Not a drop (considering it's from fewer Sunday tests), but the numbers are flat now.
Data: 18426 tests in KER @ 5.22%
Update: +5609 in TN... The stubborn idiots in TN keep going... and going... with no imagination.
Data: 58211 tests @9.6%... Can really speed things up, with 30K AG also. Let people take AG tests, TN!!! :damn:
Update: +805 in DEL
Data: 10133 tests (6229 AG) @ 7.9%... Need to trace/quarantine better and do more RT-PCR, Delhi!!
Update: +7822 in AP... A couple of districts beginning to calm down but Vishakhapatnam 1049
Data: 45516 tests (18088 AG) in AP @ 17.2%
Update: +750 in MP, +590 in J&K, +86 in MNP
Update: +2297 in BIH with Patna 293
Data: 36524 tests @ 6.3%... Great job in increasing testing, Bihar!!
Update: +674 in PUN
Data: 4261 tests @ 15.9%... Punjab testing suddenly falling apart, just as there is a big flare-up. ARGH :damn:
Update: +4752 in KAR with Bengaluru 1497
Data: 27898 tests (18074 AG) in KAR @ 17%
Update: +1009 in GUJ, +654 in HAR, +286 in Goa.
Update: +8968 in MAH... Now it is at Kolhapur 551, Ahmednagar 370, Nagpur 284. No end.
Data: 43022 tests at 20.8%... Even now?? Come on!... But AG tests are surely not added in the state total.
Update: +207 in UK... +192 in CHG
Update: +2716 in WB
Data: 22122 tests in WB @ 12.3%... Testing improving but need more.
Update: +96 in ANI... Only about 300 tests there. Serious testing issue, as in Nagaland and Puducherry also :(
Update: +600 in RAJ (night) for 1145
Update: +2371 in ASM... It is nowhere near done in Assam outside Guwahati...
Data: 41958 tests in ASM @ 5.65%... So these are mostly Monday test numbers from Assam. Okay.
Update: +618 in JH (night) for 941 today... +60 in ARP ... +20 in CHG (Night) for 212

+50,488 is a final... [On adding +141 from TPR late last night, +50,629 for growth calculations]