Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 11 Updates: +75 CHD, +39 DNHDD, +34 HP, +27 MEG, +20 NAG, +3 SKM, +3 MIZ, and early numbers +620 RAJ, +92 JH

+276 in PUD, +134 in TPR
+1896 in TEL... Hyderabad 338 and 4 surrounding dists 452... It is all still hard to believe
Tests: 18035 @ 10.5% in TEL.
+1341 in ODI... This is a bit of a drop.
+5041 in UP. Kanpur 248, Lucknow 831, Prayagraj 252, Basti 227, Gorakhpur 201
Tests: 101039 (60542 AG) in UP @ 5.0% ... Both positivity and case numbers creeping up.
+4071 in BIH with Patna 554, Begusarai 225
Tests: 83314 @ 4.9%... They added 10K more tests. Good :)
+1417 in KER with Th'puram 297, Malappuram 242... E'kulam (Kochi) still only 133 (why?)
+5834 in TN... Chennai 986. Coimbatore (324) still not done growing.
Tests: 67492 @ 8.6% in TN... Okay, but I'm not impressed. Should let people take AG tests too!
+567 in J&K from 12661 tests @ 4.5%... Still doing great in testing!
+9024 in AP and that is good news! :dance: E.Godav 1372, Kurnool 1138, Vishakha 676
Tests: 58315 (30908 AG) @ 15.5% in AP. Dropped by a 1 to 1.5% from last week. Good :)
+1257 in DEL from 19440 (14084 AG) tests @ 6.5% ...
+415 in Goa from 2451 tests @ 16.9%. Need more tests! Case total keeps growing.
+6257 in KAR... 86 deaths :( Bengaluru 1610, but Ballari 737, Belagavi 575
Tests: 43924 (20139 AG) @ 14.2 in KAR. Didn't get worse. Testing is uneven across districts.
+843 in MP, +88 in MNP ... Both states test at under 5% positivity. No growth, no issues.
+1000 in PUN but from 16006 tests @ 6.2%... Improved from 8+ last week.
+11088 in MAH ... 256 deaths -- is that past the peak? Hope so. Kolhapur 1078!!
Tests: 64058 in MAH @ 17.3% ... Disappointing. Still not dropping like it should.
+1118 in GUJ, +313 in CHG (evening), +96 in ARP, +798 in HAR, +411 in UK
+2931 in WB from 27015 tests @ 10.9% ... Things calm/good in WB :)
+597 in RAJ (night) for 1217 today... +139 in ANI
+2669 in ASM from 52062 tests @ 5.1% ... Guwahati 399, Dibrugarh 259
+591 in JH (night) for 683... +53 in LDK... +47 in CHG (night) for 360

+61,252 and that is a final!! Wow, much lower than expected (by at least 3K)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 11 Summary: +61,252 to 2,328,405 at a daily growth rate of 2.702% and doubling period of 26.0 days
Deaths: +835 to 46,188 ... Overall death rate drops below 2 for the first time. It is: 1.98%
Recoveries: +54,974 to 1,638,101... Recovery ratio crosses 70% fir the first time, at 70.4%

Bad Areas:
+6925 (4.2%) to 172934 in 9 of 13 districts but NOT Vishakhapatnam/Guntur/Krishna/Nellore, AP
+4821 (6.1%) to 73813 in 19/35 dists, but NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Nashik/Raigad/Palghar/Aurang. etc, MAH
+3723 (5.3%) to 74359 in 31/38 dists, but NOT Nalanda/Bhojpur/Nawada/Khagar./Darbha./Jamui/Kaimur, BIH
+3583 (5.7%) to 66871 in 37/75 dists, but NOT Kanpur/Agra/Meerut/Alighar/Morad./Noida/Ghazia./Jaun., UP
+3247 (5.9%) to 58677 in 17/30 dists, but NOT BengaluruU&R/Mys./Kalab./Mangal./Udupi/Yad./Bid./etc, KAR
+2270 (5.3%) to 44913 in the districts outside of Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+778 (4.6%) to 16270 in Malda/Murshid./Nadia/Pu & Pa Medini./Pu & Pa Bardha./Jharg./Purul./Bankura, WB
[PUN (4.0%) and KER (4.0%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous bad area of 650+ cases]

Things are very stable, and the bad areas have been the same for 2-3 weeks now. They are also pretty much the last set of districts, though there are a lot of them in UP, BIH, MAH, KAR.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.702*1.25 = 3.378%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +25,347 cases to take their total to 507,837 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.25%... The rest of the country had +35,905 cases to take their total to 1,820,568 at a good area growth rate of 2.012%. Today's good areas are where 78.2% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 12 Updates: +87 NAG, +81 CHD, +41 MNP, +39 DNHDD, +37 MEG, +25 MIZ, +17 SKM, and early numbers +595 in RAJ, +109 JH, +82 HP

+481 in PUD... This hapless town needs help. 1123 tests @ 43%
+1897 in TEL from 22972 tests @ 8.3%... +110 TPR
+4475 in UP ... Lucknow 475, Varanasi 166 with drops. But Basti 306!!
Tests: 97971 @ 4.6% in UP... Still keeps the testing going.
+1876 in ODI... Beginning to get flat. Khorda(Bhubaneswar) 297
+3741 in BIH... Fairly calm rise, but Patna 534 isn't done yet.
Tests: 92414 @ 4.1% in BIH... They are beating Yogi at this, now :)
+1113 in DEL from 18894 tests (12K AG) @ 5.9.
+1212 in KER with Th'puram calm at 266, but Malappuram 261
+5871 in TN. Cases dropping. Chennai 1005, Coimbatore 296
Tests: 71575 @ 8.2% in TN ... The positivity drops a bit more. Nice :)
+1020 in PUN, +482 in J&K... These two states are flat or starting to drop.
+9597 in AP... No rise, thank God! Vishakha 797 and E.Godav 1332
Tests: 57148 @ 16.8% ... At least it is not getting worse in AP.
+870 in MP, +480 in Goa
+7883 in KAR with Bengaluru 2802, Ballari 635, Mysuru 544
Tests: 53326 (26K AH) @ 14.8% ... Tests rose 5-10K (not all AG). Good! :)
+1152 in GUJ from 50,124 tests @ 2.3% .. Wow... +439 in UK
+12712 in MAH with 344 deaths :damn: ... Nagpur 772
Tests: 71309 @ 17.8% in MAH... Not dropping. Should do 125K tests. :(
+2936 in WB from 27712 tests @10.6. It keeps getting better! :dance:
+797 in HAR... +618 in RAJ (night) for 1213... 103 in ARP
+513 in CHG... +136 in ANI... +57 in ANI (night) for 139... +41 in LDK
+4593 in ASM with Guwahati 632, Nagaon 335, Dibrugarh 265
Tests: 143109 @ 3.2% in ASM... Jeez! Give Himanta Sarma an award. :notworthy:
+679 in JH (night) to 788... +54 in CHG (night) for 567

+67,066 and that is a final


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 12 Summary: +67,066 to 2,395,471 at a daily growth rate of 2.880% and 24.4 days
Deaths: +950 to 47,138 ... Overall death rate drops again to: 1.97%
Recoveries: +57,759 to 1,695,860 ... Overall recovery ratio: 70.8%

Bad Areas:
+6861 (4.6%) to 157455 in 20/30 dists incl Bengaluru/Mysuru/Ballari/Udupi but NOT Kalab./Mangalu., KAR
+6574 (4.8%) to 144788 in 8/13 districts but NOT Kurnool/Anantapur/Kadapa/Guntur/Krishna, AP
+4867 (5.4%) to 95713 in 22/35 dists, but NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Raigad/Palghar/Aurang. etc, MAH
+3961 (8.8%) to 48874 in the districts outside of Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+3196 (4.9%) to 68175 in 27/38 dists, but NOT Bhagal./Nalanda/Gaya/Nawada/Khagar./Jamui/Banka, etc, BIH
+2105 (5.1%) to 39113 in 23/75 dists, but NOT Luck./Kanp./Varanasi./Agra/Meer./Noida/Ghazia./Jaun., UP
[PUN (3.9%) and ODI (3.8%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous bad area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.880*1.25 = 3.600%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +27,564 cases to take their total to 554,118 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.23%... The rest of the country had +39,502 cases to take their total to 1,841,353 at a good area growth rate of 2.19%. Today's good areas are where 76.9% of our current cases are.

Assam did 143.1K tests (more than 2.5 times their usual rate) and found an extra 2000 cases, or today would've shown a flattening. But this is good!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 13 Updates: +91 CHD, +82 ARP, +50 NAG, +46 DNHDD, +38 LDK, +14 MEG, +2 SKM, +1 MIZ and early numbers +608 in RAJ, +108 HP, +64 JH

+299 in PUD, +121 in TPR
+1931 in TEL from 23303 tests@ 8.3%... Hyderabad down to 298
+3906 BIH with Patna 399 (on a down-slope?)
Tests: 104452 @ 3.7% ... Doing very well in BIH.
+1981 in ODI from 40711 @ 4.9%. Generally calm numbers.
+4537 in UP with Lucknow 628, Kanpur 363, Gorakhpur 309.
Tests: 87214 @ 5.2% in UP... They should not let this creep up.
+956 in DEL from 15356 tests (8.9K AG) @ 6.2%
+9996 in AP with E.Godav 1501 and Vishakha 931
Tests: 55692 @ 18% ... It is just not improving in APP.
+1564 in KER. It again flares at Th'puram (434)
+5835 in TN... The officials won't test and make this drop.
Tests: 67275 @ 8.7% ... Need 30K+ AG per day to finish things off.
+1014 in MP... +536 in J&K ... +130 in MNP
+1027 in PUN... +570 in Goa... +416 in UK...
+6706 in KAR ... It's a drop today :) Bengaluru 1893, Mysuru 522
Tests: 55999 (27.3K AG) @ 12.0% ... Down 2.8% from yesterday :)
+1092 in GUJ from 50817 tests @ 2.1% Great going!
+11813 in MAH (but 413 deaths! :damn: )
Tests: 67203 tests @ 17.6% ... Their tests reduced. Incompetent idiots.
+793 in HAR... +408 in CHG (evening update) ...
+2997 in WB ... All calm. Started AG tests, adding 13K more tests today?
Tests: 30032 @ 9.998% ... Looks like numbers management from Mamata!
+706 in RAJ (night) to 1314 today. +72 in HP (night) for 180
+2796 in ASM with Guwahati 418, Cachar 307
Tests: 61318 at 4.6%, so they fell back to a more normal rate.
+629 in JH (night) to 693... +137 in ANI... +70 in CHG (night)

+64,142 and that is the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 13 Summary: +64,172 to 2,459,643 at a daily growth of 2.679% and doubling period of 26.2 days
Deaths: +1,006 to 48,144 ... The overall death rate is now 1.96%
Recoveries: +54,776 to 1,750,636 for an overall recovery ratio of 71.2%

Bad Areas:
+7392 (4.6%) to 166999 in 9/13 districts but NOT Kurnool/Anantapur/Guntur/Krishna, AP
+4393 (5.2%) to 88853 in 17/35 dists, NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Raigad/Palg./Aurang./Jal./Sol. etc, MAH
+3937 (4.7%) to 87721 in 20/30 dists; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/D.Kann./U.Kann./Yadgir/Hassan/Tumakuru/etc, KAR
+2384 (4.5%) to 50441 in 23/75 dists; Lucknow/Prayag./Gorakh.; NOT Kanpur/Varanasi./Agra/Meerut/etc. UP
+2378 (4.9%) to 50715 in the districts outside of Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+2027 (5.3%) to 35786 in 18/38 dists, to the north and east but NOT Patna/Bhagal./Nalanda/Vash./etc BIH
+1576 (5.2%) to 31634 in 23/30 dists; NOT Ganjam/Gaja./Rayag./Sambal./Kendhujhar/Jharsu./Angul., ODI
+1205 (3.8%) to 30479 in 11/37 dists; Coimbatore/Erode/Salem/Cuddal./Nagapat./Thanjav./Pudukkot. etc TN
+820 (4.1%) to 19026 in 7/14 dists; Kozhikode/Malapp./Palakkad/Thriss./Ernak./Kottayam/Pathanam., KER
[Punjab (3.8%) had bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous bad area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.880*1.25 = 3.600%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +26,112 cases to take their total to 561,654 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.88%... The rest of the country had +38,060 cases to take their total to 1,897,989 at a good area growth rate of 2.05%. Today's good areas are where 77.2% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 14 Updates: +95 ARP, +86 CHD, +41 DNHDD, +35 MEG, +30 LDK, +8 MIZ and early numbers +613 in RAJ, +58 HP

+315 in PUD... +164 in TPR... +154 NAG
+1921 in TEL from 22046 tests @ 8.7% ... Nothing new.
+1977 in ODI... Ganjam calm, but Khorda(Bhubaneswar) 332
Tests: 42761 @ 4.6% ... Can't complain about testing in ODI.
+3911 in BIH with Patna 484 (calm)
Tests: 121320 @ 3.2%... Great job in BIH :notworthy:
+1192 in DEL from 15045 tests (9.3K AG) @ 7.9%
+4512 in UP. Kanpur, Varanasi done, but Lucknow 657 (peak)
Tests: 96106 @ 4.7% in UP... Still keeping high testing rates.
+1569 in KER, almost the same as yesterday. 31738 tests @ 4.9%
+5890 in TN, and it is the same old same old. (117 deaths)
Tests: 70153 @ 8.4% for a slight drop in TN.
+540 in J&K... Flat for a while now. 12122 tests @ 4.5%
+8943 in AP... Is AP is dropping finally? :) ... but 97 deaths.
Tests: 53026 (24.1K AG) @ 16.7% in AP for a 1.3% drop. Good! :)
+796 in MP... 86 in MNP... 476 Goa... All in holding pattern.
+1077 in PUN... This is one state that has some trouble now.
+797 in HAR... Also, same old same old. No rise, no drop.
+12608 in MAH. 364 deaths. Nashik 941, Nagpur 776, Kolhapur 732
Tests: 68995 @ 18.3%... As pathetic as it can be. It went up. :damn:
+7908 in KAR with Bengaluru 2452.
Tests: 56638 (29.4K AG) @ 14% in KAR... Need to raise testing.
+1087 in GUJ from 51225 tests @ 2.1%... +313 in UK...
+3035 in WB Holding, not dropping. Kolkata 615, steady.
Tests: 31317 tests @ 9.7%, so the positivity edged down :)
+665 in RAJ (night) for 1278... +451 in CHG (evening)...
+149 in SKM... +149 in ANI...
+2706 in ASM... Guwahati 719, still not done :(
Tests: 49603 @ 5.5% ... But no end to it, despite all the testing.
+1117 in JH for 1175 today... A bit of a rise again in JH, after a lull.
+78 in CHG (Night) for 529... Rather flat but rising sloooowly in CHG.

+65,610, and that's a final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 14 Summary: +65,610 to 2,525,222 at a daily growth rate of 2.667% (doubling period 26.3 days)
Deaths: +990 to 49,134... Overall death rate is 1.95%
Recoveries: +56,920 to 1,807,556... Overall recovery ratio is 71.6%

Bad Areas:
+6308 (4.8%) to 137758 in 23/35 dists, NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Raigad/Palghar/Aurang./Jalna/Akola etc, MAH
+4384 (4.1%) to 112620 in 7/13 dists Vishakha./W.Godav./Chittoor/Nelloor/Kadapah/Srikak./Vizianagar., AP
+4192 (5.4%) to 81593 in 20/30 dists; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/Mysuru./Kalabu./U.Kann./Yad./Bid./Vijay./etc KAR
+2706 (3.8%) to 74502 in the state of ASM
+2224 (4.7%) to 49182 in 20/75 dists; Lucknow/Gorakh.; NOT Kanpur/Varanasi./Prayag./Agra/Meerut/etc. UP
+2216 (5.9%) to 40042 in 18/38 dists, to the north and east but NOT Patna/Bhagal./Nalanda/Vash./etc BIH
+1095 (4.2%) to 25147 in 10/14 dists; Kann./Kozh./Palakk./Waya./Mala./Thr./Ernat./Alap/Kott./Iduk, KER
+974 (4.4%) to 20921 in 12/30 dists; NOT Ganjam/Cuttack/Sundar./Kendhu./Kendra./Angul./Barg. etc, ODI
[PUN (3.9%) has bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous bad area of 800+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.667*1.25 = 3.334%) and 800+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,099 cases to take their total to 541,765 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.06%... The rest of the country had +41,511 cases to take their total to 1,983,457 at a good area growth rate of 2.18%. Today's good areas are where 78.5% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 15 Updates: +81 CHD, +70 DNHDD, +68 SKM, +64 MEG, +56 MIZ, +51 ARP, +30 LDK, +18 NAG, and early numbers +686 RAJ, +67 JH, +33 HP

+359 in PUD... +167 in TPR
+1863 in TEL
+2496 in ODI... That is a solid rise in ODI today :(
Tests: 47.9K @ 5.2%... BIH went from 23K to 48K in four days! :notworthy:
+3536 in BIH
+4774 in UP. Lucknow 675. Kanpur, Agra, Varanasi, all calm.
Tests: 96231 @ 5.0% in UP. May need to do some more RT-PCRs/TruNats
+1608 in KER
+5860 in TN but 127 deaths!
Tests: 71343 @ 8.2%... Can they make the improvement any slower? :(
+532 in J&K
+1276 in DEL from 18271 tests (12.6K AG) @ 7%
+8732 in AP (87 deaths)... Slight drop in numbers.
Tests: 53712 (21.9 AG) @ 16.2% ... Not very good :(
+1094 in GUJ... +369 Goa
+3074 in WB... Flat, but creeping up very slightly.
Tests: 34214 @ 9%. Got better by a percent (with 3K more tests)
+1028 in PUN... +1019 in MP... +796 in HAR
+428 in CHG (evening) ... +192 in MNP
+12020 in MAH (322 deaths). (it is actually +12614. "Reconciliation")
Tests: 66428 @ 19%. A bit fewer, with higher positivity. Laughable.
+8818 in KAR... +3495 in Bengaluru :damn:
Tests: 54806 @ 16%. Trying hard to reach the hallowed MAH levels.
+601 in RAJ (night) for 1287... +325 in UK... +86 in HP (night) for 119
+120 in ANI... +480 JH (night) for 547... +58 in CHG (night) for 486
+1057 in ASM from 20805 tests @ 5.1% ... Independence day, so fewer tests.

+63,986


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 15 Summary: +63,986 to 2,589,208 at a daily growth rate of 2.534% (doubling period 27.7 days)
Deaths: +951 to 50,084... Overall death rate: 1.93%
Recoveries: +53,116 to 1,860,672, so overall recovery ratio is 71.9%

The numbers were low by about 2K because Assam reports same-day results and had only fewer tests due to Independence day. Maharashtra seems to have adjusted the Mumbai numbers down by 800 or so too (or the spreadsheet they published is wrong or something). Will wait.

No good/bad areas analysis today. Need to re-calibrate it a little to account for the fact that the growth rate has really reduced and so many districts have growth rate within 25% of the average, which can't be considered bad anymore. Will report from tomorrow onward, with a new definition of "bad areas" being those with growth rates at least 50% more than the national average.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 16 Updates:
+93 CHD, +93 ANI, +82 MEG, +76 MIZ, +54 NAG, +35 DNHDD,
and early numbers +687 in RAJ, +64 HP

+378 PUD... +127 TPR
+1102 in TEL from 12120 tests @ 9.1%.
+2187 in BIH... Fewer tests, so all calm. Patna 255
Tests: 67212 @ 3.3%. Stellar testing rate in BIH
+2924 in ODI. Bhubanes. 488, Cuttack 189, Rourkela 161
Tests: 52795 @ 5.5%. Tests rose another 4K. Good :)
+4357 in UP... Lucknow 816, Kanpur 403, Gorakhpur 385
Tests: 90914 @ 4.8% in UP, so it remains good.
+1530 in KER... Th'puram 519, Malappuram 221
+5950 in TN. Won't drop it without AG tests. (125 deaths) :(
Tests: 70450 tests @ 8.4%. Need 20K or 30K AG tests also.
+449 in J&K from 7063 tests @6.3% ... +179 MNP
+652 in DEL from 10709 tests (3024 AG) @ 6.1%
+8012 in AP... A bit fewer tests, so less numbers.
Tests: 48746 @ 16.4%. Same as before.
+743 in HAR... +300 in Goa... +1022 in MP. +235 in UK
+1120 in GUJ. 50560 tests @ 2.2%. Testing really well! :)
+7040 in KAR (124 deaths) with Bengaluru 2131, Mysuru 620
Tests: 43626 (18.4K AG) @ 16.1% in KAR... Keeping that rate, like AP.
+11111 in MAH (288 deaths)... Nothing works there. Pune 3088.
Tests: 51226 @ 21.7% in MAH. Un-friggin-believable :(
+1165 in PUN... +426 in CHG (evening)... +630 in RAJ (night) for 1317
+3066 in WB... From 32886 tests @ 9.3%
+99 in HP (night) for 163... +43 in ARP... +39 in LDK... +19 in SKM
+1317 in ASM from 20367 tests @ 6.45% (mostly RTPCR only today)
+552 in JH... +150 in CHG (night) for 576 today

+58,108 and that is a final!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 16 Summary: +58,108 to 2,647,316 at a daily growth rate of 2.244% (doubling: 31.2 days)
Deaths: +960 to 51,045... Overall death rate: 1.93%
Recoveries: +57,404 to 1,918,076... Overall Recovery ratio: 72.5%

Bad Areas:
+3547 (4.3%) to 86159 in 14/30 dists; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/Mangal./Kalabur./Udupi/Hassan/U.Kann./etc, KAR
+2437 (6.7%) to 39002 in 24/30 dists, incl. Bhubanes./Rourk./Cuttack/Gaya/Rayagada/Jaj.; NOT Ganjam, ODI
+1874 (4.1%) to 47041 in West Godavari (893) and Chittoor (981) separately, AP
+1731 (4.7%) to 38517 in 11 of 75 dists; Kanpur/Lucknow included, but not Bareilli/Prayag./Agra etc UP
+1553 (4.7%) to 34382 in Kolhapur/Sangli (840) and Nagpur/Bhandara (713) separately, MAH
+817 (5.5%) to 15620 in Ludhiana/Jalandhar/S.A.S.Nagar/Ferozepur/Moga/Rupnagar/Mansa, PUN
[KER (3.6%) had bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous bad area of 750+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.244*1.50 = 3.366%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +11,959 cases to take their total to 260,721 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.81%... The rest of the country had +46,149 cases to take their total to 2,386,595 at a good area growth rate of 1.97%. Today's good areas are where 90.2% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 17 Updates:
+61 in NAG, +46 ANI, +46 MEG, +40 ARP, +27 in DNHDD, +20 SKM, +18 HP, +18 LDK,+12 in MIZ
and early numbers +693 in RAJ

+297 in PUD... +143 in TPR
+894 in TEL from 8794 tests @ 10.2%
+2244 in ODI. Khorda (Bhubaneswar) 311, Cuttack 194
Tests: 50421 @ 4.5%, so they are still good!
+3798 in UP with Kanpur 430. Lucknow 269.
Tests: 85422 @ 4.4%, so UP maintains the nice rate.
+2525 in BIH with Patna 304. All calm.
Tests: 113498 @ 2.2%. Holy crap. That's great, BIH!! :notworthy:
+422 in J&K... +118 in MNP... +114 CHD
+6780 in AP (82 deaths). E.Godav 911, Vishakha 519
Tests: 44578 @ 15.2% in AP. Better by 1 percent. Good. :)
+1725 in KER... Th'puram 461 and Malappuram 306
Tests: 26150 @ 6.6%... Kerala needs to test better.
+5890 in TN (120 deaths). Chennai 1185. Same sh** :(
Tests: 67532 @ 8.7%. Idiocy continues in TN. Not doing AG.
+930 in MP... +355 in Goa
+1033 in GUJ from 45540 tests @ 2.3%. :notworthy:
+8493 in MAH (228 deaths). Low case count from low testing.
Tests: 43508 @ 19.5%. Nearly criminal incompetence in MAH.
+1489 in PUN... Very troublesome second-wave :(
+787 in DEL. 14988 tests @ 5.2. More PCR (10K) now. :)
+887 in HAR... +319 in UK... +372 in CHG (evening)
+3080 in WB... Flat with very minor rise in WB.
Tests: 32319 @ 9.5%. Dropping, as WB keeps adding tests.
+6317 in KAR (Corrected from +7071)... Blr 2053, Mysuru 597
Tests: 37700 (14.5K AG) @ 16.8% ... This needs to drop.
+641 in RAJ (night) for 1334 ... +843 in JH
+2792 in ASM with Guwahati 458, Cachar-227, Dibrugarh 225
Tests: 49510 @ 5.63% in ASM. Doing fine, still.
+32 in CHG (night) for 404 today.

+54,300 and that seems to be a final. Terrific!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 17 Summary: +54,300 to 2,701,604 at a daily growth rate of 2.051% (Doubling: 34.1 days)
Deaths: +880 to 51,925... A better day today. Death rate falls to 1.92%
Recoveries: +58,172 to 1,976,248... Overall recovery ratio: 73.15%

Bad Areas:
+2598 (4.8%) to 57044 in 13/30 dists; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/Ball./Mangal./Bela./Dhar./Kalabur./U.Kann.,KAR
+2334 (4.3%) to 56884 outside Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1631 (4.3%) to 35899 in 10/37 dists, Coimba./Dindi./Erode/Tiruppu./Salem/Peramb/Ari./Cuddal. etc, TN
+1370 (5.9%) to 24589 in 14/22 dists; Ludhiana/Jalandhar/Patiala/etc but NOT Amritsar/Sangrur/etc, PUN
+1035 (4.7%) to 23114 in 8/30 dists; Bhuban./Cuttack/Jajpur/Balas./Puri/Bhadrak/Mayur./Kendrapara, ODI
+989 (3.6%) to 28353 in 2/13 dists, Srikakulam/Vizianagaram, AP
+956 (4.9%) to 20437 in 6/14 dists, Malappuram/Palakkad/Thrissur/Ernakulam/Alappuzha/Kottayam, KER
+875 (4.6%) to 18313 in 9/23 dists; Pu-Pa.Medini./Nadia/Pa-Pu.Bardh./Mursh./Bank./Birbhum/Purulia, WB
+775 (4.2%) to 19204 in 7/38 dists; E.Champa./Gopalgj./Muzaffar./Sitamar./Darbha./Madhub./Saharsa, BIH
+702 (5.9%) to 11141 in 11/30 dists; Ray./Kor./Kand./Malk./Balan./Barg./Kala./Nab./Bou./Sub./Nua., ODI
+655 (4.5%) to 13858 in 9/75 dists; Amethi/Kaush./Barab./Sita./L.Kheri/Pili./Shahj./Budaun/Morada., UP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.051*1.25 = 3.077%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +13,920 cases to take their total to 308,836 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.72%... The rest of the country had +40,380 cases to take their total to 2,392,768 at a good area growth rate of 1.72%. Today's good areas are where 88.6% of our current cases are. (Only about 100 districts out of 750 in India had "bad" growth today, and that too mostly under 5%)

Punjab is the only place with some healthcare concerns right now. Quite a few deaths happening (50 today), and the state's case numbers may go up to 2500+ soon. They need to raise the testing in a hurry.

Today was a good day. We could be really seeing some clear light at the end of the tunnel, but let us wait for the "spike days" of this week from tomorrow through Saturday.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 18 Updates:
+89 CHD, +78 MNP, +65 NAG, +51 DNHDD, +44 LDK, +39 MEG, +26 MIZ, +20 SKM
and early numbers +694 RAJ, +56 HP

+367 in PUD... +205 in TPR
+1682 in TEL from 19579 tests @ 8.6%... Hyderabad 235
+2339 in ODI. Generally calm. Khorda (Bhubaneswar) 419.
Tests: 50525 @ 4.6% in ODI
+4218 in UP (70 deaths). Only top-12 city of bad growth - Gorakhpur 267.
Tests: 93774 @ 4.5% in UP. They should add 40K more AG tests a day.
Comment: UP maybe missing about 1000 cases a day? Add more tests.
+3257 in BIH. Not bad. Patna 269 is down to 2.2% growth.
Tests: 112781 @ 2.8% in BIH. Still excellent :notworthy:
+9652 in AP. (88 deaths). E.Godav 1396, Vishakha 928
Tests: 56090 tests (27.7k AG) @ 17.2%. Need to drop this a bit.
+1758 in KER... Th'puram 489, Ernakulam(Kochi) 192 :(
Tests: 29265 tests @ 6%... They should test more in KER!
+5709 in TN (120 deaths) Chennai 1182, Coimbatore 392 still. :(
Tests: 67025 @ 8.5%... No improvement in TN. Officials' foolishness.
+434 in J&K...+990 in MP... +339 in Goa...
+1705 in PUN. Not good :( Ludhiana 483, Patiala 338
Tests: 19527 @ 8.7%... Testing increased a bit. Need even more in PUN.
+1126 in GUJ with 57234 tests @ 2% Wow :notworthy: ... +896 in HAR
+11119 in MAH (422 deaths) with Nagpur 812
Tests: 58138 @ 19.1% (but it is more tests. MAH doesn't know AG test count correctly)
+3175 in WB... Very low growth. More tests. Nothing to worry :)
Tests: 35107 tests @ 9%... They can add some AG tests too.
+701 in CHG (evening)... +497 in UK
+7665 in KAR with 139 deaths :( ... Bengaluru 2242
Tests: 59088 (28.9k AG) @ 13%... It improved nicely by 3%.
+1374 in DEL... +653 in RAJ (night) for 1347
Tests: 20266 tests (15.5K AG) @ 6.8%. DEL must do more RT-PCR on AG negatives!
+133 in ARP ... +89 in ANI
+1266 in JH ... +107 in CHG (night) for 808 today
+2534 in ASM with Guwahati 498, Dibrugarh 267, Cachar 244
Tests: 44416 @ 5.7% in ASM. But the case total still not dropping.

65,024 and that's a final!