Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 19 Summary: +40,243 from 1,118,107 at a recent-high daily growth rate of 3.734% and doubling period of 19.0 days.
Deaths: +675 to 27,503... Entirely too many :( ... But the overall death rate still drops to 2.46%
Recoveries: +22,742 to 700,399... Overall recovery ratio: 62.6%, as it is stuck at around that figure.

Bad Areas:
+5041 (11.3%) to 49650 in the state of AP
+4418 (6.1%) to 77022 (+3049+572+565+232 to 54624+11413+9533+1452) in Pune/Raigad/Nashik/Ahmednagar, MAH
+2386 (7.6%) to 33788 (+2156+70+135+25 to 31775+637+840+486) in Bengaluru/B-rural/Chikkaballapur/Kolar, KAR
+1878 (5.7%) to 34816 outside Meerut/Ghaz./Noida/Agra/Aligarh/Buland./Hapur (west end near Delhi), UP
+1412 (5.7%) to 26379 in the state of BIH
+1358 (5.7%) to 25160 (+662+544+152 to 13344+8576+3240) in Kolkata/N.Parganas/S.Parganas, WB
+572 (7.0%) to 8744 (+134+285+43+110 to 2223+3591+885+2045) in Udupi/D.Kannada/Hassan/Mysuru, KAR
+733 (9.4%) to 8515 in Davan./Shivmog./Dharwad./U.Kann./Haveri./Belagvi./Bagalkot./Vijayapura., KAR
+638 (9.7%) to 7227 in Thiruvananthapuram/Kollam/Alapuzha/Idukki/Ernakulam/Thrissur/Palakkad, KER
+701 (5.3%) to 13899 in the UT of J&K
+607 (8.3%) to 7885 in Coimbatore/Nilgiris/Tiruppur/Dindigul/Tiruchi./Pudukkottai, TN
+587 (6.6%) to 9461 (+151+77+266+93 to 3441+1096+3393+1531) in Thooth./Tenkasi/Virud./Siva./Rama., TN
+557 (5.3%) to 11072 in the Kamarup Metro dist (Guwahati), ASM

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.734*1.25 = 4.667%) and 550+ new cases... The bad areas together had +20,888 cases to take their total to 313,618 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.13%... The rest of the country had +19,355 cases to take their total to 804,489 at a good area growth rate of 2.47%. Today's good areas are where 72.0% of our current cases are.

Basically, AP added a 2000 more than expected, continuing the trend over the last 3 days. Except for AP, things were going on expected lines. But AP will make everybody's hair grey and life expectancy less (from stress).


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 20 Updates: +93 PUD, +33 NAG, +21 DNHDD, +20 CHD, +22 SKM, +19 MEG, +17 LDK, +14 MNP, +13 MIZ, +4 ANI and early numbers +401 RAJ,+47 JH, +40 in HP, +18 CHG

Update: +673 in ODI... No new issues seen. Testing could be more, but keeping about an 8 or 9% positivity
Update: +798 in KER with 182 in Th'puram and 72 in Ernakulam(Kochi).
Update: +1076 in BIH
Update: +954 in DEL...
Data: 11470 tests (7293 AG) @ 8.3% positivity in DEL.
Update: +1913 in UP... Lucknow with a 283. They need to watch it there!
Data: 43401 tests in UP at 4.4% positivity.
Update: +4985 in TN with 1298 in Chennai
Data: 52087 tests in TN @ 9.6% positivity, so getting better. No reduction of testing on Sunday! :)
Update: +4074 in AP
Data: 33580 tests in AP @ 12.1%... 16195 Antigen tests!! THAT is why the numbers went up earlier! Okay then :)
Update:+710 in MP, +410 in PUN, +196 Goa
Update: +8240 in MAH with 1035 Mumbai, 1638 Thane and 2400 Pune.
Data: 36358 tests @ 22.6%... This state will never improve on testing. So sad :(
Update: +998 in GUJ, +694 in HAR, +127 in UK
Update: +3648 in KAR with 1452 in Bengaluru.
Data: 36473 tests (15422 AG) at exactly 10% positivity. Now we are talking, Karnataka! :)
Update: +1198 in TEL with 510 in Hyderabad, 106 Rangareddy and 76 Medchal
Data: 11003 tests in TEL @ 10.9%... I guess we need to take their word for all this.
Update: +555 in RAJ (night) for 956 today... +173 in CHG (night) for 191 today.
Update: +751 in J&K
Update: +2282 in WB...
Update: +202 in TPR... +178 in JH (night) for 225... +70 in HP (night) for 110.
Update: +50 in ARP
Update: 1093 in ASM with 448 in Guwahati (which is now pretty much calm)
Data: 19412 tests @ 5.6% positivity. Pretty good!

+36,810 is the final


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 20 Summary: +36,810 to 1,154,917 at a daily growth rate of 3.292% and 21.5 days
Death: +596 to 28,099... Our death rate has now fallen to 2.43%
Recoveries: +24,303 to 724,702... Overall recovery ratio: 62.7%

Bad Areas:
+2400 (4.4%) to 57024 in Pune District, MAH
+2196 (6.9%) to 34193 outside Bengaluru in the state of KAR
+1870 (9.1%) to 22464 (+559+342+152+221+596 to 6604+5483+2798+2085+5494) in Kur./Anant./Kad./Prak./Gunt., AP
+1777 (5.5%) to 34086 (+645+574+213+164+181 to 13989+9150+5319+3404+2224) in Kolkata/N.Par./How./S.Par./Hoog., WB
+1643 (4.7%) to 36459 outside Meerut/Ghaz./Noida/Agra/Aligarh/Buland./Hapur (west end near Delhi), UP
+1542 (13.3%) to 13123 (+354+1086+102 to 3691+7232+2200) in W.Godavari/E.Godavari/Vishak., AP
+1242 (6.0%) to 21878 in Coimb./Nil./Tiruppur/Theni/Thooth./Tirunel./Tenk./Viru./Siva./Pud./Thanj./Thiruvar., TN
+1197 (5.7%) to 22093 in Ahmednagar/Nashik/Jalgaon/Buldhana/Jalna/Washim/Hingoli, MAH
+798 (6.4%) to 13279 in the state of KER
+645 (5.4%) to 12698 outside the Kamrup Metro dist (Guwahati), ASM
+550 (13.7%) to 4554 (+169+62+111+95+90+23 to 3070+1165+111+95+90+23) in Sree./Shop./Pulw./Budg./Ram./Raj., J&K

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.292*1.25 = 4.115%) and 550+ new cases... The bad areas together had +15,860 cases to take their total to 271,851 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.20%... The rest of the country had +20,950 cases to take their total to 883,066 at a good area growth rate of 2.43%. Today's good areas are where 76.5% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 21 Updates: +87 PUD, +27 DNHDD, +21 MEG,+14 CHD, +25 SKM, +9 NAG, +5 ANI, +3 LDK and early numbers +351 RAJ, +44 JH, +25 HP.

Update: +647 ODI... A slight reduction in the Ganjam area riding the peak, but a +84 in Cuttack... Keep an eye.
Update: +1109 BIH
Update: +720 in KER... Things getting under some control there.
Update: +4965 in TN with 1241 in Chennai. Madurai/Thiruchi/Salem all down sharply.
Data: 51066 tests @ 9.7%... Not coming down fast enough, but things getting better in TN.
Update: +4944 in AP
Data: 37162 (16610 AG) tests in AP @ 13.3% ...
Update: +2128 in UP... Lucknow 212 and Kanpur 230... quite worrisome.
Update: +1349 in DEL
20852 (15201 AG) tests @ 6.5% in Delhi. Good going :)
Update: +3649 in KAR with 1741 in Bengaluru.
Data: 43904 (19328 AG) tests @ 8.3% positivity. The state got control of this really fast!! :dance: :dance:
Update: +379 in PUN, +785 in MP, +1026 in GUJ, +90 MNP, +604 in HAR, +207 in UK
Comment: All these states - PUN, MP, GUJ, MNP, HAR seem to be fully under control now. Nice! :)
Update: +8369 in MAH... Mumbai 945, Thane 1383, Pune 2721
Data: 39977 tests in MAH @ 20.9%. Why the hell can't this state do what UP, AP and KAR do with AG tests? :damn:
Update: +2261 in WB...
Data: 13,064 tests @ 17.3%... It keeps going up but the stupid lady is in no mood to do AG tests in WB. Clueless. :damn:
Update: +174 Goa, +133 CHG
Update: +632 in RAJ (night) for 983 today. +8 in HP (night) for 33
Update: +1431 in TEL... +703 in Hyderabad, says the state. No idea what the heck they are doing.
Data: 16855 samples tested in TEL @ 8.5%
Update: +608 in J&K
Update: +374 in JH (night) for 418 today. Need to keep an eye on JH... +254 in TPR... +68 ARP
Comment: Tripura is getting a bunch of cases. But 5184 tests @ 4.9%, so things are fine for now.
Update: +1680 in ASM with 570 in Guwahati.
Data: 18152 tests in ASM @ 9.2% Positivity. May need to increase the testing even more :(
Comment: Looks like they have Guwahati under control, but needs to calm other districts' local spread now.

+39,172 is the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 21 Summary: +39,172 to 1,194,085 at a daily growth rate of 3.392% and doubling period of 20.8 days.
Deaths: +671 to 28,770... Bad numbers continue, but our overall death rate still drops to 2.41%
Recoveries: +27,589 to 752,393... Overall recovery ratio is 63.0%

Bad Areas:
+4944 (9.2%) to 58668 in the state of AP
+3403 (5.3%) to 67929 (+2721+430+252 to 59745+6266+1918) in Pune/Solapur/Ahmednagar, MAH
+1993 (5.6%) to 37492 (+1714+95+103+81 to 34941+940+630+981) in Bengaluru/Blr-Rural/Kolar/Chikkaballa., KAR
+1897 (5.2%) to 38356 outside Meerut/Ghaz./Noida/Agra/Aligarh/Buland./Hapur (west end near Delhi), UP
+1680 (6.7%) to 26773 in the state of ASM
+1534 (4.8%) to 33396 (+651+456+220+207 to 14640+9606+5539+3611) in Kolkata/N.Par./How./S.Par./Hoog., WB
+822 (7.5%) to 11829 (+131+361+271+59 to 2732+3924+3914+1259) in Theni/Virudnagar/Thoothukkudi/Tenkasi, TN.
+720 (5.4%) to 13995 in the state of KER
+702 (8.9%) to 8579 in Ballari/Chitradurga/Davangere/Chikkamaga./Tumakur/Hassan/Mysuru/Chamarajanagara, KAR

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.392*1.25 = 4.240%) and 550+ new cases... The bad areas together had +17,695 cases to take their total to 297,017 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.33%... The rest of the country had +21,477 cases to take their total to 897,068 at a good area growth rate of 2.45%. Today's good areas are where 75.1% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 22 Updates: +121 PUD, +57 NAG, +29 CHD, +24 MEG, +36 DNHDD, +20 MIZ, +9 ANI, +8 LDK, and early numbers +226 RAJ, +48 JH, +33 HP

Update: +1078 in ODI
Update: +1502 in BIH... And big Patna numbers finally coming. +455
Update: +1038 in KER... 20847 tests @ 5.0%... Th'puram and Kochi okay, but good rise in other districts.
Update: +6045 in AP... Finally, the Vishakapatnam numbers hit the ledger with a +1049 Damn!
Data: 49553 (19535 AG) tests @ 12.2% in AP. A ton of AG tests. Positivity drop from 13.3 to 12.2% Good! :)
Update: +5849 in TN with 1184 in Chennai. A small 2nd wave in Chennai farther-suburbs. Else, Okay.
Data: 60112 tests in TN @ 9.7%... Same positivity as yesterday. [They reconciled 444 deaths today]
Update: +1227 in DEL
Data: 20060 (14810 AG) tests at @ 6.2% positivity. It keeps dropping. Down from 6.5 yesterday.
Update: +2300 in UP
Data: 45650 tests at 5.0% positives in UP.
Update: +412 in PUN
Update: 1020 in GUJ
Update: +724 in HAR, +747 in MP, +45 MNP
Update: +4764 in KAR with 2050 in Bengaluru
Data: 48140 (24319 AG) tests at 9.9% positivity in KAR.
Update: +10576 in MAH. Wow! First to cross 10K in a day. Mumbai 1310, Thane 1779, Pune 3606!!
Data: 46569 tests at 22.7%, but maybe the AG tests in Pune are not added here? Doesn't look like it.
Update: +453 in J&K, +237 in CHG
Update: +2291 in WB
Data: 14040 tests @ 16.3% in WB, as their bullshit continues :damn:
Update: +451 in UK... A sizeable jump there... +149 in Goa
Update: +735 in RAJ (night) for 961
Update: +1554 in TEL with 842 in Hyderabad
Data: 15882 tests at 9.8%, says TEL. As they are extremely trustworthy, accept the number :)
Update: +28 in HP (night) for 61, +108 in SKM (big jump!)
Update: +439 in JH (night) for 487 today. The +439 is from 5376 tests @8.1%
Update: +31 in CHG (night) for 268
Update: +972 in ASM with only 354 in Guwahati
Update: +126 in TPR, +91 in ARP

+45,601 is the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 22 Summary: 45,601 to 1,239,684 at a daily growth rate of 3.819% and a doubling period of 18.6 days.
Deaths: +1130 to 29,890. A jump due to the TN number corrections. Overall death rate: 2.41%
Recoveries: +31,874 to 784,266... Overall recovery ratio: 63.3%

Bad Areas:
+6045 (10.3%) to 64713 in the state of AP
+5051 (6.3%) to 85297 (+3606+1445 to 63351+21,946) in Pune + Solapur/Ahmednagar/Nashik/Dhule, MAH
+4764 (6.7%) to 75833 in the state of KAR
+960 (8.0%) to 12925 (+335+211+414 to 5697+4444+2784) in Kancheepuram/Thiruvannamalai/Ranipet, TN
+954 (6.1%) to 16471 (+624+191+139 to 10230+3802+2439) in N.Parganas/S.Parganas/Hooghly, WB
+809 (6.9%) to 12599 in Lucknow/Hardoi/Shahja./Bareil./Unnao/Kanpur/R.Bareil/Hamir./Mahoba/Jhansi, UP
+775 (8.5%) to 9872 (+363+85+327 to 4287+1344+4241) in Virudunagar/Tenkasi/Thoothukkudi, TN
+770 (8.4%) to 9956 in Th'puram/Kollam/Patha./Iduk./Kott./Alapp./Ern.(Kochi)/Thrissur, KER
+710 (7.5%) to 10161 in Puri/Khorda/Ganjam/Kandhamal/Rayagada/Koraput/Malkangiri, ODI
+694 (6.7%) to 11078 in Theni/Dindigal/Thiruchi./Pudukkottai/Thanjavur/Thirvarur, TN

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.819*1.25 = 4.773%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +21,532 cases to take their total to 308,905 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.49%... The rest of the country had +24,069 cases to take their total to 930,779 at a good area growth rate of 2.65%. Today's good areas are where 75.1% of our current cases are.

The bad areas were pretty "bad" today, which was good, as some of them are catching a lot of cases early with Antigen tests. It continues to feel like we are accelerating toward a rather clear peak and drop in some of those areas and a settling toward the average rate under 3% in the rest of the country, which would be total daily additions in the 35-45K range fairly soon, after we go up to even 50 or 55K in a hurry. Let us see.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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July 23 Updates: +121 PUD, +90 NAG, +45 DNHDD, +20 CHD, +22 SKM, +20 MEG, +19 ANI, +4 LDK, +9 MIZ, and early numbers +339 RAJ, +79 JH, +58 HP

Update: +1264 in ODI but Cuttack is still calm (test there, will you??)... Ganjam/Khorda/Gajapati with around 750
Update: +1265 in BIH with 307 in Patna.
Update: +6472 in TN with 1336 in Chennai
Data: 62112 tests at 10.4%... Is TN also doing AG tests for positives but not adding them in test count (like MAH)?
Update: +7998 in AP with 684 in Vishakhapatanam and 1391 in E.Godavari dist.
Data: 58052 tests (25618 AG) at 13.8% positivity.
Update: +2516 in UP
Data: 54897 tests (20366 AG) at 4.6%... Not bad. So UP is also reporting AG tests now.
Update: +1078 in KER with 222 in Th'puram and 100 in Ernakulam(Kochi).
Data: 22433 tests in KER @ 4.8%... Not bad. Not sure how many are AGs.
Update: +438 in PUN, +55 in MNP
Update: +5030 in KAR with 2207 in Bengaluru.
Comment: The KAR release does not show test data today. I think everybody has messed up data with AG tests!
Data-Update: KAR reduces 5 days' of AG numbers (blames ICMR portal). 27773 tests (6107 AG) @ 18.1% today :(
Update: +789 in HAR, +632 in MP, +255 CHG, +174 Goa
Update: +9895 in MAH but 298 deaths (too many) :( ... 1245 Mumbai, 1797 Thane, 3187 Pune
Data: 50503 tests @ 19.6%, which is a nice drop there :)... I think the AG tests are still not being added.
Update: +1078 in GUJ, +718 in J&K, +145 in UK
Update: +2436 in WB with 795 in Kolkata. They need stop trying the GUJ model. It's dangerous.
Data: 14588 tests in WB @ 16.7%. Still no sign of Antigen tests. Get a clue, Mamata.
Update: +1041 in Delhi
Data: 18226 tests (12465 AG) @ 5.7% positivity. It dropped from 23% to that, this month! :dance: :dance:
Update: +547 in RAJ (night) for 886 today.
Update:+1562 with +662 in Hyderabad, as the KCR woodoo keeps on going.
Data: 13367 tests @ 11.7% positivity in TEL. If thy are lying, they are certainly consistent in it.
Update: +51 in HP (night) to 109 today
Update: +405 in JH (night) for 484 today... 198 in Ranchi.. That flare will go on a while more.
Update: +116 in CHG (night) for 371 today... +42 in ARP...
Update: +206 in TPR (136 of it from AG tests. 4473 total tests, so TPR is doing fine at 4.6% positivity)
Update: +1047 in ASM (and only 219 in Guwahati. Good job there; Need to handle the rest of the state now)
Data: 19913 tests @ 5.3% in ASM

+48,446 is the final number.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 23 Summary: 48,446 to 1,288,130 at a daily growth rate of 3.908% at a doubling period of 18.1 days
Deaths: +755 to 30,645... The daily death numbers aren't flattening yet. Overall death rate drops to 2.38%
Recoveries: +33,827 to 817,554... Overall recovery ratio is stuck at around the same value for a while now: 63.5%

Bad Areas:
+7998 (12.4%) to 72711 in the state of AP
+5030 (6.6%) to 80863 in the state of KAR
+3743 (5.1%) to 77839 (+3187+556 to 66538+11301) in Pune/Nashik, MAH
+1210 (9.4%) to 14054 (+480+68+247+415 to 4767+1412+3219+4656) Virudu./Tenkasi/Tirunelveli/Thoothuk., TN
+1157 (7.7%) to 16208 in Coimb./Nil./Tiruppur/Karur/Nama./Dind./Theni/Thiruchi./Pudu/Thanj./Ariyalur, TN
+1643 (5.2%) to 32969 (+795+545+303 to 16127+10775+6067) in Kolkata/N.Parganas/Howrah, WB
+1078 (7.2%) to 16111 in the state of KER
+834 (8.2%) to 10950 (+74+540+61+137+22 to 816+6902+410+2356+466) in Gaja./Ganjam/Naya./Khorda/Puri, ODI
+828 (5.7%) to 13538 outside Kamrup Metro Dist. (Guwahati) in the state of ASM
+705 (7.6%) to 9979 in Lucknow/Hardoi/Shahjah./Sitapur/LakhimpurKheri/Kanpur, UP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.908*1.25 = 4.885%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,226 cases to take their total to 345,222 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.55%... The rest of the country had +24,220 cases to take their total to 942,908 at a good area growth rate of 2.64%. Today's good areas are where 73.2% of our current cases are.

Basically the same areas have been bad lately (and they get a bit worse every day, but hopefully things will flatten there soon. It's got to happen!). The vast majority of the country outside of the 4 southern states and a coupe of strips of districts in UP, ODI, WB, and ASM are pretty calm with 27 day doubling period (average). But in the bad areas it is like 10 to 15 days now. That can't go on for ever, so no need to panic.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 24 Updates: +95 PUD, +65 NAG, +44 DNHDD, +36 LDK, +24 MEG, +23 CHD, +19 ANI, +6 MIZ, +4 SKM and early numbers +375 RAJ, +86 JH, +14 HP

Update: +1594 in ODI... 136 in Cuttack, and 1000+ in the Ganjam/Khorda area. A good jump.
Data: 11647 tests @ 13.7... This has gone up quickly. Not sure if they started AG tests not added here.
Update: +1820 in BIH with 561 in Patna.
Data: 10456 tests @ 17.4%. If there aren't AG tests not added here, BIH is in serious trouble.
Update: +2667 in UP
Data: 50697 tests @ at 5.3% in UP. Starting pool testing early is why they have done so well.
Update: +8147 in AP... 49 deaths. Vishakha 898... Other Districts' are mostly asymp cases.
Data: 48114 tests (22989 AG) in AP @ 16.9%...
Update: +885 in KER... Th'puram/Kollam (southern-most 2 districts) with 300 but Kochi was calm.
Data: 25160 tests (9737 AG) in KER @ 3.5%.... So, such rates are possible if you do things right.
Update: +6785 in TN with 1299 in Chennai
Data: 65150 tests in TN @ 10.4%... When can TN ever end this? Growth is rather slow but no drop :(
Update: +5007 in KAR. 110 deaths (too many! :()... 2267 in Bengaluru
Data: 29819 tests (7411 AG) in KAR @ 16.8%
Update: +353 in J&K... Good drop there for 2 days. Maybe temporary.
Update: +736 in MP, +477 in PUN, +780 in HAR, +31 MNP, +27 in HP (night) for 41 today
Data: 11076 tests in HAR @ 7.0%.... 1380 @ 2.2% in MNP... so the calm states like HAR, MNP are doing well :)
Update: +1068 in GUJ... They test at around 15K per day now, so a positivity around 7%. Good enough.
Update: +272 in UK, +190 in Goa
Update: +2216 in WB with 1266 in Kolkata/N.Parganas
Data: 15485 tests in WB @ 14.3%. Damnit, do some 10K antigen tests a day, will you? :(
Update: +9615 in MAH with Mumbai 1057, Thane 1481, Pune 3381
Data: 49590 tests in MAH @ 19.4%... Another slight drop. Good :)
Update: +477 in CHG, +583 in RAJ (night) for 958 today. (EDIT: CHG only +361, EDIT2: +449 on night update)
Update: +1025 in DEL
Data: 19137 tests (13810 AG) in DEL @ 5.4%... Fabulous! :notworthy:
Update: +1640 in TEL with 683 in Hyderabad
Data: 15445 tests in TEL @ 10.6% positivity.
Update: +88 in CHG to 449 today... +79 in HP (night) for 120... +29 in MEG (night) for 53
Update: +106 TPR, +65 ARP, +314 inn JH (night) for 400
Update: +1130 in ASM

+48,894 is the final!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 24 Summary: 48,895 to 1,337,022 at a daily growth rate of 3.796% and 18.6 days.
Deaths: +761 to 31,406... Overall death rate: 2.35%
Recoveries: +32,514 to 850,107... Overall recovery ratio: 63.6%

Bad Areas:
+8147 (11.2%) to 80852 in the state of AP
+4042 (6.5%) to 66498 outside of Chennai/Chengal./Thiruval./Vellore/Thiruvan./Madurai in the state of TN
+3539 (5.1%) to 72493 (+3381+158 to 69919+2574) in Pune/Ahmednagar, MAH
+2267 (5.8%) to 41467 in Bengaluru, KAR
+2265 (7.3%) to 33196 outside of Bengaluru/D.Kannada/Kalaburagi/Ballari in the state of KAR
+1218 (10.9%) to 12373 (+732+320+136+30 to 7634+2676+1567+496) in Ganjam/Khorda/Puri/Cuttack, ODI
+1161 (10.5%) to 12218 (+278+561+322 to 3259+5347+3612) in Muzz./Vai./Saran + Patna + Arwal/Jehan./Roh./Gaya, BIH
+885 (5.5%) to 16996 in the state of KER
+641 (6.3%) to 10851 in Sitapur/Lucknow/Unnao/Kanpur/RaeBareli/Kan.Dae/Auraiya/Etaw, UP.
+607 (9.7%) to 6887 in Ballia/Ghazipur/Chandauli/Varanasi/Jaunpur/Prayagraj, UP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.796*1.25 = 4.745%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,772 cases to take their total to 353,831 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.52%... The rest of the country had +24,123 cases to take their total to 983,191 at a good area growth rate of 2.52%. Today's good areas are where 73.5% of our current cases are.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 25 Updates: +139 PUD, +68 MEG, +50 NAG, +37 DNHDD, +31 ANI, +29 in CHD, +29 MIZ, +30 LDK, +22 SKM, and early numbers +557 RAJ, +81 HP, +63 JH

Update: +1320 in ODI... Slightly less there, and Cuttack again went down. Patchy testing there?
Update: +2971 in UP with 429 in Lucknow
Data: 57068 tests in UP @ 5.2%
Update: +2803 in BIH... This is serious trouble there. Patna with +547
Update: +7813 in AP with about 3300 in the W.Godav/E.Godav/Vishakhapatanam strip.
Data: 53681 tests (25726 AG) in AP, @ 14.6% positivity. Dropped from 16.9 yesterday. Greatt!! :)
Update: +1103 in KER... Kozhikode with a +100... Th'puram/Kollam 320.
Data: 21258 tests (9131 AG) in KER @ 5.2%
Update: +6988 in TN with 1329 in Chennai
Data: 64315 tests in TN @ 10.9 positivity. It keeps creeping up. Need to do AG tests. :(
Update: +523 in J&K
Update: +1142 in DEL
Data: 20509 tests (14819 AG) in DEL @ 5.5%
Update: +5072 in KAR with 2036 in Bengaluru
Data: 32765 tests (11256 AG) in KAR @15.5%
Update: +716 in MP, +468 in PUN, +1081 in GUJ, +30 MNP
Update: +9251 in MAH... Wow, a drop!!! :dance: 1080 in Mumbai, 1662 Thane, 3088 Thane
Data: 49614 tests in MAH @ 18.7%, the lowest in months! (BMC: 7609 tests @ 14.3%... Below 15 quickly!! :))
Update: +2404 in WB
Data: 15628 tests in WB @ 15.4%... Bullshit continues. That lady will never learn :(
Update: +783 in HAR, +244 in UK, +268 CHG, +146 in Goa
Update: +563 in RAJ (night) for 1120 today... +14 in HP (night) to 95.
Update: +105 in TPR... +95 in CHG (night) for 363 today... +214 in JH (night) for 277 today.
Data: 3755 tests in JH for the latest 214 positives, @ 5.7%
Update: +1165 in ASM with 353 in Guwahati... +70 in ARP
Data: 14474 tests in ASM @ 8.0%... Slight uptick. Surprising.

+48,479 is the final for the day (TEL is releasing the bulletin only tomorrow, says the state!)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 25 Update: +48,479 to 1,385,494...
Leaving TEL out, it is 1,284,549 + 48,479 to 1,284,549, so a daily growth rate of 3.774% and doubling period of 18.8 days
Deaths: +692 to 32,096... The overall death rate drops to 2.32%
Recoveries: +36,127 to 886,235... Overall recovery ratio is 64.0%

Bad Areas:
+7813 (9.7%) to 88671 in the state of AP
+4614 (6.1%) to 79931 outside D.Kannanda/Yadgir/Bidar/Raichur/Shivamogga in the state of KAR
+4161 (6.5%) to 68659 outside Chennai/Chengal./Thiruval./Vellore/Thiruvan./Madurai in the state of TN
+2803 (8.4%) to 36314 in the state of BIH
+1086 (8.2%) to 14281 (+560+526 to 8194+6087) Ganjam + Kora./Raya./Kand./Gaja./Khor./Naya./Puri, ODI
+818 (6.9%) to 12669 (431+173+214 to 5853+3517+3299) Lucknow+Kanpur + Hard./Sita./L.Kheri/Pili./RaeB./Barab./Ayod., UP
+766 (8.4%) to 9913 in Ballia/Ghazipur/Chandauli/Sonbhadra/Varanasi/Jaunpur/Prayagraj/Azamgarh/Gorakhpur, UP
+716 (5.8%) to 13083 outside Kolkata/Howrah/N.Parganas and south of Malda district in the state of WB
+670 (7.1%) to 10060 (240+530 to 3331+6729) in Th'puram + Kollam/Alapp./Pathanam./Kottayam/Idukki/Kochi, KER

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.774*1.25 = 4.718%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +23,447 cases to take their total to 333,581 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.56%... The rest of the country (outside Telangana who didn't give numbers today) had +25,032 cases to take their total to 999,447 at a good area growth rate of 2.57%. Today's good areas are where 74.97% of our current cases are.

Basically, all of Maharashtra left the bad area today, but all of Bihar entered the group!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 26 Updates: +56 MEG, +50 NAG, +49 DNHDD, +46 SKM, +35 CHD, +28 ANI, +9 LDK and early numbers +611 RAJ, +87 HP, +51 JH

Update: +133 in PUD... They test just around 600 people a day at 20% positivity. Will not end it.
Update: +1376 in ODI... Holding pattern. A bit unsure if Bhubaneswar (Khorda dist) testing is enough.
Update: +2605 in BIH... 620 in Patna.
Update: +1075 in DEL
Data: 17533 tests (12501 AG) in DEL @ 6.1%
Update: +3246 in UP... Keeps going up by 300 more every day.. Lucknow 454, Kanpur 200, Varanasi 146
Data: 71881 tests in UP. WHAT?? 14K jump!... The extra AG tests are not showing much positivity?
Update: +615 in J&K
Update: +6986 in TN... 1155 in Chennai
Data: 64129 tests in TN @ 10.9 positivity. This won't do.
Update: +927 in KER... A small drop in most districts.
Data: 19388 tests (9770 AG) in Kerala at 4.8% positivity.
Update: +7627 in AP
Data: 47645 tests (18792 AG) in AP @ 16.0%
Update: +5199 in KAR with 1950 in Bengaluru.
Data: 33565 tests (12531 AG) in KAR @ 15.5%
Update: +534 in PUN, +874 in MP
Update: +9431 in MAH with 1101 Mumbai, 1507 Thane, 3196 Pune, Nagpur 181
Data: 49376 tests in MAH @ 19.1%... No serious improvement in testing
Update: +1110 in GUJ, +794 in HAR, +143 in UK, +175 in Goa, +59 in MNP
Update: +2341 in WB
Data: 16045 tests in WB @ 15.0%.. Teeny bit improvement. But need 10K to 15K more tests per day.
Update: +307 in CHG
Update: +521 in RAJ (night) for 1132 today... +40 in HP (night) for 127
Update: +1142 in ASM... +37 in TPR
Data: 20542 tests in ASM @ 5.6%
Update: +457 in JH (night) for 508... +32 in ARP
Update: +124 in CHG (night) for 431 today.

+48,932 ... I think we should add the +1593 to today, not yesterday, and make it the final... So 50,525 total.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

July 26 Summary: +50,525 to 1,436,019 at a daily growth rate of 3.647% and doubling period of 19.4 days.
Deaths: +702 to 32,810... Overall death rate drops again to 2.28%
Recoveries: +31,501 to 918,734... The overall recovery ratio stays at 64%

Bad Areas:
+7627 (8.6%) to 96298 in the state of AP
+4550 (6.1%) to 79444 outside D.Kannada/U.Kannada/Shivamogga/Kalaburagi/Yadgir/Bidar/Bagalkote, KAR
+4005 (6.2%) to 68437 outside Chennai/Cheng./Thiruval./Vell./Thiruvan./Kallak./Madurai/Tiruchi. in the state of TN
+2605 (7.2%) to 38919 in the state of BIH
+1138 (9.1%) to 13679 (+415+26+342+164+37+154 to 3225+547+7771+1465+671) Ahmed./Beed/Sola./Sangli/Osman./Kolh., MAH
+968 (7.4%) to 14051 (+454+200+314 to 6307+3717+4027) in Lucknow+Kanpur + Unn./RaeB./Kanp.D/Kann./Hamir./Jhansi, UP
+927 (5.1%) to 19026 in the state of KER
+911 (6.8%) to 14395 (+484+187+45+74+30+91 to 8678+3037+532+983+488+677) in Ganjam/Khor./Ray./Gaja./Naya./Puri, ODI
+906 (7.9%) to 12302 in Ball./Ghazip./Chand./Varan./Bhado./Praya./Azam./Ambed./Basti/Ayod./Gorakh./Deo./Kushia., UP

The southern border belt in MAH got into the bad area list temporarily today, but the WB areas temporarily left the list too. Otherwise, it is all pretty stable now!

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 25% above our national average today (3.647*1.25 = 4.558%) and 700+ new cases... The bad areas together had +23,637 cases to take their total to 356,551 cases at a bad area growth rate of 7.10%... The rest of the country had +26,888 cases to take their total to 1,079,468 at a good area growth rate of 2.55%. Today's good areas are where 75.2% of our current cases are.