Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Sep 3 Summary: +84,156 to 3,933,124 at a daily growth rate of 2.186% (Doubling: 32.0 days)
Deaths: +1,083 to 68,569... Not a great day. Overall death rate: 1.74%
Recoveries: +67,491 to 3,034,887... Overall recovery ratio: 77.2%

Bad Areas:
+3154 (5.1%) to 64701 in 10/35 dists; Nagpur/Chan./Gon./Wardha/Amr./Yav./Wash/Nanded/Par./Bul.,MAH
+2529 (5.0%) to 52849 in 14/30 dists; Khor./Cut./Puri/Kendr./Kendu./May./Ang./Bou./Sub./Bar.,etc ODI
+2164 (7.3%) to 32000 in 19/28 dists; Raipur(712)/Rajnandgaon(411)/Durg(204)/Raigarh/ etc., CHG
+1515 (4.9%) to 32136 in 2/35 dists; Satara/Sangli, MAH
+1369 (5.2%) to 27595 in 8/24 dists; Ranchi(435)/Sar-Kha./Khun./Jamshed(173)/Ram./Gir./Haz./Bokaro,JH
+1028 (3.7%) to 29058 in 2/35 dists; Ahmednagar/Osmanabad, MAH
+926 (3.8%) to 25444 in 1/13 dists; Prakasam, AP
+826 (3.6%) to 23751 in 3/37 dists; Coimbatore/Erode/Tiruppur, TN
+772 (5/4%) to 15122 in 9/13 dists; De.Dun/U.Kashi/Rudra./Pau.Gar./Alm./Nain./U.S.N./Champ./Pitho.,UK
+636 (3.5%) to 18831 in 2/30 dists; Belagavi/UttaraKannada, KAR

Maharashtra continues to have bad areas. Some districts like Ahmedanegar coming back for the 3rd or 4th wave. Lack of testing, so every now and then new areas get bad and the districts will get back in. 15 of 75 districts in UP have bad growth at 3.5% but no cluster more than 400 cases. All cities except Prayagraj are fine now, thogh the Meerut/Muzaffarnagar/Shaharanpur area near Delhi is again having some growth, thanks to Delhi's second wave. Same thing across the border in Haryana and to the North in Uttarakhand too. That whole area needs some attention. But good to see Bihar, WB, Punjab, Assam, and Kerala all out of the list, hopefully for good.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.186*1.50 = 3.280%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +14,919 cases to take their total to 321,487 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.87%... The rest of the country had +69,237 cases to take their total to 3,611,637 at a good area growth rate of 1.95%. Today's good areas are where 91.8% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 4 Updates:
+95 LDK, +90 MNP, +51 DNHDD, +41 NAG, +34 ANI, +6 MIZ, and early number +738 RAJ

+591 in PUD... +524 in TPR
+2478 in TEL from 62543 tests @ 4.0%
+6074 in UP from 146601 tests @4.2% (71 deaths)
+3267 in ODI from 46754 tests @ 7.0%
+1978 in BIH from 150195 tests @1.3%
+10776 in AP from 59919 tests @18% (76 deaths)
+2479 in KER from 36310 tests @ 6.8%
+2914 in DEL from 36218 tests @8.0%
+5976 in TN from 81588 tests 7.3% (79 deaths)
+1658 in MP... +1047 in J&K... +108 MEG
+9280 in KAR from 73192 tests @ 12.7% (116 deaths)
+1884 in HAR... +1498 in PUN... +1320 in GUJ
+508 in Goa... +203 CHD... +1756 in CHG (evening)
+2978 in WB from 45620 tests @ 6.5% (58 deaths)
+831 in UK... +215 in HP... +105 SKM
+19218 in MAH from 93552 tests @ 20.5% (378 deaths)
+832 in RAJ (night) for 1570... +201 in ARP...
+2891 in ASM from 39347 tests @ 7.3%
+1559 in JH... +911 in CHG for 2667 today

+87,115 and that's a final. Whoa. :( :(



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Sep 4 Summary: +87,115 to 4,020,239 at a daily growth rate of 2.215% (Doubling: 31.6 days)
Deaths: +1066 to 69,635... Still in the flat range. Overall death rate: 1.73%
Recoveries: +69,625 to 3,104,512... Overall recovery ratio: 77.2%

Bad Areas:
+3646 (5.6%) to 69152 in 10/35 dists; Nagpur/Chan./Bhan./Gon./War./Yav./Wash./Nanded/Par./Lat., MAH
+3074 (4.0%) to 80457 in 9/30 dists; Mys./Hass./Tum./Chikkab./D.Kan./Chikkam./Shiv./U.Kan./Hav., KAR
+2623 (7.4%) to 38008 in 23/28 dists; Raipur(933)/Bilas.(270)/Durg(266)/Rajn.(197)/Raigarh etc, CHG
+2526 (4.3%) to 61633 in 2/13 dists; Nellore/Prakasam, AP
+2076 (4.8%) to 45433 in 11/30 dists; Khor./Cut./Puri/Ang./Deo./Kendu./Bhad./Bou./Sub./Bar./Nua. ODI
+1515 (4.4%) to 32136 in 2/35 dists; Satara/Sangli, MAH
+1045 (4.4%) to 24971 in 5/14 dists; Thrissur/Ernakulam-Kochi(274)/Kottayam/Pathanamthitta/Kollam, KER
+812 (4.5%) to 18797 in 7/22 dists; Panchkula/Ambala/Yamunanagar/Karnal/Panipat/Kaithal/Jind, HAR
+807 (3.6%) to 23222 in 1/35 dists; Ahmednagar, MAH
+800 (5.1%) to 16433 in 5/24 dists; Ranchi/Ramgarh/Bokaro/Khunti/W.Singhbhum, JH
+697 (3.7%) to 19675 in 3/37 dists; Coimbatore/Nilgiris, TN

Chhattisgarh is really raging to the north and south of Raipur. Nagpur with 1800+ today is in bad shape too. But then, what is not in bad shape in Maharashtra? The other concern is Kochi in Kerala, which seems to have finally got going with a +274. Hope they will douse the flame down there.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.215*1.50 = 3.322%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +19,621 cases to take their total to 429,917 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.78%... The rest of the country had +67,494 cases to take their total to 3,590,322 at a good area growth rate of 1.92%. Today's good areas are where 89.3% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 5 Updates:
+61 LDK, +58 SKM, +35 ANI, +21 NAG, +21 DNHDD, +16 MIZ
and early numbers +718 RAJ, +56 HP

+691 TPR... +394 in PUD
+2511 in TEL from 62132 tests @ 4.0%
+3543 in ODI from 50663 tests @ 7.0%
+1727 in BIH from 150483 tests @ 1.1% :)
+6590 in UP from 148274 tests @ 4.4% (81 deaths)
+2655 in KER from 40162 tests @ 6.6%
+5870 in TN from 81793 tests @ 7.2% (61 deaths)
+1251 in J&K... +234 in CHD... +184 in MNP
+9746 in KAR from 7671 tests @ 12.7% (128 deaths) :(
+1514 in PUN (69 deaths)... 1311 in GUJ... +182 in MEG
+1636 in MP... +950 in UK... +592 in Goa
+3042 in WB from 45781 tests @ 6.6% (58 deaths)
+2289 in HAR from 22.9K tests at 10.0% :(
+10825 in AP from 69623 tests @ 15.5% (71 deaths)
+20800 in MAH from 90458 @ 23.0% (312 deaths) :damn:
+1172 in CHG (evening)... +133 in ARP
+2973 in DEL from 38895 tests @ 7.6%
+848 in RAJ (night) for 1566... +132 in HP (night) for 188.
+2698 in ASM from 35147 tests @ 7.7%
+1758 in JH from 32667 tests @ 5.4%
+1357 in CHG (night) for 2529

+90,600 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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September 5 Summary: +90,600 to 4,110,839 at a daily growth rate of 2.254% (Doubling: 31.1 days)
Deaths: +1044 to 70,679... Still staying in the flat range. Good. Overall death rate: 1.72%
Recoveries: +73,161 to 3,177,673... Overall recovery ratio: 77.3%

Bad Areas:
+7548 (4.7%) to 167988 in 18/35 dists;
Nag./Bha./Gon./Chan./War./Yav./Was./Nanded/Hin./Par./Lat./Beed/Ahm./Sol./San./Sat./Rat./Sin., MAH
+3470 (3.9%) to 92157 in 10/30 dists; Mys./Man./Has./Chikkam./Shi./Dav./Chit./U.K./Bel./Hav., KAR
+2430 (6.7%) to 38649 in 20/28 dists; Raipur(878)/Durg(333)/Raigarh(195)/Bilas.(195)/Rajn. etc CHG
+2371 (4.2%) to 58609 in 2/13 dists; Prakasam(1332)/Kadapa(1039), AP
+1757 (3.6%) to 50465 in 6/75 dists; Lucknow(1006)/Sita./R.Bareli/Amethi/Pratap./Prayagraj(412) UP
+1352 (4.5%) to 31570 in 11/22 dists; Pan./Amb./Kur./Yam./Kai./Kar./Pani./Roh./Jind/His./Fateh.,HAR
+968 (7.1%) to 14543 in 8/30 dists; Bargarh/Nuap./Jhars./Subar./Boudh/Angul/Dhenkanal/Jajpur, ODI
+939 (6.8%) to 14766 in 4/24 dists; Ranchi(656)/Latehar/Saraikela-Kharsawan/W.Singhbhum, JH
+908 (3.6%) to 26200 in 3/14 dists; Thiruvananthapuram/Kollam/Pathanamthitta, KER
+878 (4.4%) to 20618 in 1/39 dists; Khordha (Bhubaneswar), ODI
+802 (4.7%) to 17809 in 10/13 dists; D.Dun/U.Kashi/Rudr./T&/P.Gar./Chamo./Alm./Nai./US.N./Champ.,UK
+742 (4.9%) to 15888 in 3/14 dists; Kozhikode/Kannur/Kasaragod, KER
+625 (5.5%) to 11952 in 6/8 dists; W.Tripura/Sipahijala/Dhalai/N.Tripura/Khowai/S.Tripura, TPR

The bad areas were noticeably more today. That contiguous strip of 18 districts and 7500 cases along the Maharashtra border from the center of India (Nagpur) to the western coast (Sindhudurg) is the largest bad area we have seen so far! Will this state ever improve??? .... In fact, that strip connects to Belgavi in KAR and goes all the way down to Mysore for 28 districts and then to Kerala for 3 more districts around Kozhikode. And on the eastern side, The MAH strip connects to Rajnandgaon-Raipur-Mahasamund in CHG and then to Bargarh in ODI, to almost near the eastern coast in Jajpur. Basically a big contiguous strip of some 59 districts, and 15K cases that stretches from Kozhikode in Kerala to Jajpur in Odisha, through Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Chattisgarh!!

TN had about 7 districts in three small clusters but Coimbatore with a small drop today, left the list. There a few other small districts in UP with growth under 4.0% but no cluster more than 250 cases. And Tripura made a grand entry to the list today.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.254*1.50 = 3.380%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +24,790 cases to take their total to 561,214 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.62%... The rest of the country had +65,810 cases to take their total to 3,549,625 at a good area growth rate of 1.89%. Today's good areas are where 86.3% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 6 Updates:
+89 MEG, 86 ARP, +50 NAG, +40 ANI, +40 LDK, +36 DNHDD, +31 MIZ, +9 SKM
and early numbers +726 in RAJ, +93 HP

+603 in TPR... +466 in PUD
+2574 in TEL from 62736 tests @ 4.1%
+3810 in ODI from 50393 tests @ 7.6%
+6518 in UP from 155946 tests @ 4.2% (77 deaths)
+1797 in BIH from 151033 tests @ 1.2%
+3082 in KER from 41392 tests @ 7.4% :(
+5783 in TN from 85974 tests @ 6.7% (88 deaths)
+10794 in AP from 69623 tests @ 15.5% (70 deaths)
+1316 in J&K... +668 in UK... +139 in MNP...
+9319 in KAR from 74384 tests @ 12.5% (95 deaths)
+3087 in WB from 46505 tests @ 6.6% (52 deaths)
+1694 in MP... +1,335 in GUJ... +374 in Goa
+1946 in PUN from 25154 tests @ 7.7% (54 deaths)
+2277 in HAR from 25909 tests @ 8.8%... +261 in CHD
+3256 in DEL from 36046 tests @ 9.0%
+23350 in MAH from 91035 tests @ 25.7% (328 deaths)
+867 in RAJ (night) to 1593... +304 in HP (night) to 397
+1537 in ASM from 23336 tests @ 6.6%
+1266 in JH from 25670 tests @ 5.0%
+2100 in CHG from 15933 tests @ 13.2%. Test more, damnit!

+91,723 and that should be a final!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 6 Summary: +91,723 to 4,202,562 at a daily growth rate of 2.231% (Doubling: 31.4 days)
Deaths: +1,008 to 71,687... A decent drop there. Good. Overall death rate: 1.71%
Recoveries: +69,624 to 3,247,297... Overall recovery ration 77.3%

Bad Areas:
+4032 (4.9%) to 86813 in 12/35 dists; Nag.(1901)/Cha./Go./Bha./Gad./War./Amr./Bul./Par./Bee./Lat./Nan.,MAH
+3648 (5.9%) to 65918 in 3/35 dists; Kolhapur(1690)/Sindhudurg/Sangli/Satara, MAH
+2341 (3.7%) to 66352 in 2/13 dists; Nellore(1299)/Prakasam(1042), AP
+2090 (3.7%) to 58625 in 3/35 dists; Nashik(1606)/Dhule/Nandurbar, MAH
+1905 (5.0%) to 40279 in 7/30 dists; U.Kannada/Haveri/Shivamogga/Chikkamag./Chitra./Tumakuru/Mandya, KAR
+1882 (5.6%) to 35294 in 18/28 dists; Raipur(711)/Bilas.(203)/Raigarh(167)/Rajna.(182)/Maha.(125) etc CHG
+1435 (7.1%) to 21651 in 10/30 dists; Barg./Nuap./Jhars./Suba./Boudh/Angul/Kendu./Jaj./Bhad./Kendra., ODI
+1048 (5.3%) to 20815 in 6/22 dists; Panchkula/Ambala/Kurukshetra/Yamunanagar/Karnal/Panipat, HAR
+1025 (4.5%) to 24006 in 4/14 dists; Ernakulam-Kochi(281)/Kottayam/Alappuzha/Kollam, KER
+859 (5.7%) to 16023 in 5/22 dists; Jalandhar/Kapurthala/Hoshiarpur/Gurdaspur/Pathankot,PUN
+797 (3.9%) to 21415 in 1/30 dists; Khorda(Bhubaneswar), PDI
+682 (4.1%) to 17273 in 3/14 dists; Kozhikode/Kannur/Kasaragod, KER

Almost 10K of today's 21.7K bad area cases are from Maharashtra. Friggin Nashik and Kolhapur come back for the 3rd or 4th time, but with 1600+ cases each this time. Will Maharashtra ever test and tell all the asymptomatic spreaders that they have the disease???... No, they won't. Waiting for herd immunity after 100K deaths. Again half the districts of Maharashtra are in three bad clusters. After 5 glorious months of letting 27K people die, the press/politicians/officials there keep sleeping soundly every night. What bullcrap is this?....

TN had only 4 districts with 100-150 cases each that were bad. There were 13 of 75 districts in UP with some growth under 4.0% but no cluster more than 350 cases. There is a cluster of 500+ cases around Jammu and 4 other isolated bad districts too, in J&K. Tripura has growth but was under +600 today. Jharkhand is testing well, and had no 600+ areas today, as Ranchi had only under +400.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.231*1.50 = 3.347%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +21,744 cases to take their total to 474,464 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.80%... The rest of the country had +69,979 cases to take their total to 3,728,098 at a good area growth rate of 1.91%. Today's good areas are where 88.7% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Sep 7 Updates:
+84 MNP, +42 NAG, +29 SKM, +29 MEG, +28 LDK, +27 ANI, +22 DNHDD, +21 MIZ

+399 in TPR... +284 in PUD
+1802 in TEL from 36593 tests @ 4.9%
+3861 in ODI from 45165 tests @ 8.5%
+1369 in BIH from 153156 tests @ 0.9% (Is this true?)
+5568 in UP from 130464 tests @ 4.3% (56 deaths)
+2077 in DEL from 22954 tests @ 9.0%
+1013 in J&K... +807 in UK... +232 in CHD
+8368 in AP from 58187 tests @ 14.4% (70 deaths)
+1648 in KER from 20215 tests @ 8.2% :(
+1885 in MP from 22342 tests @ 8.4% (trouble brewing)
+1330 in GUJ from 72690 @ 1.8%... +344 in Goa
+2110 in PUN from 19172 tests @ 11.0% (61 deaths)
+2224 in HAR from 22531 tests @ 9.9%
+5773 in KAR from 45421 tests @ 12.7% (141 deaths :damn:)
+5776 in TN from 80503 tests @ 7.2% (89 deaths)
+3077 in WB from 42216 tests @ 7.3% (58 deaths)
+1580 in RAJ from 12175 tests @ 13.0% (trouble brewing)
+2017 in CHG from 12437 tests @ 16.2%... +245 in HP
+2785 in ASM from 38611 tests @7.2%
+1557 in JH from 27690 tests @ 5.6%... +180 in ARP
+16429 in MAH from 58190 tests @ 28.2% (423 deaths!) :damn:

+75,022 and that is a final!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 7 Summary: +75,022 to 4,277,584 at a daily growth rate of 1.785% (Doubling: 39.2 days)
Deaths: +1,129 to 72,816... A bad day thanks to MAH's 423 deaths. Overall death rate: 1.70%
Recoveries: +74,123 to 3,321,420... Overall recovery ratio: 77.6%

Skipping the bad area analysis, as it is pretty unreliable on Mondays, with some states reporting the AG tests from Monday itself and many reporting the reduced number of tests from Sunday. Will do it tomorrow with normal testing numbers.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 8 Updates:
+96 MNP, +42 MEG, +38 LDK, +33 ANI, +25 NAG, +24 DNHDD, +19 SKM, +9 MIZ
and early numbers +723 RAJ, +98 HP

+628 in TPR... +433 in PUD
+2392 in TEL from 60923 tests @ 3.9%
+3490 ODI from 41275 tests @ 8.5% :(
+1667 in BIH from 152671 tests @ 1.1%
+6622 in UP from 143184 tests @ 4.6% (71 deaths)
+3026 in KER from 37,264 tests @ 8.1%. :damn:
+1355 in J&K from 18754 tests @ 7.2%
+5684 in TN from 83226 tests @ 6.8% (87 deaths)
+10601 in AP from 70993 tests @ 14.9% (73 deaths)
+377 in CHD... 457 in Goa
+3609 in DEL from 45797 tests @ 7.9%
+1964 in PUN from 28688 tests @ 6.8% (67 deaths)
+1295 in GUJ... +658 in UK
+2286 in HAR from 17054 tests @ 13.4% :damn:
+1854 in MP from 22597 tests @ 8.2%
+3091 in WB from 42388 tests @ 7.3% (57 deaths)
+7866 in KAR from 67443 tests @ 11.7% (146 deaths)
+20131 in MAH from 83750 tests @ 24.0% (380 deaths)
+867 in RAJ (night) for 1590. +73 in HP (night) for 171
+2834 in CHG from 18551 tests @ 13.7% :(
+2579 in ASM from 34462 tests @ 7.5%
+221 in ARP...
+2676 in JH from 103184 tests @ 2.6% (Whoa. JH went Bihar on us! :dance: :dance: )

+89,852 and that is a final! (Sorry, I messed up the CHG and JH counts earlier)



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 8 Summary: +89,852 to 4,367,436 at a daily growth rate of 2.101% (Doubling: 33.3 days)
Deaths: +1107 to 73,923... It is again growing :( ... Overall death rate: 1.69%
Recoveries: +74,607 to 3,396,027... Overall recovery ratio: 77.8%

Bad Areas:
+4522 (4.0%) to 118483 in 13/35 dists; Nag(1390)/Amr/Cha/Gon/Bha/War/Yav/Was/Hin/Nanded/Lat/Beed/Ahm(797),MAH
+2796 (6.1%) to 48392 in 25/28 dists; Raipur(788)/Bilas.(359)/Rajnand.(240)/Durg(235)/Raigarh(157) etc, CHG
+2097 (4.6%) to 47409 in 4/35 dists; Sangli(972)/Satara(784)/Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg, MAH
+1924 (4.1%) to 48316 in 1/35 dists; Nashik, MAH
+1457 (4.9%) to 30950 in 1/14 dists; Prakasam, AP
+1220 (10.1%) to 13305 in 5/24 dists; Dhanbad(192)/Bokaro(335)/Ramgarh/Hazaribagh/Koderma(294), JH
+1157 (3.8%) to 31519 in 6/14 dists; Ernakulam/Alappuzha/Kottayam/Pathanamthitta/Idukki/Kollam, KER
+1058 (7.2%) to 15725 in 5/24 dists; E.Singhbhum(475)/Saraikela-Kharsawan/Khunti/W.Singhbhum/Simdega, JH
+1028 (3.8%) to 28035 in 6/30 dists; Cuttack(376)/Puri/Jagatsinghpur/Kendrapara/Jajpur/Dhenkanal, ODI
+988 (3.6%) to 28516 in 4/14 dists; Kannur/Kozhikode/Malappuram/Palakkad, KER
+965 (4.6%) to 21869 in 8/22 dists; Yamunanagar/Kurukshetra/Karnal/Panipat/Kaithal/Jind/Fatehabad/Rohtak,HAR
+770 (4.0%) to 20010 in 5/22 dists; Jalandhar/Amritsar/Gurdaspur/Hoshiarpur/Tarn Taran, PUN
+769 (6.5%) to 12649 in 6/20 dists; Jammu(483)/Rajouri/Punch/Budgam/Udhampur/Doda, J&K
+703 (4.2%) to 17596 in 19/52 dists; Jabalpur(182) included but NOT Indore/Ujjain/Bhopal, MP
+609 (5.0%) to 12676 in 5/30 dists; Rayagada(206)/Kandhamal/Balangir/Subarnapur/Nuapada, ODI

Lots of bad clusters all over the country today, though KAR, UP, TN, BIH etc are all out of the list. Karnataka only had about 3 isolated districts with around 3.5% growth. TN also had only 4. About 18 of the 75 states in UP had growth just above 3.1% but only the northwest corner cluster around Meerut and Shahranpur is of any concern with more than 450 cases. Madhyapradesh has a whole bunch of districts with small numbers that add up to a big-area cluster, but with only about 700 cases with modest growth and only Jabalpur as a city in the vast area of the state..

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.101*1.50 = 3.151%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +22,063 cases to take their total to 495,450 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.66%... The rest of the country had +67,789 cases to take their total to 3,871,986 at a good area growth rate of 1.78%. Today's good areas are where 88.7% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 9 Updates:
+160 MNP, +144 ARP, +130 NAG, +121 MEG, +69 MIZ, +40 LDK, +34 ANI, +31 SKM, +19 DNHDD
and early numbers +728 RAJ, +77 HP

+582 in TPR... +335 in PUD...
+2479 in TEL from 62649 tests @ 4.0%
+3748 in ODI from 41595 tests @ 9.0% :damn:
+1498 in BIH from 122121 tests @ 1.2%
+6568 in UP from 144360 tests @ 4.5% (65 deaths)
+5584 in TN from 82573 tests @ 6.8% (78 deaths)
+1617 in J&K from 23670 tests @ 6.8%
+3402 in KER from 45949 tests @ 7.4%
+10418 in AP from 71692 tests @ 14.5% (74 deaths)
+2137 in PUN from 27932 tests @ 7.7% (71 deaths)
+621 in Goa... +332 CHD
+4039 in DEL from 54517 tests @ 7.4%
+1329 in GUJ from 75936 tests @ 1.8%
+9540 in KAR from 70,322 tests @ 13.6% (128 deaths)
+3107 in WB from 42642 tests @ 7.3% (53 deaths)
+1117 in UK from 10225 tests @ 10.9% :(
+2294 in HAR from 36141 tests @ 6.3% :)
+1869 in MP from 23992 tests @ 7.8%
+23577 in MAH from 93324 tests @ 25.3% (380 deaths)
+882 in RAJ (night) for 1610... +239 in HP (night) for 316
+2243 in ASM from 31562 tests @ 7.1%
+2818 in CHG from 19101 tests @ 14.8% (70 deaths) :damn:
+1601 in JH from 33108 tests @ 4.8%

+95,529 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 9 summary: +95,529 to 4,462,965 at a daily growth rate of 2.187% (Doubling: 32.0 days)
Deaths: +1,168 to 75,091... It is still rising slowly:( .... Overall death rate again falls to 1.68%
Recoveries: +73,057 to 3,469,084... Overall recovery ratio: 77.7%

Bad Areas:
+3693 (5.3%) to 73289 in 9/35 dists; Nagpur(2113)/Chandra./Bhand./Gond./Ward./Wash./Amra./Buldha./Jalna, MAH
+2783 (5.9%) to 50205 in 25/28 dists; Raipur(1006)/Durg(308)/Rajnand.(281)/Bilas.(225)/Raigarh(158) etc, CHG
+2686 (3.8%) to 73731 in 4/35 dists; Kolhapur(1036)/Sindhudurg/Sangli(719)/Satara(851), MAH
+1747 (4.9%) to 37180 in 12/30 dists; Cutt./Puri/Jaj./Jaga./Kendra./Ang./Deo./Bou./Kandh./Sub./Bal./Nua.,ODI
+1587 (4.5%) to 36728 in 6/14 dists; Thrissur/Ernakulam/Alappuzha/Kottayam/Pathanamthitta/Kollam, KER
+1271 (4.1%) to 32221 in 1/14 dists; Prakasam, AP
+993 (5.0%) to 20717 in 6/24 dists; Ranchi(635)/Saraikela-Kharsawan/W.Singhbhum/Ramgarh/Gumla/Chatra, JH
+928 (4.6%) to 21001 in 4/14 dists; Kasaragod/Kannur/Kozhikode/Wayanad, KER
+916 (6.0%) to 16285 in 9 of 13 dists; DDun(251)/T.Gar./Rud./P.Gar./Chamoli/Alm./Champ./Pith./U.S.N.(321),UK
+899 (3.8%) to 24696 in 9/75 dists; Prayagraj/Mirza./Sonbha./Chitra./Banda/Fateh./Hamir./R.Bareli/Amethi, UP
+868 (4.9%) to 18472 in 6/22 dists; Panchkula/Ambala/Yamunanagar/Kurukshetra/Karnal/Panchkula, HAR
+820 (7.9%) to 11211 in 6/20 dists; Jammu(583)/Rajouri/Reasi/Udhampur/Doda/Samba, J&K
+815 (5.0%) to 17218 in 2/30 dists; Shivamogga/UttaraKannada, KAR

Punjab has some 10/22 bad districts but in three clusters and the Amritsar cluster is the largest at around 500 cases. There are problems inn Punjab, looking at the death numbers. They are not catching cases, and the testing looks messed up, even if the positivity looks okay. Not testing in the right places?... The death numbers look bad in MP also (31 deaths). MP may be missing out on some cases too. There are some 17 of 52 districts in MP that show mild bad growth at 3.5 to 4.5% but the 13 district cluster around Jabalpur is only around 550 cases today. TN, WB, BIH, ASM etc are all out of the list. TN had only 1 district (Dharmapuri) with bad growth.

The situation in Chhattisgarh is very serious. Almost all districts have high growth between 5 and 7 percent, and the death numbers are rapidly rising (70 today!). They need to do something URGENTLY.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.187*1.50 = 3.281%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +20,006 cases to take their total to 432,954 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.84%... The rest of the country had +75,523 cases to take their total to 4,030,011 at a good area growth rate of 1.91%. Today's good areas are where 90.3% of our current cases are.

Basically it is pretty much a nation-wide growth at just under 2 percent, and the rise in case numbers is not dominated by the bad areas anymore. So, test well very everywhere and catch people early!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 10 Updates:
+141 MIZ, +127 ARP, +108 MNP, +99 MEG, +39 ANI, +35 LDK, +26 DNHDD, +20 SKM, and early numbers +716 RAJ, +148 HP

+535 in TPR... +452 PUD
+2534 in TEL from 63017 tests @ 4.0%
+3991 in ODI from 47161 tests @ 8.5% :(
+6988 in UP from 149311 tests @ 4.7% (94 deaths)
+1543 in BIH from 112199 tests @ 1.4%
+3349 in KER from 40014 tests @ 8.4% :(
+5528 in TN from 85473 tests @ 6.5% (64 deaths)
+10175 in AP from 72229 tests @ 14.0% (68 deaths)
+1592 in J&K from 21487 tests @ 7.4%
+283 in CHD... +261 NAG
+4308 in DEL from 58340 tests @ 7.4%
+9217 in KAR from 54709 tests @ 16.8 (129 deaths) :damn:
+1015 in UK... +639 in Goa... +1332 in GUJ
+2591 in HAR from 29261 tests @ 8.9% :(
+3112 in WB from 44347 tests @ 7.0%
+2459 in PUN from 29917 tests @ 8.2% (88 deaths) :damn:
+2187 in MP from 23694 tests @ 9.2% :(
+23446 in MAH from 91552 tests @ 25.6% (495 deaths) :damn:
+924 in RAJ for 1640... +171 in HP for 319
+2739 in ASM from 35369 tests @ 7.7%
+1182 in JH from 29819 tests @ 5.4%
+2748 in CHG from 17704 tests @ 15.5% :damn:

+96,760 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

September 10 Summary: +96,760 to 4,559,725 at a daily growth rate of 2.168% (Doubling: 32.3 days)
Deaths: +1213 to 76,304... A terrible day, on deaths. Overall death rate: 1.67%
Recoveries: +70,899 to 3,539,983... Overall recovery ratio: 77.6%

Bad Areas:
+5269 (4.2%) to 132152 in 13/35 dists; Nagpur(1726)/Amrav./Buldh./Jalgaon(1089)/Parbh./Latur/Nanded etc, MAH
+2700 (5.3%) to 53760 in 25/28 dists; Raipur(865)/Durg(191)/Rajnand.(207)/Bilas.(188)/Raigarh(196) etc, CHG
+2048 (4.9%) to 43629 in 2/35 dists; Sangli(1031)/Satara(1017), MAH
+1972 (4.9%) to 40671 in 13/30 dists; Cut/Puri/Jaj/Jag/Kendra/Ang/Deo/Bou/Sub/Bar/Nua/Balan/Kal/Nab., ODI
+1422 (6.4%) to 23539 in 8/22 dists; Amritsar/T.Taran/Gurdas./Pathan./Kapurth./Hoshiar./Rup./S.A.S.N., PUN
+1386 (4.3%) to 33607 in 1/14 dists; Prakasam, AP
+1098 (4.7%) to 24626 in 6/22 dists; Panchkula/Ambala/Yamunanagar/Kurukshetra/Karnal/Panipat, HAR
+1049 (3.7%) to 29504 in 5/30 dists; Chitradurga/Tumakuru/Chikkaballapura/Mandya/Ramanagara, KAR
+924 (6.0%) to 16215 in 9/20 dists; Jammu(421)/Rajouri/Punch/Budgam/Reasi/Samba/Kathua/Doda/Kishtwar,J&K
+833 (4.1%) to 21185 in 4/14 dists; Kollam/Alappuzha/Kottayam/Idukki, KER
+812 (4.7%) to 18090 in 8/13 dists; DDun(275)/P.Gar./Rudra./Chamoli/Nai./USN(248)/Pitho./Bagesh., UK
+763 (4.4%) to 17981 in 2/30 dists; Shivamogga/UttaraKannada, KAR
+701 (6.0%) to 12388 in 18/52 dists; most of the Eastern half of the state OUTSIDE of Jabalpur, MP
+632 (4.4%) to 14956 in 3/14 dists; Kozhikode/Wayanad/Kannur, KER

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.168*1.50 = 3.252%) and 600+ new cases... The bad areas together had +21,609 cases to take their total to 482,303 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.69%... The rest of the country had +75,151 cases to take their total to 4,077,422 at a good area growth rate of 1.88%. Today's good areas are where 89.4% of our current cases are.