Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 26 Updates:
+40 ANI, +26 NAG, +31 LDK, +32 MEG, +22 DNHDD, +14 MIZ, +11 SKM
and early numbers +610 in RAJ, +77 HP

+504 in PUD... +329 TPR...
+3018 in TEL from 61040 tests @ 4.9%
+3371 in ODI from 63,209 tests @ 5.4%
+2163 in BIH from 102,590 tests @ 2.1%
+5640 in UP from 144,802 tests @ 3.9%. (82 deaths)
+704 in J&K... +167 in CHD... +141 in MNP
+5958 in TN from 75500 tests @ 7.9% (118 deaths)
+2496 in KER from 40352 tests @ 6.2%
+8580 in KAR from 67066 tests @ 12.8% (133 deaths)
+1513 in PUN... +1397 in HAR
+10830 in AP from 61838 tests @ 17.5%. (81 deaths)
+1693 in DEL... +1064 in MP... +497 in Goa
+1197 in GUJ... +535 in UK
+14888 in MAH from 87.2K tests @ 17% (295 deaths)
+2974 in WB from 40031 tests @ 7.4%.
+1045 in CHG (evening update)... +735 in RAJ (night) for 1345
+1137 in JH... +90 in HP (night) for 167
+2179 in ASM from 36225 tests @ 6%
+164 in CHG (night) for 1209 today.
+143 in ARP

+75,995 and that is a final. A big spike.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 26 Summary: +75,995 to 3,307,739 at a daily growth rate of 2.351% (Doubling: 29.8 days)
Deaths: +1,017 to 60,629, so not a good day... Overall death rate: 1.83%
Recoveries: +56,191 to 2,523,443... Overall recovery ratio: 76.3%

Bad Areas:
+3110 (4.2%) to 76921 in 3/14 dists; Nellore/Prakasam (1954), and Visakhapatnam (1156), AP
+2670 (6.9%) to 41161 in 20/30 dists; Khordha/Cuttack/Raya./Puri. etc, but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+1972 (5.2%) to 39552 in 9/35 dists; Nagpur/Chandra./Gond./Bhand./Wardha/Yavat./Wash./Bul./Nanded, MAH
+1798 (4.6%) to 40807 in 10/14 dists; Kan./Kozh./Mala./Thris./Ernak./Alap./Kot./Idu./Path./Kollam. KER
+1209 (4.4%) to 28398 in 5/37 dists; Coimbatore/Erode/Tiruppur/Namakkal/Salem, TN, TN
+1106 (6.0%) to 19414 in 2/30 dists; Mysuru/Mandya, KAR
+962 (7.0%) to 14610 in 10/28 dists; Bam./Mung./Raipur/Durg/Mah./Raigarh/Surg./Suraj./Dham./Balod,CHG
+947 (4.7%) to 21103 in 2/35 dists; Satara/Sangli, MAH
+678 (4.7%) to 15034 in 5/75 dists; Gorakhpur/Maharajganj/AmbedkarNagar/Ayodhya/Amethi, UP

Bihar continues to stay out of the bad list. Only one bad district (Araria) in Bihar today. UP has a couple of other bad clusters of 400 and 550 cases. West Bengal had some 8 bad districts no 650+ cluster. Punjab had Ludhiana, Patiala and 6 other districts of trouble but no single cluster. Telangana probably has some bad clusters outside the Hyderabad area, but the cumulative district numbers aren't released by TEL, to determine that.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.351*1.50 = 3.527%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +14,452 cases to take their total to 297,000 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.11%... The rest of the country had +61,543 cases to take their total to 3,010,739 at a good area growth rate of 2.09%. Today's good areas are where 91.0% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 27 Updates:
+79 MEG, +78 ARP, +56 SKM, +42 DNHDD, +41 LDK, +33 ANI, +7 MIZ, +6 NAG,
and early numbers +633 RAJ, +89 HP

+504 in PUD... +385 in TPR
+2795 in TEL from 60386 tests @ 4.6%
+3384 in ODI from 68090 tests @ 5.0%
+1860 in BIH from 104473 tests @ 1.8%
+5351 in UP from 138378 tests @ 5.1% (76 deaths)
Comment: UP needs to raise PCR tests. Deaths rising.
+10621 in AP from 61300 tests @ 17.3% (92 deaths)
+655 in J&K... +140 in MNP
+2406 in KER from 40352 tests @ 6.0%
+5,981 in TN from 76345 tests @ 7.8% (109 deaths)
+1317 in MP... +456 in Goa... +188 in CHD
+9386 in KAR from 68187 tests@ 13.8% (141 deaths)
Comments: KAR is not improving. Almost a MAH now.
+14857 in MAH from about 70.4K tests @ 21.0% (355 deaths)
+1746 in PUN... 1293 in HAR... 1840 in DEL...
+2997 in WB from 42474 tests @ 7.1% (53 deaths)
+1190 GUJ... 728 in UK... +1108 in CHG (evening)
+2036 in ASM from 35395 tests @ 5.8%
+712 in RAJ (night) for 1345 today... +91 in HP (night) for 180
+1365 in JH... +330 in CHG (night) for 1438

+76,826 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 27 Summary: +76,826 to 3,384,565 at a daily growth rate of 2.323% (Doubling: 30.2 days)
Deaths: +1,065 to 61,694... Not quite flattening... Overall Death rate: 1.82%
Recoveries: +59,620 to 2,583,063... Overall recovery ratio: 76.3%

Bad Areas:
+3644 (4.2%) to 90263 in 3/14 dists; Nellore/Kadapa/Prakasam (2798), and Srikakulam (846), AP
+2708 (5.5%) to 51956 in 18/30 dists; Khordha/Cuttack/Raya./Puri. etc, but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+2621 (5.1%) to 53559 in 8/30 dists; Mysuru/Mandya/Rama./Hassan/Chikkamag./Shiv./Davan./U.Kannada,KAR
+2153 (5.2%) to 43714 in 10/35 dists; Nagpur/Chan./Gond./Gad./Bhand./Ward./Yav./Amr./Hin./Nanded, MAH
+1337 (6.6%) to 21588 in 20/28 dists; Raipur/Durg/Bilaspur/Raigarh/B.Bazar/Bastar/Bijapur etc, CHG
+1283 (4.9%) to 27247 in 10/22 dists; Ludh./Pat./SAS./Bath./Gurd./Hosh.r/Farid./Rup./S.Bhag./Man.,PUN
+1063 (5.0%) to 22166 in 2/35 dists; Satara/Sangli, MAH
+818 (5.8%) to 13985 in 10/24 dists; Ranchi/Giridh/Ramg./Kod./Garh./Late./Gumla/Chatra/Dum./Jam., JH
+713 (4.6%) to 16157 in 4/37 dists; Salem/Erode/Tiruppur/Namakkal, TN
+704 (4.8%) to 15237 in 4/14 dists; Alappuzha/Kollam/Kottayam/Pathanamthitta, KER
+659 (4.2%) to 16524 in 7/75 dists; Prayagraj/Pratapgarh/Fatehpur/Chitrakoot/Hamir./Unnao/Hardoi, UP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.323*1.50 = 3.484%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +17,703 cases to take their total to 372,396 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.00%... The rest of the country had +59,123 cases to take their total to 3,012,169 at a good area growth rate of 2.00%. Today's good areas are where 89.0% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Will have to skip a couple of days, friends. Heavy workload days. May not be able to do much for 2 days :(

Try https://twitter.com/Theupdater_ for the most up-to-date tweets, usually a bit ahead of Covid19india.org. And he does not miss any states. Just for Maharashtra, Uttara Khand and maybe Punjab, https://twitter.com/ANI could be a bit ahead of Theupdater_ (not sure why!).

Just for TN, https://twitter.com/Covid19TNUpdate gives the number the earliest by around 5:45 pm IST.

===================

August 28 Summary: +76,664 to 3,461,240 at a growth rate of 2.265% (Doubling: 30.9 days)
Deaths: +1,018 to 62,713... Overall death rate 1.81%
Recoveries: +64,475 to 2,647,538... Overall recovery ratio: 76.5%



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Aug 29 Summary: +78,479 to 3,539,712 at a growth rate of 2.267% (Doubling: 30.9 days)
Deaths: 943 to 63,657... Overall death rate: 1.80%
Recoveries: 64,982 to 2,712,520... Overall recovery ratio: 76.6%



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 30 Updates:
+71 NAG, +60 MEG, +35 LDK, +28 DNHDD, +25 SKM, +23 ANI, +5 MIZ and early numbers +603 RAJ, +109 HP

+571 in PUD... +447 in TPR
+2924 in TEL from 61148 tests @ 4.8%
+3014 in ODI from 60646 tests @ 5.0%
+2078 in BIH from 107730 tests @ 1.9%
+6175 in UP from 139454 tests @ 4.4% (67 deaths)
+786 in J&K... +152 in MNP... +170 in CHD
+10603 in AP from 63077 tests @ 16.8% (88 deaths)
+2154 in KER from 27908 tests @ 7.7%
+8852 in KAR from 66957 tests @ 13.2% (106 deaths)
+2024 in DEL from 20437 tests @ 9.9%
+1558 in MP... +1272 in GUJ... +451 in Goa
+1678 in PUN... +1295 in HAR... +664 in UK
+6495 in TN from 83250 tests @ 7.8% :dance: (94 deaths)
+3019 in WB from 43436 tests @ 6.9% Good. :) (50 deaths)
+16408 in MAH.. About 75.4K tests @ 21.7% (296 deaths)
+1115 in CHG (evening)... +847 in RAJ (night) for 1450...
+55 in HP (night) for 164... +157 in ARP
+231 in CHG (night) for 1346 today.
+1980 in ASM from 34102 tests @ 5.8%
+1323 in JH

+79,457 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 30 Summary: +79,457 to 3,619,169 at a daily growth rate of 2.245% (Doubling: 31.2 days)
Deaths: +960 to 64,617... Still rather flat at this level. Overall death rate falls to 1.79%
Recoveries: +60,408 to 2,772,928... Overall recovery ratio: 76.6%

Bad Areas:
+3680 (3.8%) to 100654 in 3/14 dists; Nellore/Kadapa/Prakasam (2861), and Srikakulam (819), AP
+2641 (4.3%) to 64533 in 10/30 dists; Mysuru/Mand./Ram./Has./Kod./Chikkam./Tum./Chit./Shiv./Dava.,KAR
+2491 (4.9%) to 53262 in 5/35 dists; Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli/Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg, MAH
+1633 (5.1%) to 33627 in 6/35 dists; Nagpur/Bhandara/Chandrapur/Gadchiroli/Wardha/Gondia, MAH
+1437 (3.8%) to 38940 in 1/35 dists; Nashik, MAH
+1205 (4.3%) to 29415 in 4/30 dists; Khordha(Bhubaneswar)/Cuttack/Puri/Jagatsinghpur, ODI
+1051 (6.0%) to 18672 in 11/28 dists; Raip./Bam./Kab./Rajn./B.Ba./Bil./J.Cha./Mah./Balod/Gar./Dham., CHG
+973 (6.9%) to 14968 in 8/24 dists; Ranchi/Chatra/Sar-Khar./Ramgarh/Bokaro/Giridih/Jamtara/Dumka, JH
+889 (4.2%) to 21814 in 5/14 dists; Thrissur/Ernakulam(Kochi)/Kottayam/Pathanamthitta/Kollam, KER
+840 (3.9%) to 22404 in 4/37 dists; Cuddalore/Kallakurichi/Ariyalur/Nagapattinam, TN
+804 (3.8%) to 22129 in 4/37 dists; Coimbatore/Erode/Tiruppur/Karur, TN
+1142 (3.9%) to 30379 in 2/75 dists; Lucknow/Barabanki, UP

Maharashtra is just a totally lost cause. In addition to the 12 districts in 3 clusters above, there are some 5 others in the state with uncontrolled spread. At this point, after 5 months, still running at 22% positivity in the state. Pathetic. Odisha had 9 other bad districts but in three other separate smaller clusters, but they are testing well, so no worries. There are 20 other bad districts in UP but not in big enough clusters. There is sturdy growth occurring in Jharkhand.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.245*1.50 = 3.367%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +18,786 cases to take their total to 450,797 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.34%... The rest of the country had +60,671 cases to take their total to 3,168,372 at a good area growth rate of 1.95%. Today's good areas are where 87.5% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 31 Updates:
+78 ARP, +78 ANI, +28 NAG, +27 DNHDD, +25 MEG, +25 SKM, +3 MIZ
and early numbers +645 RAJ, +93 HP

+284 PUD... +321 TPR
+1873 in TEL from 37791 tests @ 5.0%
+2602 in ODI from 57877 tests @ 4.5%
+1324 in BIH from 90024 tests @ 1.5%
+4782 in UP from 136585 tests @ 3.5% (63 deaths)
+1358 in DEL from 14389 tests @ 9.4%
+10004 in AP from 56490 tests @ 17.7% (85 deaths)
+1693 in KER from 18027 tests @ 9.3% :(
+5956 in TN from 75100 tests @ 7.9% (92 deaths)
+535 in J&K... +414 in Goa... +191 in CHD...
+6495 in KAR from 43132 tests @ 15.1% (113 deaths)
+1466 in PUN... +1450 in HAR... +1280 in GUJ...
+11852 in MAH from 52503 tests @ 22.6% (184 deaths)
+1532 in MP... +592 in UK... +140 in MNP
+2993 in WB from 42239 tests @ 7.1% (52 deaths)
+821 in RAJ (night) for 1466... +78 in HP (night) for 171
+1103 in CHG (evening)
+3266 in ASM from 44948 tests at 7.2% (Monday tests)
+3221 in JH... Wow, suddenly, 157430 tests @ 2.0% :notworthy: :notworthy: :notworthy:
Comment: JH did just 14K tests a week ago, came up to 25K yesterday and jumped to 157K today!!
+308 in CHG (night) for 1411

+68,766 and that is a final. It ends with a flourish from Jharkhand. Man!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 31 Summary: +68,766 to 3,687,939 at a daily growth rate of 1.900% (Doubling: 36.8 days)
Deaths: +817 to 65,434... Overall death rate drops to 1.77%
Recoveries: +64,435 to 2,837,377... Overall recovery ratio: 76.9%

As Monday numbers are a bit up and down because most states report the fewer tests from Sunday, we will skip today's good/bad area analysis. Hopefully I will have time tomorrow to check how things are.

But the news was on Jharkhand suddenly doing 158K tests in a day and finding only 3221 cases at a great 2% positivity. I think this may be a one-day one-off thing to catch a whole lot of cases in a hurry early. Not bad! Good job.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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September 1 Updates:
+72 MEG, +53 NAG, +52 LDK, +28 ANI, +19 DNHDD, +18 SKM, +1 MIZ
and early numbers +670 RAJ, +38 HP

+509 in TPR... +355 in PUD
+2734 in TEL from 58264 tests @ 4.7%
+3025 in ODI from 50421 tests @ 6.0%
+5343 in UP from 149874 tests @ 3.6%
+1928 in BIH from 115559 tests @ 1.7% :notworthy:
+10368 in AP from 59834 tests @ 17.3%
+1140 in KER from 14,137 tests @ 8.0%. Damn. :(
+5928 in TN from 75165 tests @ 7.9%
+2312 in DEL from 24198 tests @ 9.6%
+525 in J&K... +130 in MNP... +204 in CHD
+9058 in KAR from 83670 tests @ 10.9% :dance:
+1694 in HAR... +1516 in PUN... +1310 in GUJ
+588 in Goa... 1525 in MP... +571 in UK
+15765 in MAH from 72823 tests @ 21.7%
+2943 in WB from 43738 tests @ 6.7%
+1514 in CHG (evening), +101 in HP (night) for 139
+2684 in ASM from 37066 tests @ 7.2%
+370 in CHG (night) for 1884. +100 in ARP
+2177 in JH from 36750 tests @ 5.9% :)
+800 in RAJ for 1470

+78,168 and that should be a final!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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September 1 Summary: +78,168 to 3,766,108 at a daily growth rate of 2.120% (Doubling: 33.0 days)
Deaths: +1027 to 66,460... Overall death rate: 1.76%
Recoveries: +62,144 to 2,899,521... Overall recovery ratio: 77.0%



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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September 2 Updates:
+77 MEG, +52 LDK, +44 DNHDD, +34 SKM, +26 ANI, +14 NAG, +8 MIZ and early numbers +690 RAJ, +2 JH, +28 HP

+566 in TPR... +391 in PUD
+2892 in TEL from 59421 tests @ 4.9%
+3219 in ODI from 51245 tests @ 6.3%
+1969 in BIH from 127404 tests @ 1.5%
+5682 in UP from 136240 tests @ 4.2% (74 deaths)
+2509 in DEL from 28835 tests @ 8.7%
+1547 in KER from 23850 tests @ 6.5%
+10392 in AP from 60804 tests @ 17.1% (72 deaths)
+5990 in TN from 75829 tests @ 7.9% (98 deaths)
+641 in J&K... +125 in MNP... +239 in CHD
+9830 in KAR from 73317 tests @ 13.4% (113 deaths)
+1424 in MP... +636 in Goa
+1481 in PUN from 20241 tests @ 7.3% (106 deaths) WHAT? :damn:
+1792 in HAR... 1305 in GUJ... 836 in UK
+2976 in WB from 44120 tests @ 6.7% (56 deaths)
+17433 in MAH from 72248 tests @ 24.1% (292 deaths)
+1943 in CHG (evening)... +148 in ARP
+821 in RAJ (night) for 1511... +133 in HP (night) for 161
+3555 in ASM from 47744 tests @7.4%
+1029 in JH... +353 in CHG (night) for 2296

+82,832 and that should be a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Sep 2 Summary: +82,860 to 3,848,968 at a daily growth rate of 2.200% (Doubling: 31.8 days)
Deaths: +1,026 to 67,486... Still not rising much. Overall death rate: 1.75%
Recoveries: +67,874 to 2,967,396... Overall recovery ratio: 77.1%

Bad Areas:
+2750 (4.9%) to 58641 in 9/35 dists; Nagpur/Chandra./Gon./Bhan./Gadch./Wardha/Yavat./Nanded/Latur,MAH
+2254 (7.2%) to 33470 in 23/28 dists; Raipur(978)/Durg(223)/Bilaspur/Raigarh/Rajnandgaon etc., CHG
+2235 (4.7%) to 49770 in 13/30 dists; Puri/Khor./Cut./Kendu./May./Balas./Ang./Bou./Bar./Kan.,etc ODI
+1733 (4.1%) to 43580 in 5/30 dists; Mysuru/Hassan/Mandya/Tumakuru/Chitradurga, KAR
+1582 (4.7%) to 35049 in 3/35 dists; Satara/Sangli/Ratnagiri, MAH
+1438 (3.8%) to 39169 in 5/30 dists; Belagavi/Gadag/Koppal/Haveri/Shivamogga, KAR
+800 (3.4%) to 24518 in 1/13 dists; Prakasam, AP
+712 to 16632 in 10/13 dists; Harid./Dehra./Nain./T.Gar./U.kashi/Alm./Pau.Gar./Pith./Champ./Rudra.,UK

Eleven of 75 districts in UP have bad growth at 3.5% but no cluster more than 400 cases. All cities except Prayagraj are fine now. Seven of 37 districts in TN have bad growth at around 3.5% but all are isolated districts (Coimbatore 500+ needs to be handled). Haryana has 8 districts of bad growth but the largest cluster is about 575 cases with 5.0% growth (Panipat/Karnal area). Jharkhand is out of the bad list today because they picked up a lot of cases a couple of days ago when they ran 158K tests. JH only had a 1000 cases at slow growth today. None of the higher-population Punjab districts were bad today either. Kerala is out of the list and only had 3 bad districts out of 14. West Bengal has had 10 consecutive days of drops in active cases and is well ot of the list (Kolkata is now down to just +393). Bihar is on such a down slope for over two weeks continuously now. Keep an eye on Goa with over 600 cases at 3.6% growth, and Tripura with over 550 cases statewide at a 4.5% growth.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.200*1.50 = 3.300%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +13,504 cases to take their total to 300,829 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.7%... The rest of the country had +69,356 cases to take their total to 3,548,139 at a good area growth rate of 1.99%. Today's good areas are where 92.2% of our current cases are.

In other words, it is no longer bad area growth. The numbers we see are a nation-wide average growth. It's there all over the place. Very slow, at 2 percent (at about 35 day doubling period, but with many places over 40 days). There is no really alarming healthcare capacity issue anywhere. But the total number looks terrible, at +82K



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Sep 3 Updates:
+55 LDK, +49 NAG, +37 ANI, +34 SKM, +29 DNHDD, +20 MIZ
and early numbers +705 RAJ, +104 HP

+590 in TPR... +424 in PUD
+2817 in TEL from 59711 tests @ 4.7%
+3631 in ODI from 59492 tests @ 6.1%
+1922 in BIH from 140931 tests @ 1.4%
+5662 in UP from 136803 tests @ 4.1% (75 deaths)
+1553 in KER from 30342 tests @ 5.1%
+10199 in AP from 62225 tests @ 16.4% (75 deaths)
+5892 in TN from 82901 tests @ 7.1% (92 deaths)
+1325 in GUJ... +102 in MNP... +276 in CHD
+8865 in KAR from 71124 tests @ 12.5% (104 deaths)
+2737 in DEL from 32834 tests @ 8.3%
+1672 in MP... +713 in Goa... +1526 in PUN (72 deaths)
+837 in CHG (evening)... +1079 in J&K... +1881 in HAR
+18105 in MAH from 88697 tests @ 20.4% (391 deaths) :damn:
+946 in UK... +109 in MEG... +95 in HP (night) for 199
+2984 in WB from 45291 tests @ 6.6% (55 deaths)
+848 in RAJ (night) for 1553 today.
+3054 in ASM from 48846 tests @ 6.3%
+214 in ARP... +1618 in JH
+1447 in CHG (night) for 2284 today.

+84,156 and that is a final.