Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 3 Summary: +50,629 to 1,855,331 at a daily growth rate of 2.805% and a doubling period of 25.1 days
Deaths: +806 to 38,971 ... Need the deaths to not rise too much more... Overall death rate falls to 2.10%
Recoveries: +43,070 to 1,230,440... Overall recovery ratio rises to 66.3%

Bad Areas:
+3774 (6.2%) to 64953 (+440+1113+1049+677+495) in W.Godav./E.Godav./Visakhapatnam/Vizianagaram/Srikakulam, AP
+3611 (6.6%) to 58542 in Luck./Kanp./Varan./Prayag./Bareilly/Gorakh./Jhansi/Jaunpur & 30 other districts, UP
+3568 (4.8%) to 78571 (+602+953+576+500+364+573) in Kurnool/Anantapur/Kadapa/Nellore/Prakasam/Guntur, AP
+2432 (5.5%) to 46675 outside BengalurU&R/Chikkab./Kol./D&U.Kann./Udu./Davana./Bela./Kala./Vijay./Bidar, KAR
+1957 (7.3%) to 28926 outside Guwahati (Kamrup Metro) district, ASM
+1411 (5.8%) to 25762 outside Pat/Bha/Muz/Nal/Roh/W.Ch/Naw/Sam/Mun/Gop/Jeh/Jam/Lak/Kis/Mad/Arw/Kai/She/Ban, BIH
+1193 (9.3%) to 14018 (+551+163+479 to 6414+4453+3151) in Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+1030 (5.5%) to 19832 outside Kolkata/N&S.Parganas/Howrah/Hooghly, WB
+957 (4.0%) to 25055 (+305+352+82+218 to 5969+8843+2397+7846) in Theni/Virudhunagar/Tenkasi/Thoothukkudi, TN
+888 (4.4%) to 21261 (+284+100+51+453 to 5716+2295+1455+11795) in Nagpur/Amravati/Buldhana/Jalgaon, MAH
+844 (7.4%) to 12250 (+370+41+100+107+226 to 5906+932+668+2479+2265) in Ahmed./Beed/Hingoli/Latur/Nanded, MAH
+750 (8.3%) to 9745 in districts to the west and south of Bokaro/Giridih/Koderma, JH
[ODI (4.3%) and KER (4.7%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous areas of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.805*1.25 = 3.507%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +22,415 cases to take their total to 405,590 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.85%... The rest of the country had +28,214 cases to take their total to 1,449,741 at a good area growth rate of 1.98%. Today's good areas are where 78.1% of our current cases are.

Things are certainly getting better, but we need to wait for the slow growth in UP to end, and hope for Bihar/Jharkhand to not get too bad. Karnataka, Maharashtra, AP are going to keep doing what they are doing and will stay flat or slowly drop from now on. Assam will not continue being bad for too long, I hope. Punjab needs to test like they definitely can, and finish off the new flare.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 4 Updates: +95 SKM, +46 CHD, +43 DNHDD, +15 MEG, +6 in MIZ and early numbers +551 RAJ, +171 JH, +29 HP

Update : +276 in NAG, +165 in PUD, +131 TPR (finally being to today, rather than yesterday!)
Update: +1286 in TEL with only 391 in Hyderabad and 309 in 4 surrounding districts.
Data: 13787 tests in TEL @ 9.3% ... Set a lower rate, KCR! :)
Update: +1384 in ODI... Holding pattern there. Bhuabaneswar (Kohorda) 201, Cuttack 121
Data: 14002 tests in ODI @ 9.9%... Not worsening, but no improvement for a while.
Update: +2464 in BIH ... Patna 393, but at only a 3.8% growth. Good.
Data: 38215 tests in BIH @ 6.4%. Improving! Good :)
Update: +2948 in UP ... Less, but fewer tests too. Lucknow 612, Kanpur 260, Prayag 130
Data: 66713 tests in UP @ 4.4% ... A small increase there. Why did the tests reduced?
Update: +674 in DEL... It has come down a lot from 2000+ at one time.
Data: 9295 tests (5187 AG) @ 7.2%... Why not increase the testing a bit more, like earlier?
Update: +5,063 in TN... That is a pretty noticeable drop. Chennai 1023, Virudhunagar 424
Data: 55122 tests in TN @ 9.2%... Fewer tests, but positivity dropped, so all is well :)
Update: +1083 in KER, +390 in J&K, +98 in MNP, +259 in Goa.
Data: 20087 tests in KER @ 5.4%... 8472 in J&K at 4.6%... 2866 in Goa @ 9%...
Update: +6259 in KAR... Bengaluru stable at 2035 but Mysuru 662 and other districts burning.
Data: 42459 tests (29488 AG) in KAR @ 14.7% ... Not improving fast enough. Need 60K-70K tests a day.
Update: +797 in MP... +488 in PUN... Good to see Punjab with a drop in numbers. :)
Data: 7697 tests in PUN @ 6.3%... Okay, so that didn't deteriorate further. Good.
Update: +9747 in AP. It's not even in Vishakh & Vijayawada. Smaller cities can't go on like this!
Data: 64147 tests in AP @ 15.2%. Worse than the 14% for 10K cases last Wednesday. Getting even worse.
Comment: They'll never get this right in AP. No enforcement. Dumb state with a Jackass at the top :(
Update: 1020 in GUJ with 20735 tests @ 4.9%... Positivity is way down and now these are actual numbers.
Update: +2752 in WB ... Looks like Didi has again got some control on things. WB is flat now.
Data: 22321 tests in @ 12.3%... Better. The high-capacity lab the Centre set up in Kolkata put to use! :)
Update: +623 in HAR
Update: +7760 in MAH... This is really good news on a Tuesday. But what's up in Osmanabad (344)?
Data: 53324 tests in MAH @ 14.6%, their lowest in a long long time. :dance: :dance:
Update: +208 UK, +98 ANI, +280 in CHG (evening), +32 in HP (night) to 61
Update: +573 in RAJ (night) for 1124 today.
Update: +2886 in ASM... Guwahati 550, Dibrugarh 201
Data: 59063 tests in ASM @ 4.9%... Tremendous testing in Assam! :notworthy: .... +49 LDK, +32 ARP
Update: +399 in JH (night) for 570 today... +102 CHG (night) for 382 today.

+51,282... and that is a final! Wow, a serious drop from what was expected.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 4 Summary: +51,282 to 1,906,613 at a daily growth rate of 2.764% and a doubling period of 25.5 days
Deaths: +849 to 39,820... High... Hopefully at a peak now?... Overall death rate: 2.09%
Recoveries: +51,220 to 1,281,660... Almost as many as new cases!!... Overall recovery ratio: 67.2%

Bad Areas:
+5334 (5.9%) to 94987 in 7 districts to the EAST of Prakasam, AP
+4189 (6.2%) to 71910 in 5 districts to the WEST of Prakasam, AP
+3865 (6.0%) to 67752 outside Bengaluru U&R/Vijayapura/Yadgir/U.Kannada/Shivamogga/Kolar/Chitradurga,KAR
+2330 (8.1%) to 31262 outside Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1952 (4.9%) to 41759 in districts except Bhag/Nal/Gaya/Roh/Siw/W.Cha/Naw/Gop/Aur/Jeh/Lak/Kai/She, BIH
+1437 (6.4%) to 23988 in Ahmednagar/Osmanabad/Beed/Latur/Nanded/Parbh./Bul./Wash./Yavat./Wardha/Nagpur, MAH
+1362 (4.6%) to 30786 in N.Par./S.Par./Pu.Medi./Pur./Jhar./Nadia/Pa.Bard./Pu.Bard./Birbhum/Mursh., WB
+1031 (5.8%) to 18891 (+612+260+159 to 9805+6504+2582) in Lucknow+Kanpur + Unn./Sit./Bah./R.Bar./Fateh., UP
+861 (5.0%) to 18207 (+292+426+143 6261+9269+2677) Theni/Virudhunagar/Sivaganga, TN
+675 (4.7%) to 15093 (+163+255+243+14 to 4616+3406+6657+414) in Satara/Sangli/Kolhapur/Sindhudurg, MAH
[ODI (3.8%) has bad statewide numbers, but no continguous areas of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.764*1.25 = 3.455%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +23,036 cases to take their total to 414,635 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.88%... The rest of the country had +28,246 cases to take their total to 1,491,978 at a good area growth rate of 1.93%. Today's good areas are where 78.3% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 5 Updates: +99 ANI, +45 DNHDD, +93 NAG, +58 LDK, +22 MEG , +17 SKM, +3 MIZ, and early numbers +593 RAJ, +4 HP

Update: +123 TPR, +286 PUD
Data: 1024 tests in PUD @ 28% positivity. Somebody help Puducherry to test/contain better. Argh.
Update: +2012 TEL... Higher number, but with more tests too. Hyderabad 532
Data: 21118 tests today @ 9.5%... A slight drop.
Update: +1337 ODI.. No big flares. Bhubaneswar 196, Cuttack 168
Data: 14915 tests in ODI @ 8.9%... Still high by ODI standards. Test 20K please.
Update: +2701 BIH... It is all well-distributed in all districts like in UP. Patna 479
Data: 51924 tests in BIH @ 5.2%... What??? They went bonkers with tests. Good Good :notworthy:
Update: +1195 KER
Update: +5175 in TN... Chennai with 1045
Data: 61166 tests in TN @ 8.5% ... Wow, finally they brought it below 9... :dance: :dance:
Update: +559 in J&K
Update: +4078 in UP... Lucknow 336 (calmer) but Kanpur 418 and Prayagraj 204.
Update: +1076 in DEL
Data: 16785 tests (11915 AG) in DEL for 6.4%... Good that it's not going up. Need more PCR.
Update: +652 in MP, +841 in PUN, +1078 in GUJ, +75 in MNP, +246 in UK, +752 HAR, +64 CHD
Data: 10518 tests in PUN @ 8%.. Not quite enough testing, but okay if they monitor things.
Update: +10309 in MAH
Data: 61463 tests in MAH @ 16.8%... So, no disaster, and the positivity reduced!
Update: +10128 in AP ... Was hoping for 9K but at least it isn't 12K ;)
Data: 60576 tests (31477 AG) in AP @ 16.7%...
Update: +5619 in KAR... Bengaluru 1848, Ballari 631 but Mysuru down to 261.
Data: 43638 tests @ 12.9% ... Still need 20K more tests per day.
Update: 2816 in WB ... Nice to see the flat numbers in WB.
Data: 24047 tests @ 11.7% ... Dropped again! :) ... Love how they increase 500 tests per day!
Update: +346 in Goa, +205 CHG, +573 in RAJ (night) to 1166 today... +33 in HP (night) for 37
Update: +978 in JH... that is burning hot now :( ... +65 in ARP ... +90 in CHG (night) to 295
Update: +2284 in ASM with Guwahati 362, Dibrugarh 177
Data: 59162 tests @ 3.9% positivity... Wow, good :)

+56,626 and that is a final!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 5 Summary: +56,626 to 1,963,239 at a daily growth rate of 2.970% and a doubling period of 25.2 days.
Deaths: +919 to 40,739 ... This number still going up... Overall death rate: 2.08%
Recoveries: +45,540 to 1,327,200 ... So, overall recovery ratio is 67.6%

Bad Areas:
+10128 (5.7%) to 186461 in 13 unlucky districts in the the undisciplined state of unmitigated disaster, AP
+2770 (6.1%) to 48494 in 16/30 districts except Bengaluru, Kalabur., Mangaluru, Udupi, Shivmog., etc, KAR
+2715 (5.7%) to 50698 in 38/75 districts except Lucknow, Agra, Meerut, Noida, Ghaziabad, Ayodhya, etc, UP
+2008 (5.4%) to 39054 in 23/38 districts except Bhagalpur, Muzaffarpur, Nalanda, Gaya, Rohtas, etc, BIH
+1922 (6.1%) to 33184 in the districts outside of Kamrup Mettro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1796 (8.1%) to 24011 in Ahmed./Beed/Latur/Nanded/Parbh./Washim/Yavat./Wardha/Gondia/Gadchi./Nagpur, MAH
+1768 (4.4%) to 42082 in N.Parg./Howr./Hoog./Pu.Medini./Nad./Mursh./Malda/D.Dinaj./Pu.Bardh/Pa.Bardh, WB
+822 (5.6%) to 15501 (+430+193+199 to 7087+4809+3605) in Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+723 (6.3%) to 12180 (301+101+184+137 to 4236+2745+2122+3077) in Ludhi+Jalandh+Patial + 8 districts, PUN
[JH (6.95%) and KER (4.3%) has bad statewide numbers, but no continguous areas of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.970*1.25 = 3.712%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,652 cases to take their total to 451,665 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.77%... The rest of the country had +31,974 cases to take their total to 1,511,574 at a good area growth rate of 2.16%. Today's good areas are where 77.0% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 6 Updates: +98 TPR, +96 ANI, +82 NAG, +57 CHD, +51 MEG, +33 MIZ, +43 DNHDD, +7 CHD and early numbers +539 RAJ, +82 JH, +20 HP

Update: +2092 in TEL... 535 in Hyderabad.
Data: 21346 tests @ 9.8% ... Keeping the numbers at fixed values. Still unsure how truthful TEL is.
Update: +1699 in ODI... Bhubaneswar(Khurda) 220, Cuttack 105... Holding pattern.
Data: 15086 tests @ 11.3% ... Test more, please!
Update: +3416 in BIH... Not yet flattening at Patna, 603. Rest are well-distributed in all districts.
Data: 60254 tests in BIH @ 5.7% ... The testing is seriously up. A lot of AG tests, but better than nothing.
Update: +4586 in UP... Lucknow 664, Kanpur 421, Varanasi 281, Prayagraj 197
Data: 87348 tests in UP, but something is wrong in numbers. Cumulative count would say 20366 yesterday. Huh??
Update: +188 in PUD (from 940 tests @ 20% :( )
Update: +1298 in KER... Hell, no sign of a drop in KER, though growth is slow. No city is flaring too much either.
Data: 25205 tests in KER @ 5.1% ... Testing well, but quick clusters still form (+100 at Poonthura fishing village)
Update: +5864 in TN... Chennai 1091... Coimbatore 190.. all calm. Virudhunagar now down to 100.
Data: 67153 tests in TN @ 8.7%... Not bad :)
Update: +1299 in DEL... +499 in J&K
Data: 20436 tests in DEL (14699 AG) @ 6.3%.. Okay testing better again ..... 7393 in J&K at 6.7%... also not bad.
Update: +6805 in KAR... Bengaluru 2544, Ballari 431, Mysuru 361
Data: 48421 tests (27930 AG) in KAR @14.1%... Good rise by 5K today, but positivity not dropping.
Update: +10328 in AP... At least it didn't shoot up. When will it drop though?
Data: 63686 tests (32739 AG) in AP @ 16.2%... Slight drop from 16.7 yesterday. I'll 'take any drop I can get :)
Update: +1034 in GUJ (numbers beginning to drop?) ... +191 in Goa... +830 in MP...
Update: +1035 in PUN... So we have a problem in Punjab, one (earlier) calm area. Argh! :damn:
Update: +755 in HAR, +298 in UK, +124 in MNP
Update: +11514 in MAH... Only 910 in Mumbai but Pune 3091. Nashik 805, Nagpur 538
Data: 74480 tests in MAH @ 15.5%... 12K rise in tests. What they should have done 2 months ago!! Idiots :)
Update: +2954 in WB
Data: 25224 tests in WB @ 11.4% positivity... Tests rose again, and positivity dropped! Good :)
Update: +395 CHG, +96 ANI, +3 LDK...
Update: +612 in RAJ (night) for 1151 today... +111 in HP (night) for 131 today.
Update: +2372 in ASM... Data: 55671 tests in ASM @ 4.3% ...
Update: +626 in JH (night) for 708 today ... Thank you lord for at least one state not spiking today! :)...
Update: +93 in ARP, +29 SKM, +128 in CHG (night) for 523

+62,170 and that is a final...


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 6 Summary: +62,170 to 2,025,409 at a daily growth rate of 3.167% and a doubling period of 22.3 days
Deaths: +899 to 41,638 ... Still rising, though slowly :( ... Overall death rate drops to 2.06%
Recoveries: +50,141 to 1,377,384... Overall recovery ratio goes up to 68.0%

Bad Areas:
+10328 (5.5%) to 196789 in 13 unlucky districts in the undisciplined state of unmitigated disaster, AP
+3547 (6.0%) to 62190 in 21/30 dists, but NOT Bengaluru/Mangaluru/Kalaburagi/Vijayapura/Bidar/Yadgir, KAR
+3442 (6.2%) to 58797 in 32/75 dists, but NOT Agra/Jhansi/Meerut/Noida/Ghaziabad/Ayodhya/Muzaffarnagar, UP
+2933 (6.1%) to 51559 in 26/38 dists, but NOT Nalanda/Gaya/Jehanabad/Aurangabad/Nawada/Begusarai/etc, BIH
+2036 (7.4%) to 29710 Gad./Chand./Gond./Bhan./Nagpur/Amra./Bul./Par./Latur/Nanded/Osma./Beed/Ahmed.,MAH
+1902 (5.7%) to 35086 in the districts outside of Kamrup Mettro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1242 (6.4%) to 20768 in 20/30 districts around Khordha/Cuttack/Puri/Sundar. etc but NOT Ganjam/Gaja., ODI
+1098 (7.1%) to 16559 (+564+205+329 to 7651+5014+3934) in Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+883 (8.1%) to 11758 in 12/22 dists around Ludhiana/Patiala but NOT Jalandhar/Amritsar/Kapurthala etc., PUN
+815 (4.7%) to 18054 in Nashik district, MAH
[KER (4.5%) has bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.167*1.25 = 3.958%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +28,226 cases to take their total to 501,270 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.97%... The rest of the country had +33,944 cases to take their total to 1,524,139 at a good area growth rate of 2.28%. Today's good areas are where 75.3% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 7 Updates: +99 ANI, +77 NAG, +47 CHD, +25 SKM, +44 DNHDD, +21 MIZ, +19 LDK, +16 MEG and early numbers +422 RAJ, +108 JH, +28 HP

Update: +128 in TPR, +241 in PUD
Update: +2207 in TEL with Hyderabad 532
Data: 23495 tests @ 9.4% ...
Update: +1833 in ODI
Update: +3646 in BIH with Patna 568
Data: 71520 tests @ 5.1% ...
Update: +1192 in DEL
Update: +4404 in UP with Lucknow 707, Kanpur 392, Varanasi 264, Bareilly 211
Data: 95737 tests @ 4.6% ... Still keeping a very good rate, but almost 2/3rd are AG tests.
Update: +1251 in KER
Update: +5580 in TN
Data: 67352 tests @ 8.3% ... Slight drop again.
Update: +473 in J&K (Data: 8812 tests@ 5.4%...very good)... They may be past the peak and going down.
Update: 10171 in AP ... Vishakhapatanam 852, but Kurnool, Anantapur, E.Godav all still 1100+
Data: 62938 (33784 AG) @ 16.2% ... Not improving. Slight worsening actually.
Update: +1074 in GUJ, +751 in HAR, +734 MP
Update: +1039 in PUN... Data: 12168 tests @ 8.5%... They need test a bit more. 15K+
Update: +6670 in KAR ... Bengaluru 2147, Ballari 684, Belagavi 390
Data: 43553 tests (23664 AG) @ 15.3% ... This kind of testing won't do. If it's AG, do tons of it. Or stop it!
Update: +333 in Goa, +249 in MNP, +308 in CHG
Update: +10483 in MAH ... Phew. No rise after raising test numbers! :)
Data: 81655 tests @ 12.8% ... Finally a nice drop (but helped by AG tests). I'll take it!
Update: +2912 in WB
Data: 25258 tests @ 11.5% ... Okay but need to take the take the tests up to 30-35K
Update: +2679 in ASM
Data: 58531 tests @ 4.57%
Update: +739 in RAJ (night) for 1161... +75 in HP (night) for 103 ... +80 in CHG (night) for 388
Update: +618 in JH (night) for 726 ... +101 in ARP ... +260 in UK

+61,437 and that is a final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 7 Summary: +61,455 to 2,086,864 at a daily growth rate of 3.034% and a doubling period of 23.3 days
Deaths: +937 to 42,578 ... This keeps going up, but the overall death rate keeps dropping. Now 2.04%
Recoveries: +50,387 to 1,427,669... Overall recovery ratio is now 68.4%

Bad Areas:
+10171 (5.2%) to 206960 in 13 unlucky districts in the undisciplined state of unmitigated disaster, AP
+3710 (5.7%) to 68362 22/30 dists, but NOT Bengaluru/Mangalore/Mysuru/Davangere/Bidar/Yadgir/Tumakur, KAR
+3279 (5.8%) to 59811 33/75 dists, but NOT Agra/Jhansi/Meerut/Noida/Ghazia./Ayodhya/Muzaffar./Jaunpur, UP
+3098 (6.0%) to 54571 in 27/38 dists, but NOT Gaya/Bhojpur/Siwan/Nawada/Khagaria/Munger/Darbhanga etc, BIH
+2103 (5.8%) to 38379 in Nashik/Ahmednagar/Osmanabad/Beed/Latur/Nanded/Parbhani/Hingoli/Washim,MAH
+1813 (5.0%) to 37804 in Coimbatore,Erode,Salem,Thanjavur and 9 districts surrounding Madurai/Tiruchi, TN
+2237 (6.4%) to 37323 in the districts outside of Kamrup Mettro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1442 (6.4%) to 24102 in 20/30 districts around Khordha/Cuttack/Puri/Sundar. etc but NOT Ganjam/Gaja., ODI
+843 (6.7%) to 13516 in 12/22 dists around Ludhiana/Patiala but NOT Jalandhar/Amritsar/Sangrur/etc.
+747 (6.2%) to 12837 in Hooghly/Nadia/Pu.Medinipur/Pa.Medinipur/Pu.Bardhaman/Birbhum/Murshidabad, WB
[JH (4.6%) and KER (4.1%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.034*1.25 = 3.793%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +29,443 cases to take their total to 553,665 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.61%... The rest of the country had +32,012 cases to take their total to 1,533,199 at a good area growth rate of 2.13%. Today's good areas are where 73.5% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 7 Updates: +52 CHD, +51 DNHDD, +31 NAG, +25 LDK, +17 MEG, +8 MIZ, +6 SKM and early numbers +499 RAJ,+60 JH,+92 HP

Update: +261 in PUD, +146 TPR
Update: +2256 in TEL... Keeps inching up a bit every day.
Update: +1643 in ODI
Update: +4660 in UP with Lucknow 663, Kanpur 253, Prayagraj 256, Goakhpur 229, Varanasi 221
Data: 102982 tests in UP @ 4.5%
Update: +3992 in BIH with Patna 534, Begusarai 201
Data: 75426 tests in BIH @ 5.3%.
Update: +1404 in DEL... They have a second wave going, I think. Need to test/monitor better.
Data: 24592 tests (19092 AG) @ 5.7%... Not enough RT-PCR tests. This may not work?
Update: +1420 in KER... Thiruvananthapuram 485, Kozhikode 173, Kochi (Ernak.) 101... No respite in KER.
Update: +5883 in TN with Chennai 986... Mostly done except Theni district (452), Thanjavur.
Data: 65872 tests @ 8.9%... Very slow burn in TN but it is not coming down fast enough.
Update: +10080 in AP ... It is in a holding pattern. When will it drop a bit?
Data: 62123 tests (31781 AG) @ 16.2% ... The positivity is not improving in AP. Not good.
Update: +463 in J&K, +169 in MNP, +998 in PUN, +1101 in GUJ
Update: +12822 in MAH ... Serious AG testing in all districts. As usual, doing it 4 weeks late but good.
Data: 77375 tests in MAH as per state bulletin, but actually 80.1K. Don't ask why :) ... MAH has no clue.
Update: +501 in UK (now UK is growing!)... 259 in Goa
Update: +7178 in KAR... Oh boy! Bengaluru 2665, Ballari 607, Udupi 313
Data: 43883 tests (22310 AG) in KAR @ 16.4% ... This is not improving in KAR.
Update: +335 in CHG, +129 in ANI, +789 in HAR,
Update: +859 in MP (not sure why Covid19india says +1298?? - EDIT: They corrected it)
Update: +2949 in WB ... The Kolkata areas have become really calm. Decent testing now too.
Data: 25148 tests @ 11.7%
Update: +672 in RAJ (night) for 1171 today...
Update: +2218 in ASM... Well, thank you ASM! At least somebody had a nice little drop today
Data: 54845 tests @ 4.04% ... And their positivity dropped a bit too. Nice! :dance:
Update: +926 in JH (night) for 936 today... Ranchi 308. Giridih district finally testing. +286 there.
Update: +22 in HP (night) for 114... +112 in CHG (night) for +447 today... +68 ARP

+65,156 and that is a final!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 7 Summary: +65,156 to 2,152,020 at a daily growth rate of 3.122% and a doubling period of 22.6 days
Deaths: +875 to 43,453... A slight drop there for a change. Overall death rate drops to 2.02%
Recoveries: +52,135 to 1,479,804... A good day there, and the overall recovery ratio is 68.8%

Bad Areas:
+10080 (4.9%) to 217040 in all 13 unlucky dists in the undisciplined state of unmitigated disaster, AP
+5680 (6.0%) to 100930 in 22/35 dists, but NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Raigad/Palghar/Aurang./Satara etc, MAH
+3589 (5.8%) to 65535 in 20/30 dists, but NOT BengaluruU&R/Kalab./Mangal/Mysuru/Bidar/Shivmog. etc, KAR
+3558 (6.2%) to 60948 in 31/38 dists, but NOT Bhagalpur/Muzaffar./Gaya/Nawada/Khagaria/Darbh./Jamui, BIH
+3508 (5.8%) to 64075 in 39/75 dists, but NOT Kanpur/Agra/Barab./Jhansi/Meerut/Noida/Ghazia./Jaunpur, UP
+1919 (5.1%) to 39242 in the districts outside of Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+999 (6.3%) to 16818 in 14/30 dists, but NOT Ganjam/Cuttack/Gajapati/Jajpur/Kendhu./Mayurbhanj etc, ODI
+792 (5.0%) to 16595 in Hooghly/Nadia/Pa.Medini./Pu.Medini./Pa.Bardh./Pu.Bardh./Birbhum/Murshidabad, WB
[JH (6.0%) and KER (4.5%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

The growth is becoming exclusively in rural districts now, in a few states. Robust growth but not at city rates. And these numbers are from good test positivity too. Basically, Maharashtra's AG testing is adding some good numbers now (+5680 above!). I expect Maharashtra to leave the list fairly soon again, but UP/BIH/AP/KAR will take some time. TN has fully left the list and may not return.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.123*1.25 = 3.903%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +30,125 cases to take their total to 581,183 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.47%... The rest of the country had +35,031 cases to take their total to 1,570,837 at a good area growth rate of 2.15%. Today's good areas are where 73.0% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 9 Updates: +93 NAG, +89 CHD, +45 DNHDD, +41 MIZ, +39 MEG, +6 SKM and early numbers +596 RAJ, +158 JH, +70 HP

Update: +259 in PUD, +147 in TPR
Update: +1982 in TEL with Hyderabad down to 463
Data: 22925 tests @ 8.6%. That is a nice drop in positivity too, in TEL.
Update: +1734 in ODI with Bhubaneswar(Khorda) 342 and Cuttack 177
Update: +3934 in BIH with Patna 781 and Begusarai 244
Data: 75628 tests in BIH @ 5.2%
Update: +1300 in DEL
Data: 23787 tests (18085 AG) in DEL @ 5.5%
Update: +4571 in UP with Lucknow 684, Kanpur 389, Varanasi 300
Data: 99867 tests in UP @ 4.6%
Update: +1211 in KER... Th'puram 292. Not dropping but things are flat inn the state.
Update: +5994 in TN... Chennai 989
Data: 70186 tests in TN @ 8.5%... Getting better. Good :)
Update: +507 in J&K, +1078 in GUJ, +118 in MNP, +868 in MP, +230 in UK
Update: +975 in PUN from 13477 tests @ 7.2%... Hopefully they'll hold it flat now.
Update: 10820 in AP... Another peak. Vishakha 961 and E.Godav 1543, Kurnool 1399
Data: 62912 tests (29081 AG) in AP @ 17.2.. The positivity is only rising there. :damn:
Update: +792 in HAR, +506 in Goa, +139 in ANI
Update: +5985 in KAR... Slightly lower numbers. Good :) ... Bengaluru 1948
Data: 37936 tests (17113 AG) in KAR @ 15.8% ... That fell a teeny bit from 16.5 too. Ok, good.
Update: +2939 in WB ... The Kolkata area is holding steady or dropping.
Data: 26242 tests @ at 11.2% ... 1000 more tests, 100 fewer cases. Good stuff! :)
Update: +12248 in MAH ... 390 deaths. Holy crap. This state never got a grip on anything :damn:
Data: 78,070 tests @ 15.7% in MAH
Update: +293 in CHG... +38 ARP
Update: +573 in RAJ (night) for 1169... +37 in HP (night) for 107
Update: +1123 in ASM... Smaller numbers but due to fewer tests.
Data: 24492 tests in ASM @ 4.6%...
Update: +530 in JH (night) for 688... +49 in LDK

+62,117 and that is a final... a 3K drop today.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 9 Summary: +62,117 to 2,214,137 at a daily growth rate of 2.886% and doubling period of 24.4 days
Deaths: +1,013 to 44,466, so no flattening on that yet :( ... Overall death rate drops to 2.00%
Recoveries: +54,474 to 1,534,278 and the overall recovery ratio edges up to 69.3%

Bad Areas:
+10820 (5.0%) to 227860 in all 13 unlucky dists in the undisciplined state of unmitigated disaster, AP
+4796 (5.9%) to 85507 in 22/35 dists, but NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Raigad/Palghar/Aur./Jal./Sol. etc, MAH
+3415 (6.0%) to 60277 in 28/38 dists, but NOT Bhagal./Nal./Gaya/Siw./Naw./Kha./Sup./Jeh./Sit./Arw.,BIH
+2823 (5.1%) to 58058 in 16/30 dists, but NOT BengaluruU&R/Kalab./Mangal/Dharwad/Yadgir/Bidar/etc, KAR
+2747 (5.4%) to 53267 in 28/75 dists, but NOT Agra/Meerut/Morad./Noida/Ghazia./Barab./Jhansi/Jaun., UP
+1099 (5.9%) to 19643 in S.Parg./Pu-Pa.Medini/Jhar./Puru./Bank./Pa-Pu.Bardh/Birbhum/Murshid./Nadia, WB
+1088 (6.0%) to 19232 in 14/16 14/30 dists, with Bhubanes(Khord)/Cuttack but NOT Ganjam/Raya./Jaj.,ODI
+750 (6.6%) to 12094 in 10/22 dists around Ludhiana/Patiala but NOT Jalandhar/Amritsar/Sangrur/etc PUN
[KER (3.7%) had bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.886*1.25 = 3.608%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +27,538 cases to take their total to 535,938 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.42%... The rest of the country had +34,579 cases to take their total to 1,678,199 at a good area growth rate of 2.10%. Today's good areas are where 75.8% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 10 Updates: +92 HP, +80 CHD, +62 DNHDD, +62 TPR, +53 MEG, +44 SKM, +12 MEG, and early numbers +598 RAJ

Update: +230 NAG, +242 PUD
Update: +1256 in TEL with only 389 in Hyderabad
Data: 11609 tests in TEL @ 10.8% ... A typical slight increase due to Sunday tests.
Update: +4113 in UP with Lucknow 630 (holding at a peak?), Kanpur 270, Gorakhpur 255
Data: 91020 tests @ 4.5% ...
Update: +3021 in BIH with Patna 404, a bit down.
Data: 75346 tests in BIH @ 4.0% ... That is a serious drop by about 22 percents.
Update: +1528 in ODI with Bhubaneswar(Khorda) 218
Data: 19083 tests in ODI @ at 8% ... Keeping a decent rate of testing.
Update: +5914 in TN with Chennai 1004, Coimbatore 291, Theni 359
Data: 67153 tests in TN @ 8.8%
Update: +707 in DEL with 12323 tests (9012 AG) @ 5.7%
Update: +1184 in KER (Malappuram 255, Kochi/Ernakulam 101)... +470 in J&K
Update: +7665 in AP... Drop due to fewer tests. Still 1235 in E.Godav (test result delays)
Data: 46999 tests (24331 AG) in AP @ 16.3%, so the positivity is the same.
Update: +1056 in GUJ, +986 in PUN, +100 in MNP, +317 in Goa, +866 in MP, +389 in UK, +794 in HAR
Update: +9181 in MAH
Data: 48430 tests @ 19% positivity in MAH. Not many AG tests on Sunday, so the positivity is up a bit.
Update: +4267 in KAR with Bengaluru 1243, Mysuru 374
Data: 22620 tests (8.2K AG) @ 18.9%... Too high. Move your ass, Yedi (discharged now)
Update: +354 in CHG (evening)
Update: +2905 in WB from 26297 tests @ 11% positivity. Not terrible.
Update: +135 in ANI... +630 JH... +575 in RAJ (night) for 1173 today... +29 in LDK... +76 in ARP
Update: +2900 in ASM with Guwahati 382, Dibrugarh 250
Data: 60425 tests in ASM @ 4.8%
Update: +123 in CHG (night) for 477

+53,016 and that is a final!!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 10 Summary: +53,016 to 2,267,153 at a daily growth rate of 2.394% and a doubling period of 29.3 days
Deaths: +886 to 45,352... Overall death rate drops to 2.00%
Recoveries: +47,362 to 1,581,640, so overall recovery ratio is 69.8%

Bad Areas:
+5788 (3.7%) to 160434 in 9 of 13 districts but NOT Anantapur/Chittoor/Guntur/Krishna, AP
+3604 (5.3%) to 71070 in 19/35 dists, but NOT Mumbai/Pune/Thane/Nashik/Raigad/Palghar/Aurang. etc, MAH
+3062 (4.9%) to 66064 in 33/75 dists, but NOT Agra/Meerut/Morad./Noida/Ghazia./Jhansi/Jaun./Ballia, UP
+2775 (4.3%) to 67593 in 29/38 dists, but NOT Bhagal./Kati./Siw./Naw./Sita./Jam./Madhe./Lakhe./Kai.,BIH
+2518 (6.3%) to 42643 in the districts outside of Kamrup Metro (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+1804 (4.2%) to 45175 in 15/30 dists, but NOT BengaluruU&R/Ballari/Kalab./Mangal/Udupi/Dharwad/etc, KAR
+948 (4.4%) to 22383 in Coimbatore/Erode/Tiruppur/Dindigul/Karur/Theni, TN
+858 (5.0%) to 18045 in 14/22 dists around Jalandhar/Ludhiana/Patiala but NOT Amritsar/Sangrur/etc PUN
+782 (5.6%) to 14846 in Malda/Pu & Pa Medini./Pu & Pa Bardh./Jhar./Puru./Bank./Birbhum/Murshid., WB
[ODI (3.3%) and KER (3.4%) have bad statewide numbers, but no contiguous area of 650+ cases]

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (2.394*1.25 = 2.993%) and 750+ new cases... The bad areas together had +22,139 cases to take their total to 508,253 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.55%... The rest of the country had +30,877 cases to take their total to 1,758,900 at a good area growth rate of 1.79%. Today's good areas are where 77.6% of our current cases are.