Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

This is a place where you can enter any non-sports general topics
User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 19 summary: +14,721 to 395,812 at a daily growth rate of 3.863% and doubling period of 18.3 days.
Deaths: +365 to 12,970. Not a terrible day. Overall death rate falls to 3.28%
Recoveries: Pretty good. +9026 to 214,206... Overall recovery ratio: 54.1%

Today's Bad Areas:
+3137 (6.3%) to 53116 in Delhi, DEL
+1921 (4.8%) to 42033 (+940+176+101+704 to 22033+3029+2267+14704) in Thane/Palgar/Raigad/Pune, around Mumbai MAH
+465 (6.2%) to 7961 in the state of AP
+458 (11.2%) to 4805 (+329+129 to 4395+410) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy, TEL
+445 (6.7%) to 7078 (+147+136+56+106 to 3432+2291+1001+354) in Chengal./Thiruval./Kancheep./Vellore, outside Chennai, TN
+311 (8.9%) to 3788 (+147+39+30+31+28+17+19 to 1351+783+477+354+339+252+232) to the East of Delhi,
in Noida/Ghazia./Buland./Hapur/Aligarh/Sambhal/Mathura, UP
+306 (5.2%) to 6139 (+145+161 to 4136+2003) to the west of Delhi, in Gurugram/Faridabad, HAR

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (3.863*1.20 = 4.635%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +7043 cases to take their total to 124,920 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.97%... The rest of the country had +7678 cases to take their total to 270,892 at a good area growth rate of 2.92% ...

Again, places where we now have 68.4% of our cases, grew only at a 2.92% growth rate (about 24.5 days to double)... So, we are probably not seeing a huge rise in cases due to Monsoons in most parts of India.

Except Delhi and areas around Mumbai and Chennai, the only issue is in Hyderabad and southwest AP. Bengaluru needs to be watched though.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 20 Updates: +338 UNA, +179 ODI, +10 MIZ, +3 NAG, and early numbers +158 RAJ, +109 HAR, +90 BIH

Update: +51 in Puducherry (PUD)... They suddenly have some cases, like in Goa. This is a big rise.
Update: +491 in AP... The distributed growth is troublesome.
Update: +416 in KAR, and it is +92 in Bengaluru. This is serious trouble
Update: +136 in MP, +127 in KER, +101 in UK, +92 in LDK, +23 in HP, +9 CHD, +6 DNHDD
Update: +2396 in TN. Only +1314 in Chennai
Data: TN did 33,231 tests today. :notworthy: ... Positivity again drops, to 7.2%
Feeling: We may hit +15K today.
Update: +120 in PUN, +29 Goa... Calm states
Update: +539 in GUJ, but the death figure finally drops under 4% for today after being 6% for ever. Only 20 today.
Update: +154 in J&K, +441 in WB... Calm states.
Update: +371 in HAR (night) for 480 ... Phew... No rise there; a bit of a drop. Are they testing enough?
Update: +541 in UP (to be confirmed, but adding in)
Update: +123 in BIH (night) for 213 today. Bihar is doing fine, testing some 5 or 6K every day.
Update: +223 in RAJ (night) for 381 today, +23 in UK (night) for 124
Update: +116 in CHG, +8 in TPR
Update: +546 in TEL... awaiting the number from Hyderabad. It is +458.
Data: They did 3188 tests in TEL today. So it is 17.1% positivity, down from 20.1 yesterday. That is SERIOUSLY good news!
Update: +3874 in MAH... There were only +1190 in Mumbai
Data: They did 18,326 tests today in MAH. Positivity 21.1%. Teeny bit below yesterday's 21.3%
Hope: Can we stay under 16K today?
Update: +63 in JH
Update: +3630 in Delhi
Data: 17,533 tests in Delhi today. Up from 13K yesterday. So 20.7% positivity. (It may be about 8% on antigen tests, and 50% on RT-PCP)
Update: +96 in MNP... That is a pretty big jump in Manipur. ALL of them returnee travelers, say the state.
Update: +249 in ASM... Went up to the 250 range, after dropping for a week from 200-250 to 102 cases yesterday :(

+15,893 and that is a final.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 20 Summary: +15893 to 411,727 at a daily growth rate of 4.015%, and doubling period of 17.6 days
Deaths: +308 to 13,277. That is an drop in the overall death rate to 3.22% (It seems MAH took out some from earlier count)
Recoveries: A great day with Delhi clearing backlog. +13,972 to 228,181, so the overall recovery ratio is 55.4%

Bad Areas Today:
+3137 (6.8%) to 56845 in Delhi, DEL
+1607 (5.9%) to 28935 (+1179 and +428 in Thane and Palghar/Raigad) around Mumbai, MAH
+629 (7.5%) to 8969 (+188+123+94+130+59+35 to 3620+2414+1095+983+468+389) in Chengal./Thiruval./Kancheep./Tiruvan./Ranipet/Vellore, TN
+508 (10.6%) to 5313 (+458+50 to 4853+460) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy, TEL
+491 (6.2%) to 8452 in the state of AP
+480 (4.9%) to 10233 in the state of HAR
+416 (5.0%) to 8697 in the state of KAR

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (4.015*1.20 = 4.828%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +7268 cases to take their total to 127,444 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.04%... The rest of the country had +8625 cases to take their total to 284,283 at a good area growth rate of 3.13% ... These good areas have produced 69.0% of our total cases so far, and they are still growing pretty slowly, though I want to see 2.5% fairly soon for good areas!



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 21 Updates: -138 UNA, +28 PD, +304 ODI, +133 KER, +28 PUD, +10 NAG, +1 MIZ, +1 ANI and early numbers +154 RAJ, +133 ASM, +115 HAR, +99 BIH, +23 UK, +6 HP, +1 LDK

Update: +477 in AP... Vishakhapatnam with a +39... Watch out.
Update: +453 in KAR ... Serious trouble. +196 in Bengaluru. Bring the military in. Half-joking, but do something NOW!
Update: +2532 in TN... A small rise in Chennai to 1531. Taking too long in TN, despite all the testing.
Data: 31401 tests in TN. So it is a minor rise to 8.1% positivity today.
Update: +596 in UP
Update: +580 in GUJ. They had to raise the rate again, I think. Oh boy. 63 deaths (EDIT: My fault. It was 25. Phew!!)
Update: +3000 in Delhi
Data: 18105 tests in Delhi. Positivity drops by 4% to 16.6%. Not bad.
Update: +122 in PUN, +122 in J&K, +64 in Goa, +4 in DDHDD
Update: +139 in Chattisgarh. Fairly good rise. This is happening in one place or other, every day (not the same place though)
Update: +239 in RAJ (night) to 393 today... That is a slight rise, but RAJ will handle it.
Update: +297 in HAR (night) to 412 today... Good. No huge explosion near Delhi, like I feared 2 days ago.
Update: +20 in UK (night) to 43 today.
Update: +414 in WB, +179 in MP, +64 in MNP, +35 TPR, +2 CHD
Update: +730 in TEL. (And +659 in Hyderabad. Can only weep now, seeing what we expected happen).
Data: 3297 tests today in TEL. So, the positivity goes up to 22.1%. ARGH :damn:
Update: +63 in BIH (night) to 162, +11 in HP (night) to 17
Update: +65 in JH, +8 in SKM
Update: +3870 in MAH... It was +1159 in Mumbai today.
Data: 19,865 tests in MAH!! ... Good job, Maharashtra. Positivity down to 19.5%
Data: There were 186 deaths in MAH today, but I think they cleared backlog. It was low fora couple of days.
Update: +198 in ASM (night) to 331 today

+15,158 with +ASM to come



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 21 Summary: +15158 to 426,910 at a daily growth rate of 3.681% and a doubling period of 19.2 days.
Deaths: Not a great day, after 2 calmer days. +426 to 13,703... Overall death rate still fell to 3.21% though.
Recoveries: +9069 to 237,252... Overall recovery ratio: 55.6%

Today's Bad Areas:
+3000 (5.3%) to 59746 in Delhi, DEL
+1662 (5.3%) to 33133 (+1176+228+131+127 to 24388+3453+2530+2762) in Thane/Palghar/Raigad/Nashik, MAH
+659 (13.6%) to 5512 in Hyderabad, TEL
+481 (7.9%) to 6576 (+120+88+64+77+30+102 to 2534+477+1159+1060+581+765) in Thiruval./Vellore/Kancheep./Tiruvan./Vilup./Cuddal., TN
+453 (5.2%) to 9150 in the state of KAR
+304 (6.3%) to 5160 in the state of ODI
+259 (8.5%) to 3305 (+26+66+52+70+39+6 to 768+1048+550+555+300+84) in Gunt./Kris./W.G/E.G/Vish./Viz., AP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (3.681*1.20 = 4.42%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +6818 cases to take their total to 122,582 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.89%... The rest of the country had +8340 cases to take their total to 304,328 at a good area growth rate of 2.82% ... Once again, the areas that have 71.3% of our current cases grew at a somewhat acceptable rate of doubling in around 25 days.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 22 Updates: -1295 Unassigned, +143 ODI, +69 NAG, +17 PUD, +4 in CHD, +1 MIZ, and early numbers +143 BIH, +74 HAR, +67 RAJ, +58 UK, +29 HP

Update: +443 in AP... Not much in the Vijayawada and Vizag areas. Sunday effect. Backlog clearing in other districts.
Update: +249 in KAR... And 126 are in Bengaluru. So, some backlog in testing in Bengaluru?? Just wondering.
Update: +138 in KER... +14 in HP (evening), and +11 (night) for 54... +10 in LDK... +3 in DNHDD
Update: +563 in GUJ (The "set rate" is 20 less for Sunday, I think :)) .. 21 deaths - so, things improving there?
Update: +2710 in TN ... +1487 in Chennai. And we have a problem in Madurai. +153 there.
Data: 26592 tests in TN, so positivity went up to 10.2 too. Not a good day in TN.
Update: +161 in PUN. That is high for Punjab. Keeping an eye on Ludhiana.
Update: +132 in J&K, +57 in MNP, +46 in Goa, +413 in WB, +175 MP
Update: +235 in RAJ (night) for 302 today.
Update: +3721 in MAH. Only 1098 in Mumbai, but 1002 in Thane, 593 in Pune.
Data: 13554 tests in MAH. Very high positivity.
Update: +872 in TEL. That is 713 in Hyderabad and 107 in RangaReddy next to it.
Data: Only 3181 tests in TEL. Positivity rises even more. 27.4%. That is 17.1 to 22.1 to 27.4 in the last 3 days. :damn:
Update: +2909 in Delhi
Data: 14682 tests in Delhi, so it is 19.8% positivity.
Update: +47 in CHG, +51 in JH
Update: +316 in HAR (night) to 390 today.
Update: +85 in BIH (night) for 228 today.
Update: +16 TPR
Update: +591 in UP
Update: +267 in ASM, +9 in ARP

+13,557 and that is a final



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 22 Summary: +13,548 to 440,450 at a daily growth rate of 3.176% and a doubling rate of 22.2 days
Deaths: +312 to 14,015... Not too bad. The overall death rate is now at 3.18%
Recoveries: A good day with +10,879 to 248,137, so the overall recovery ratio is 56.3%

Bad Areas:
+2909 (4.87) to 62655 in Delhi, DEL
+1170 (4.1%) to 29551 (+1002+168 to 25390+3621) in Thane/Palghar, MAH
+892 (6.2%) to 12818 outside Chennai/Chengalp./Thiruval. in the state of TN
+848 (13.6%) to 7080 (+713+107+16+12 to 6225+577+188+90) in Hyd./R.Reddy/S.Reddy/Med.Malk, TEL
+443 (4.9%) to 9372 in the state of AP
+403 (6.4%) to 6721 (+164+168+61+10 to 3564+2426+561+170) in Aurang./Jalg./Dhule/Buldhana, MAH

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.176*1.20 = 3.81%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +6655 cases to take their total to 128,197 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.48%... The rest of the country had +6903 cases to take their total to 312,253 at a good area growth rate of 2.26% ... We have 70.9% of our cases in these good areas.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 23 Updates: +183 UNA, +167 ODI, +50 NAG, +19 PUD, +7 DNHDD, +4 CHD, +2 ANI, and early numbers +199 RAJ, +103 UK, +81 BIH, +35 HP

Update: +462 in AP... Distributed growth but no huge growth rate. Nothing to worry, I feel.
Update: +302 in KAR... It is a +107 in Bengaluru for a 7.6% growth. Okay, relatively speaking.
Update: +141 in KER... Traveler cases (lot of foreign returnees too). Still no serious contacts-based growth
Update: +2516 in TN. Chennai had 1380.
Data: 25148 tests and 10% positivity. TN is trying to cut down on testing, I think. Good :)
Update: +162 in PUN, +148 in J&K, +85 in LDK, +45 Goa, +23 in MNP
Update: +174 in HAR (evening) There should be one more update later.
Update: +549 in GUJ. There were 26 deaths. A slight dip lately in the death-rate there. Great.
Info: Surat has another flare going. +175 today. A spread among diamond polishing workers, it seems.
Update: +370 in WB. A slight slow-down in cases lately in WB. Good.
Update: +3947 in Delhi. Wow.
Data: 16962 tests in DEL. So a 23.3% positivity. High, but we need to just get all these cases in the net.
Update: +54 in CHG
Update: +571 in UP
Update: +196 in RAJ (night) for 395 in the day, +30 in UK (night) for 133 today.
Update: +879 in TEL. And they tested even less today. Just 3006. For a 29% positivity. God save this state! :damn:
Update: +3214 in MAH ... Only 824 in Mumbai.
Data: 15365 tests. 20.9% positivity. It is still not dropping but not worsening.
Data: It was a bad day for the death count... +248, as they
Update: +495 in HAR, +10 in ARP, +23 TPR
Update: +183 in MP, +76 in BIH (night) for 157 today, +13 in HP (night) for 48 today
Update: +53 in JH
Update: +29 in CHG (night) for 83 today
Update: +203 in ASM. Okay... More tests and fewer positives. I love it. You go, Himanta bhai!!

+15,653 and that is a final!



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 23 Summary: +15,653 to 456,115 at a daily growth rate of 3.554% and doubling period of 19.9 days.
Deaths: +468 to 14,483, so not a good day, thanks to MAH clearing some backlog with 248 deaths. Overall death rate: 3.18%
Recoveries: +10,437 to 258,574... So our overall recovery ration rises nicely, to 56.7%

Bad Areas:
+3947 (6.3%) to 66602 in Delhi, DEL
+1381 (4.7%) to 30672 (+1116+245+20 to 26506+3866+300) in Thane/Palghar/Ahmednagar, MAH
+828 (11.8%) to 7818 (+652+64+112 to 6877+641+300) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy/Med-Malkaj., TEL
+462 (4.9%) to 9834 in the state of AP
+427 (7.0%) to 6502 (+181+114+71+26+35 to 2826+1313+1286+551+526) in Thiruval./Tiruvan/Kancheep./Rani./Vellore, TN
+362 (5.6%) to 6875 in outside Gurugram in the state of HAR
+322 (14.4%) to 2554 (139+45+42+22+48+26 to 988+357+352+339+284+234) in Madurai/Dind./Trichy/Ramanath./Theni/Virud., TN

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.554*1.20 = 4.426%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +7729 cases to take their total to 130,857 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.28%... The rest of the country had +7924 cases to take their total to 325,258 at a good area growth rate of 2.50% ...

That means, areas that currently have 71.3% of our cases, grew only at a 2.5% rate and a doubling period of 28.2 days (4 weeks). That is what most of the country is doing, and there doesn't seem to be any huge issue with Monsoons or relaxed lockdowns or anything. Just get the 4 cities above under control, and we can try to put this pandemic behind.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 24th Updates: +126 UNA, +282 ODI, +59 PUD, +17 NAG, +6 ANI, +4 SKM, +3 MIZ, and early numbers +198 HAR, +182 RAJ, +130 BIH, +33 UK, +3 HP

Update: +497 in AP...
Data: 36047 tests in AP at 1.4% positivity!! Above TN's record of 35K, as of now... (40 in Vishakhapatnam, a concern)
Update: +152 in KER
Update: +3788 in Delhi
Data: 19059 tests... So positivity drops from 23.3% to 19.9%. Good!
Update: +397 in KAR... +173 in Bengaluru :( They really need to take care of this soon, with enhanced testing/tracing!
Update: +2865 in TN... It is 1609 in Chennai, still struggling to get a drop from the peak. Madurai at +85
Data: 32079 tests in TN (so AP keeps the record)... Positivity drops to 8.9%. Great :)
Update: +197 in MP, +226 in ASM, +230 in PUN, +49 MNP, +12 CHG
Update: +3890 in MAH ... Only 1118 in Mumbai, but 1374 in Thane... +208 deaths :(
Data: 21000 tests today in MAH so they also dropped the positivity to 18.5%
Update: +445 in WB, +186 J&K
Update: +572 in GUJ... 25 deaths.
Update: +200 in RAJ (night) for 382 today.
Update: +891 in TEL ... It is 719 in Hyderabad... 4069 tests, so positivity drops from 27 to 21.9%. Good :)
Hope: Stay under +17,000?
Update: +292 in HAR (night) for 490 today, +93 in BIH (night) for 223 today.
Update: +664 in UP, +42 Goa, +2 ARP, 0 in LDK
Update: +28 in HP (night) to 31 today, +55 in UK (night) for 88
Update: +26 in JH, +13 in DNHDD

+16868 ... and that looks like a final...



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 24th Summary: +16,868 to 472,995 at a daily growth rate of 3.698% and a doubling period of 19.1 days
Deaths: +424 to 14,907... Overall death rate drops slightly, to 3.15%
Recoveries: Another great day. +13,089 to 271,688. Overall recovery ratio: 57.4%

Bad Areas:
+3889 (6.2%) to 62353 in Delhi, DEL
+1869 (5.2%) to 37740 (+1374+139+181+175 to 27880+3104+3867+2889) in Thane/Nash./Aurang./Raigad, MAH
1003 (7.4%) to 14545 in the districts outside Chennai/Chengal./Thiruval., TN
+860 (11.0%) to 8678 (719+86+55 to 7596+727+355) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy/Med-Malkaj., TEL
+497 (5.0%) to 9834 in the state of AP
+383 (5.1%) to 5752 in the state of ODI

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.698*1.20 = 4.438%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +8501 cases to take their total to 141,802 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.38%... The rest of the country had +8367 cases to take their total to 331,183 at a good area growth rate of 2.59% ...

The bad area growth rate became a bit worse today, but the good areas remain good!



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 25th Updates: +352 UNA, +142 PUN, +123 KER, +8 NAG, +3 CHD, +2 ANI and early numbers +175 HAR, +108 BIH, +88 ASM, +76 RAJ, +19 UK, +1 HP,

Update: +210 in ODI... Good to see it not rising (looked troublesome yesterday)
Update: +553 in AP .... Give it a rest, with reckless testing, AP. Contain better, maybe?
Update: +442 in KAR... Okay. Only +113 in Bengaluru, but I'm still quite worried.
Update: +3509 in TN. And it is 1836 in Chennai. It ain't working. Call Mumbai for advise!
Data: 32543 tests. Cut it to 20K who need to be tested. Seems it's 10K of those and 22K others now.
Update: +577 in GUJ, and only 18 deaths. This is becoming a good story out there in Gujarat.
Update: +278 in HAR (night) for 453 today.
Update: +475 in WB, +147 in MP
Update: +636 in UP, +127 in J&K,+86 MNP, +44 Goa, +11 DNHDD
Update: +4841 in MAH. Yikes!! 1350 in Mumbai, 1608 in Thane
Data: 25,026 tests in MAH!! Okay, so the positivity didn't go up too badly, at 19.3%
Hope: Can we stay under 19K? We really may hit 19K today.
Update: +3390 in Delhi
Data: 17305 tests in Delhi. 19.6% positivity.
Update: +42 in JH, +32 in TPR, +37 in CHG
Update: +211 in RAJ (night) to 287 today. +117 in BIH (n) to 215, +49 in UK (n) to 68, +32 in HP (n) to 33
Update: +920 in TEL with 737 in Hyderabad
Data: 3616 tests in TEL for 25.4% positivity. Yikes. Up again.
Update: +41 in PUD
Update: +0 in MIZ, as all 1186 samples tested were negative. That's great to know! :)
Update: +9 in LDK (to be confirmed)
Update: +276 in ASM to 364 today (but 88 is actually from yesterday that came in only today), +12 in ARP

+18,192 and that is a final



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 25 Summary: +18,192 to 491,177 at a daily growth rate of 3.846% and doubling rate of 18.4 days
Deaths: +401 to 15,308... Not a terrible day. Overall death rate: 3.12%
Recoveries: +13,976 to 285,664... Overall recovery ratio: 58.2%

Bad Areas:
+3390 (4.8%) to 73780 in Delhi, DEL
+2580 (5.8%) to 46848 (+1608+235+217+172+196+152 to 29488+4263+4084+3276+3085+2652) in Thane/Pal./Aur./Nash./Rai./Jal., MAH
+1673 (7.7%) to 23327 outside Chennai in the state of TN
+883 (10.2%) to 9561 (737+86+60 to 8333+813+415) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy/Med-Malkaj., TEL
+553 (5.4%) to 10884 in the state of AP
+364 (5.0%) to 7612 outside Gurugram in the state of HAR

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.698*1.20 = 4.438%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +9443 cases to take their total to 172,012 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.81%... The rest of the country had +8749 cases to take their total to 331,183 at a good area growth rate of 2.74%.

Today was not a good day. The cases rose by at least 1000 more than expected. Some of it is higher level of testing. But some of it is growth too, so the positivity of tests was actually bad too, today - as it went up to 8.66%. Not at all what we want to see.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 26 Updates: -370 in UNA, +150 KER, +218 ODI, +16 NAG, +7 DNHDD, +2 MIZ, +1 CHD, +1 MEG and early numbers +123 BIH, +120 HAR, +91 RAJ

Update: +605 in AP ...
Update: +3645 in TN ... And it is 2040 in Chennai. Not good. TN lost control in Chennai, again?
Data: 33675 tests in TN. Positivity is 10.8%. It is good enough if they are tracing/quarantining well. But are they?
Update: +750 in UP
Update: +542 in WB, +188 in PUN, +34 in UK, +11 in HP, +14 in ANI
Update: +301 in HAR (night) for 421. Generally the areas across the Delhi border are calming down a bit. Good :)
Update: +445 in KAR... but no big rise in Bengaluru (+144)
Update: +580 in GUJ... 18 deaths. They have come down to our average in death rate. Good.
Update: +213 in J&K, +203 in MP, +19 in MNP, +5 LDK
Update: +8 in DNHDD (night) for 15. What the heck is going on in Dadra Nagar Haveli Daman Diu?
Update: +5024 in MAH. Holy mother of Matunga!! Deaths: 175. Mumbai 1297, but Thane 1383
Data: +23,849 tests, so the statewide positivity is way high at 21%. Unacceptable outside Mumbai. :damn:
Update: +44 in Goa
Update: +3460 in Delhi
data: +21144 tests, so the positivity has dropped to 16.3 in Delhi! Good :)
Update: +273 in RAJ (night) for 364
Update: +89 in CHG, +31 in JH, +36 TPR
Update: +14 in HP (night) for 25 today.
Update: +67 in BIH (night) for 190.
Update: +985 in TEL (774 in Hyderabad)... They could not raise the testing due to capacity issue, it seems
Update: +32 in PUD, +2 in ARP
Update: +273 in ASM.

+18,253 and that is a final. Basically no rise from yesterday.



User avatar
jayakris
Moderators
Moderators
Posts: 26720
Joined: Mon Dec 16, 2002 7:24 am
Please enter the middle number: 1
Location: Irvine, CA, USA

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 26 Summary: +18,256 to 509,446 at a daily growth rate of 3.717% at a doubling period of 19.0 days.
Deaths: Not a terrible day, with +381 to 15,689 ... Overall death rate: 3.08%
Recoveries: Not a great day, but +10246 to 295,917 ... Overall recovery ratio: 58.1%

Bad Areas:
+3460 (4.7%) to 77240 in Delhi, DEL
+1605 (6.9%) to 24932 outside Chennai in the state of TN
+1546 (4.7%) to 34119 (+1383+163 to 30871+3248) in Thane/Raigad, MAH
+1016 (5.6%) to 19031 in Pune, MAH
+902 (6.1%) to 15792 (+273+270+157+154+48 to 4536+4354+3433+2806+663) in Palg./Aur./Nash./Jalg./Dhule, MAH
+913 (9.6%) to 10474 (774+86+53 to 9107+899+468) in Hyderabad/RangaReddy/Med-Malkaj., TEL
+314 (11.4%) to 3070 (+79+133+28+74 to 1159+633+246+1032) in Anant./Kada./Prak./Gunt., AP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.717*1.20 = 4.46%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +9756 cases to take their total to 184,658 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.58%... The rest of the country had +8500 cases to take their total to 324,788 at a good area growth rate of 2.55%.

All in all, this wasn't a terrible day, as the numbers were the same as yesterday, even though there were 4% more tests done (215K) as opposed to the previous day (207K). Delhi dropping their positivity noticeably, with the same total count, was great to see.

No particularly bothersome flare was observed (including at Madurai, Bangalore, Vishakhapatanam, etc)