sameerph wrote: ↑Thu May 14, 2020 5:47 am
I just read that article. It says that the increase in percentage is due to change in testing protocol targetting only containment zones. I am not quite clear about that. Containment zones is designated so only when postives are found there. Does that mean earlier they were testing randomly across city ? And why that is stopped if they were still getting positives out of it.
Yeah, it is all BS that Mumbai is doing. I think they wanted to reduce the deaths, so some brainless mandarins decided to grab a lot more people from containment zones and get them into hospitals early or whatever, to avoid deaths. Asinine. In the process, they seemed have stopped tracing, so they are not going to new places, which is where you need to catch people early. Those in the containment zones probably already have a clue on what to do and if you don't tests them till 5 days later, nothing will happen. Just tell them what to do, and move on to tracing more people elsewhere. There is a fine balance to be struck between things, and Mumbai has struggled right from the start on these things. It is not rocket science though. Every other state knows how to do it. Or pick up the phone and talk to somebody in other states. When the people in your city are about to die, somebody needs to care enough. This is all just unacceptable bungling, for way too long.
Is there any site which gives testing numbers for Mumbai seprately to confirm that there were only around 2400 or tests daily in Mumbai ( if we take 800+ positives and 33 % rate).
No, I haven't seen it. That number of 2400 is just something I guessed, seeing 9.5K tests in MAH yesterday. We do know that they went up to 12 and 13K and then it went down. There is no reason for other places like Pune, Nagpur, Solepur, Satara etc to suddenly change their tracing and testing schemes and go down in numbers, so they must be doing the same number of tests or more there. The only place where there was serious organizational change was Mumbai. So I was already wondering if they had gone down from 5 or 6K and 7-8% positivity to 3 or 4K and 15-20% positivity. Then I saw the 33% number, and the numbers fell right in place as 2.5K in Mumbai and 7K for the rest of the state.
But no independent confirmation. The state is just not reporting anything properly on testing. Usually it is an indication that the leaders and top officials are probably still unaware of the extreme significance of testing numbers, and none of them are asking. Check how Rajasthan, TN, etc clearly give testing numbers in their daily releases. MP, UP, etc, all do it. See how WB got up to speed once Mamata changed her mind, and properly started doing testing and giving numbers. If asked to do their job, our officials would spend mental energy to figure out these things. I think they are being allowed to goof off by political leaders. Too early to say if the new BMC commissioner understands things, but early results after 5-6 days is negative on him. Too much of talk on hospital beds and all that, which is not at all the issue in Mumbai. The first thing is to reduce the spread and growth rate. Not a medical issue, really. Those issues can be handled 10 days later once you have the testing/tracing going right. All these 8 IAS people handling everything else and just 1 in charge of the most important matter right now, tells you something. Like I said, a lot depends on that one lady now. If she is good, you may be saved. If not, God save Mumbai.
