Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 18 Summary: +65,024 to 2,766,626 at a daily growth rate of 2.407% (Doubling: 29.1 days)
Deaths: +1,098 to 53,023. Not good. Maharashtra (422) is bad. Overall death rate: 1.92%
Recoveries: +60,455 to 2,036,703... Overall Recovery ratio: 73.6%

Bad Areas:
+4595 (4.2%) to 114133 in 6/13 dists; Visakhapatnam/Vizianagaram & Chittoor/Nellore/Kadapa/Prakasam, AP
+3358 (5.0%) to 69987 in 13/30 dists; Ballari/Udupi/Shiv. etc; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/Mys./Mangal./Kala. KAR
+2376 (4.4%) to 52135 in 11/35 dists; Nagpur/Ahmed./Lat./Nanded/Amr./Beed/Bul./Yav./Par./Bhan./War. MAH
+1386 (6.9%) to 21386 in 14/22 dists; Ludhiana/Patiala etc but NOT Amritsar/Jalandhar/Sangrur/etc, PUN
+1116 (5.6%) to 21114 in 10/20 dists; Bhuban./Naya./Bou./Kandha./Ray./Kora./Mal./Suba./Balan./Barg. ODI
+939 (4.8%) to 18755 in 4/35 dists; Satara/Sangli/Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg, MAH
+894 (4.3%) to 21914 in 6/37 dists, Coimbatore/Erode/Karur/Salem/Perambalur/Ariyalur, TN
+652 (4.9%) to 14082 in 5/75 dists; Gorakhpur/Azamgarh/Ghazipur/Kushinagar/Maharajganj, UP
[KER (3.8%) had bad state-wide numbers but no contiguous areas of 650+ cases]

Surprisingly, Bihar isn't in the list today. It is distributed slow growth there. About 14 of the 38 districts could qualify, but in clusters of only about 400 or 500 cases each. Not contiguous. The areas outside Guwahati in Assam had only a 3.57% growth today and so the whole of assam was out of the bad areas today (though on district-wise breakup, there should be areas around Dibrugarh and Cachar which are marginally bad). UP's bad areas have shrunk as well. West Bengal also managed to stay out today, though a few districts were above 4% growth.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.407*1.50 = 3.610%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +15,316 cases to take their total to 333,506 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.81%... The rest of the country had +49,708 cases to take their total to 2,433,120 at a good area growth rate of 2.09%. Today's good areas are where 88.0% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 19 Updates:
+91 CHD, +78 MEG, +75 ARP, +45 MIZ, +38 NAG, +38 LDK, +37 DNHDD, +25 SKM
and early numbers +699 RAJ, +83 HP

+366 in PUD ... +236 in TPR
+1763 in TEL from 24542 tests @ 7.2% Vey good, KCR! :)
+2884 in BIH... Patna 427 (slow 2.4% growth. No issue)
Tests: 108179 @ 2.7% in BIH :)
+2589 in ODI... Bhubaneswar (dist) 466, Cuttack 222.
+5076 in UP (53 deaths) Lucknow 767, Kanpur 414, Gorakhpur 353
Tests: 107768 @ 4.7% in UP... Testing is back to their level.
+9741 in AP... E.Godav 1399, Anantapur 1123, Vishakha 835
Tests: 57685 @ 16.9% in AP. (86 deaths) No improvement. :(
+2333 in KER ... Th'puram 540, Malappuram 322, Kochi 230
Tests: 36291 @ 6.4% in KER. Too high by their standards :(
+1398 in DEL from 20815 tests (14.5 AG) @ 6.7%
+5795 in TN (116 deaths)... No improvement whatsoever :(
Tests: 67720 @ 8.6% ... The same old idiocy continues.
+708 in J&K... +111 MNP... +342 in Goa...
+13165 in MAH (346 deaths) ... Nagpur 997
Tests: 73462 @ 17.9% ... Just won't get out of the terrible range :(
+1683 in PUN ... Phew, no rise there, for a change :)
+1145 in GUJ from 63031 tests @ 1.8%... Great testing there.
+8642 in KAR (126 deaths). Bengaluru 2804, Shivmogga 915, Mysuru 562
Tests: 63085 (30.4k AG) @ 13.7% in KAR. It improved a bit! :)
+976 in MP... +264 in UK... +994 in HAR
+3169 in WB (53 deaths)... The usual creeping growth.
Tests: 34358 @ 9.2%.. A bit worse. WB should do some AG tests too.
+652 in CHG (evening) .. +75 in ANI..
+2116 in ASM. Guwahati 311, Dibrugarh-174, Jorhat 125
Tests: 40389 @ 5.2%... So nothing is getting bad in Assam.
+613 in RAJ (night) for 1312... +93 in HP (night) to 176
+967 in JH... +100 in CHG (night) for 752

69,196 and that is a final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 19 Summary: +69,196 to 2,835,822 at a daily growth rate of 2.501% (Doubling: 28.1 days)
Deaths: +979 to 53,994 ... still in some sort of a peak plateau. Overall death rate: 1.90%
Recoveries: +59,365 to 2,096,068... Overall recovery ratio: 73.9%

Bad Areas:
+3786 (5.5%) to 72579 in 14/30 dists; Mysuru/Udupi/Belagavi etc; NOT Bengaluru-U&R/Mangal./Kalabur. KAR
+1612 (5.5%) to 31147 in 6/35 dists; Ahmednagar/Osmanabad/Beed/Jalna/Parbhani/Nanded, MAH
+1430 (5.8%) to 26096 in 10/20 dists; Khord./Puri/Jaj./Kend./Sundar./Samb./Barg./Sub./Balas./Mayur. ODI
+1377 (6.0%) to 24162 in 14/22 dists; Ludhiana/Jalandhar etc but NOT Amritsar/Patiala/Kapurth./etc, PUN
+1340 (4.3%) to 51376 in 2/13 dists; Nellore/Prakasam, AP
+1256 (5.9%) to 22501 in 7/14 dists; Malappuram/Thrissur/Ernak./Alappuzha/Kottayam/Idukki/Pathan., KER
+1198 (6.8%) to 18887 in 5/35 dists; Nagpur/Bhandara/Gondia/Chandrapur/Wardha, MAH
+879 (3.9%) to 21405 in 5/37 dists, Coimbatore/Erode/Karur/Salem/Perambalur/Ariyalur, TN
+771 (4.2%) to 18975 in Lucknow, UP

UP had about 15/75 districts that are near 4% in growth but no cluster of more than 500 cases, so the flare areas like Varanasi, Jaunpur, Bareilli etc have calmed down nicely. Bihar is again not in the list today. About 10/38 BIH districts could qualify, but not in big enough clusters. Not contiguous. Assam and WB are also out of the bad aras, but Kerala seems to have parked itself permanently in the list.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.501*1.50 = 3.752%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +13,649 cases to take their total to 287,128 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.99%... The rest of the country had +55,547 cases to take their total to 2,548,694 at a good area growth rate of 2.23%. Today's good areas are where 89.9% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Aug 20 Updates:
+76 ANI, +61 HP, +58 SKM, +49 MNP, +34 DNHDD, +29 LDK, +25 NAG, +14 MIZ
and early updates +690 in RAJ, +121 JH, +63 MEG

+540 in PUD... +190 in TPR
Tests: 1388 @ 38.9% in PUD :( ... When will somebody notice?
+1724 in TEL from 23841 tests @ 7.2%. Hyderabad 395
+2898 in ODI ... Khorda (Bhubaneswar) 524. Calm elsewhere.
Tests: 53478 @ 5.4% in ODI
+2451 in BIH from 107945 @ 2.3%. All calm :)
+1215 in DEL from 17004 tests (11k AG) @ 7.1%
+9393 in AP (95 deaths) E.Godav 1357, Vishakha 995
Tests: 55551 (20.2K AG) @ 16.9%. Not improving but not worse.
+5986 in TN (116 deaths)... Salem 359. Useless officials.
Tests: 75076 @ 8.0%. The tests increased a bit. Good :)
+1968 in KER... A slight drop. From 37010 tests @ 5.3%
+4824 in UP (95 deaths)... Lucknow 796, Kanpur 348, Prayagraj 319
Tests: 109516 @ 4.4% in UP
+683 in J&K... +119 in CHD... +424 in Goa... +411 in UK
+1741 in PUN... +1142 in MP... +996 in HAR
+7385 in KAR (102 deaths). Bengaluru 2912, Ballari 483
Tests: 59603 (26k AG) @ 12.4%... It keeps improving. Good! :)
+1175 in GUJ ... +63 in MEG (night) for 126
+14647 in MAH (326 deaths) Pune 3554, Nagpur 1050
Tests: 76961 @ 19.0% in MAH. I give up.
+916 in CHG... +638 in RAJ (night) for 1328... +116 in ARP
+3197 in WB (53 deaths)... Flat, but the sloooow rise continues
Tests: 35059 @ 9.1%... No big improvement or worsening.
+1735 in ASM... A good drop there too :)
Tests: 34376 @ 5.0 in ASM. Good job!
+517 in JH (night) for 638 today... +136 in CHG (night) for 1052

68,507, final.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 20 Summary: +68,507 to 2,904,329 at a daily growth rate of 2.416% (Doubling: 29.0 days)
Deaths: +981 to 54,975 ... Still staying at a bit of a plateau... Overall death rate: 1.89%
Recoveries: +61,873 to 2,157,941... Overall recovery ratio: 74.3%

Bad Areas:
+4225 (4.8%) to 92021 in 12/35 dists; Nas./Ahm./Osm./Lat./Nanded/Jal./Beed/Amr./Yav./Par./War./Nag.,MAH
+2324 (5.5%) to 40306 in 19/30 dists; Khordha/Puri/Nayagarh/Cuttack etc but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+1980 (3.7%) to 55100 in 2/14 dists; Visakhapatnam/W.Godavari, AP
+1465 (6.3%) to 24543 in 14/22 dists; Ludhiana/Jalandhar etc but NOT Amritsar/Patiala/Kapurth./etc, PUN
+1322 (4.3%) to 32240 in 3/35 dists; Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli, MAH
+1271 (4.0%) to 33158 in 8/30 dists; Udupi/Chikkam./Kodagu/Hassan/Davana./Tumakuru/Haveri/Chitra., KAR
+1010 (4.4%) to 23848 in 5/37 dists; Coimbatore/Nilgiris/Namakkal/Tiruppur/Erode/Salem, TN
+820 to 12487 in 14/28 dists; Raipur/Durg/Rajnandgaon/Kabeerdham/Mungeli and all southers dists, CHG
+789 (4.1%) to 19764 in Lucknow, UP
[KER had statewide bad growth (3.9%) but no contiguous areas of more than 650 cases]

UP had about 20/75 districts that are near 4% in growth but no cluster of more than 500 cases. Bihar is staying out of the list today. It is well-distributed slow growth there. Bihar only had about 4 isolated districts (out of 38), with bad growth - that too after 107K tests in the state at 2.3% positivity (wow!). Assam and WB are also out of the bad area list.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.416*1.50 = 3.624%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +15,206 cases to take their total to 333,467 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.78%... The rest of the country had +53,301 cases to take their total to 2,570,862 at a good area growth rate of 2.12%. Today's good areas are where 88.5% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 21 Updates:
+67 ANI, +60 ARP, +57 MEG, +56 LDK, +53 DNHDD, +46 SKM, +36 NAG, +21 MIZ
and early updates +695 RAJ, +303 JH, +79 HP

+302 in PUD... +256 TPR
+1967 in TEL from 26767 tests @ 7.3%. Hyderabad 473
+2698 in ODI with Bhubaneswar 475, Cuttack 207.
Tests: 56479 @ 4.8% in ODI...
+2461 in BIH... Totally calm. Dropping everywhere?
Tests: 112422 @ 2.2% in BIH... The great testing continues.
+4945 in UP (64 deaths). Lucknow 623, Prayagraj 265
Tests: 110290 @ 4.5% in UP
+9544 in AP. (91 deaths) Vishakhapatnam down to 738
Tests: 55010 @ 17.3% in AP... Not improving.
+654 in J&K... +124 in MNP
+1250 in DEL from 17735 (11.6k AG) @ 7.0%
+5995 in TN . (101 deaths). Coimbatore 399, still.
Tests: 74344 @ 8.1% in TN. They keep going with set rates :(
+1983 in KER... Th'puram 429, Malppuram 335, Kochi 165
Tests: 35825 @ 5.5% in KER. Need more, like 45K tests.
+7571 in KAR (93 deaths) Bengaluru 2948, Bellari 540.
Tests: 57623 (22.9k AG) @ 12.7%... Holding that rate.
+1147 in MP... +116 in CHD
+1503 in PUN... +385 in Goa
+1204 in GUJ... Lots of tests but can't drop the numbers.
+14161 in MAH (339 deaths)... Nagpur 1010
Tests: 78157 @ 18.1%. Slight drop. I'll take any MAH good news :)
+3245 in WB. Thats a slight uptick
Tests: 36229 @ 9.0%. Tests reduced a bit. Don't! :(
+1203 in HAR... +447 in UK... +822 CHG (evening)
+640 in RAJ (night) for 1335 today.
+111 in HP (Night) for 190 total. The HP numbers going up :(
+1856 in ASM today. Good to see the lower numbers. :)
+955 in JH for 1258 today... +51 in CHG (night) for 873 toay

+69,028 and that is a final!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 21 Summary: +69,028 to 2,973,368 at a daily growth rate of 2.377% (Doubling: 29.5 days)
Deaths: +953 to 55,928... Still staying at that plateau under +1000. Overall death rate: 1.88%
Recoveries: +62,858 to 2,220,799... Overall recovery rate: 74.7%

Bad Areas:
+3792 (4.3%) to 91230 in 4/14 dists; W.Godavari (1131) and separately Chittoor/Nelloor/Prakasam (2661), AP
+2210 (5.3%) to 43506 in 20/30 dists; Khordha/Puri/Nayagarh/Cuttack etc but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+2071 (4.7%) to 45758 in 10/30 dists; Belag./Yad./Gad./Kop./Hav./Davan./Chitra./Shiv./Chikkam./Tum. KAR
+1474 (4.9%) to 31712 in 16/75 dists; Bij./Morada./Farrukha to Sita./Baraba./Ayo. to Gorak./Kushi., UP
+1303 (6.7%) to 20711 in 4/35 dists; Nagpur/Chandrapur/Gondia/Wardha, MAH
+1144 (5.2%) to 23201 in 14/22 dists; Jalandhar/Patiala etc but NOT Ludhiana/Amritsar/Pathan./etc, PUN
+1144 (4.1%) to 29265 in 9/37 dists; Coimbatore/Nilg./Namak./Kar./Tiruppur/Erode/Salem/Peram./Ariy., TN
+1068 (4.6%) to 24425 in 6/14 dists; Kozhikode/Malappuram/Thrissur/Ernakulam/Alappuzha/Kottayam, KER
+877 (4.9%) to 18770 in 6/23 dists; Hooghly/Pu-Medinipur/Pa-Bardhaman/Pa-Medinipur/Bankura/Purulia, WB
+842 (4.2%) to 21098 in 4/35 dists; Satara/Sangli/Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg, MAH
+671 (5.7%) to 12344 in 10/28 dists; Raipur/Durg/Rajn./U.B.Kank./Dham./Gar./Kond./Bast/Suk/Bijapur, CHG

Southwest part of WB is in the list today with some minor growth. UP's bad areas have shrunk as well. Maharashtra's bad parts are in the eastern and southwest corners today.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.377*1.50 = 3.565%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +16,596 cases to take their total to 362,020 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.80%... The rest of the country had +52,432 cases to take their total to 2,611,348 at a good area growth rate of 2.05%. Today's good areas are where 87.8% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 22 Updates:
+97 ARP, +93 MEG, +77 LDK, +83 MNP, +61 ANI, +45 SKM, +40 DNHDD, +16 NAG, +8 MIZ
and early numbers +612 RAJ, +61 HP

+518 in PUD... +280 in TPR
+2474 in TEL from 43095 tests @ 5.7%. Very good, KCR!
+2819 in ODI... Khorda (Bhubaneswar) 443. Calm.
Tests: 61379 @ 4.6%. Odisha dropped the positivity again :)
+2238 in BIH... Patna 281 and all numbers dropping :)
Tests: 102945 @ 2.2%, so BIH is doing fine. Great, actually.
+5217 in UP (70 deaths) There is growth but it's slow.
Tests: 124274 @ 4.2%. UP raised testing again, a bit :)
+1412 in DEL from 19435 tests(13.3k AG) @ 7.3%. Not better.
+10276 in AP (97 deaths) Chittoor/Nelloor/Prakasam bad.
Tests: 61469 (22.9k AG) @ 16.7%. Not worse, not better.
+2172 in KER... Th'puram 464, Malappuram 395. Flat now.
Tests: 37027 @ 5.9%... KER should test more.
+5980 in TN (80 deaths). The deaths figures dropping
Tests: 73547 @ 8.1% in TN. Still no improvement.
+1226 in MP... +610 in J&K... +145 in CHD
+14492 in MAH (297 deaths) At least the deaths aren't rising.
Tests: 73322 @ 19.8%. Beyond pathetic, still :damn:
+7330 in KAR (93 deaths) Blr 2979, Ballari 533, Udupi 348
Tests: 58618 (19.6k AG) @ 12.5%...Not worsening, thank God :)
+1316 in PUN (getting better!)... +306 in Goa... +483 in UK
+1212 in GUJ. Testing way up; numbers not falling... +1161 in HAR
+3232 in WB. The steady sloooow growth continues.
Tests: 36318 @ 8.9% ... They need to add AG tests too.
+568 in CHG (evening)... +698 in RAJ (night) for 1310 today.
+1560 in ASM from 23040 tests @ 6.77% ... Need to test more.
+907 in JH... +106 in HP (night) for 167
+136 in CHG (night) for 704 today (They had to push us over 70K :( )...

+70,067 and that is a final. Not big rise



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 22 Summary: +70,067 to 3,043,436 at a daily growth rate of 2.356% (Doubling: 29.8 days)
Deaths: +918 to 56,846... Not getting worse. Overall death rate: 1.87%
Recoveries: +59,101 to 2,279,900... Overall recovery ratio: 74.9%

Bad Areas:
+4550 (4.2%) to 113341 in 5/14 dists; W.Godav.(1033), Srikak.(661), Chittor/Nelloor/Prakasam(2806), AP
+2222 (5.5%) to 42795 in 19/30 dists; Khordha/Cuttack/Sundar./Mayur. etc, but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+1820 (3.8%) to 50172 in 10/30 dists; Udupi/Shiv./Davana./Hav./Gad./Kop./Chitra./Tumak./Mand./Hass. KAR
+1762 (4.4%) to 41794 in 9/75 dists; Lucknow/Barab./Unnao/Sita./Bahr./Ayodh./Amb.Nag./Gorak./Deor., UP
+1507 (5.4%) to 29368 in 3/35 dists; Jalgaon/Dhule/Nandurbar, MAH
+1557 (4.5%) to 35865 in 4/35 dists; Kolhapur/Satara/Sangli/Sindhudurg, MAH
+1008 (5.0%) to 21113 in 4/35 dists; Nagpur/Gondia/Bhandara/Wardha, MAH
+1645 (5.0%) to 34285 in 6/35 dists; Ahmednagar/Osmanabad/Beed/Latur/Parbhani/Hingoli, MAH
+990 (5.3%) to 17701 in 4/14 dists; Kozhikode/Malappuram/Palakkad/Thrissur, KER
+909 (5.3%) to 18156 in 8/23 dists; Pu&Pa.Medini./Jhargram/Purulia/Bankura/Pu.Bardh./Nadia/Mursh., WB
+891 (4.6%) to 20208 in 8/22 dists; Ludhi./Patia./Fateh.S./S.A.S.Nagar/Rup./Hosh./Kapur./T.Taran, PUN
+880 (4.0%) to 23008 in 4/35 dists; Coimbatore/Tiruppur/Erode/Salem, TN
[CHG (3.6%) is technically bad, state-wide, but has no contiguous bad districts of 650+ cases]

There were a bit more of bad area cases today. Where else? Maharashtra. 4 separate friggin areas generated nearly 6000 cases. 17 of the 38 districts are still showing twice the growth rate of the rest of India, after 5 frigggin months. Some of those districts like Jalgaon are on their 4th wave, because testing/monitoring is so damn poor in the state!

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.356*1.50 = 3.535%) and 650+ new cases... The bad areas together had +19,741 cases to take their total to 447,806 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.61%... The rest of the country had +50,326 cases to take their total to 2,595,630 at a good area growth rate of 1.98%. Today's good areas are where 85.3% of our current cases are.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 23 Updates:
+69 LDK, +52 ANI, +51 NAG, +40 ARP, +36 DNHDD, +22 SKM, +15 MIZ
and early updates +697 RAJ, +41 HP

+410 in PUD... +331 in TPR
+2384 in TEL. 40666 tests @ 5.9%. H'bad 472. Nizamabad 148
+2993 in ODI with Bhubaneswar 606. Calm elsewhere.
Tests: 68906 (61.1k AG) @ 4.3% in ODI. Need more RT-PCR
+5325 in UP (59 deaths). Lucknow 693, Kanpur 327
Tests: 130445 @ 4.1% in UP. Need to go up. 160K, to be below 3%
+2247 in BIH. Patna down to 203. Cases clearly dropping.
Tests: 101036 @ 2.2%. Where it should be, with AG tests.
+7895 in AP (93 deaths). Vishakh down to 451
Tests: 46712 (17k AG) @ 16.9%. Not better, not worse.
+1450 in DEL from 18731 @ 7.7%. It's creeping up...
+5975 in TN (97 deaths). Need a lawsuit against idiocy.
Tests: 70127 @ 8.5. It went up. Idiots.
+1908 in KER... Kochi 200. The elephant woke up?
+1101 in GUJ from 60808 tests @ 1.8%... +666 in J&K
+1263 in MP... +114 in MNP... +142 in CHD
+105 in MEG... Some results are from the 20K recent AG tests.
+5938 in KAR (68 deaths). Bengaluru 2126
Tests: 40808 @ 14.5%... A bit higher. Less AG tests, that's why.
+1136 in PUN. Things calming down a bit there... +1096 in HAR
+10441 in MAH (253 deaths)
Tests: 50416 tests @ 20.7%. Bloody friggin hell. :damn:
+558 in UK... +209 in Goa
+3274 in WB from 37149 tests @ 8.8%. Okay...
+648 in RAJ (night) for 1345 today... +557 in CHG (evening)
+65 in HP (night) for 106.
+1272 in ASM from 18435 tests @ 6.89%
+1075 in JH... +147 in CHG for 704 today.

61,749 and that is a final. Lower than an expected 64K or so....



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 23 Summary: +61749 to 3,105,185 at a daily growth rate of 2.029% (Doubling: 34.5 days)
Deaths: +846 to 57,692... Good to see no increase. Overall death rate: 1.86%
Recoveries: +56,896 to 2,336,796... Overall recovery ratio: 75.3%

Skipping the good/bad area analysis today. The growth rate is so low because the big states (MAH, AP, KAR) had lower testing by about 50K and so the national total is low by about 8K. Even at 1.5 times the average, many calm districts will be classified as bad today. It should be similar tomorrow (Monday) too, with lower testing counts from Sunday. So, let us wait till Tuesday with proper testing levels, to see which places are actually bad.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 24 Updates:
+59 MEG, +51 LDK, +49 ARP, +44 ANI, +43 SKM, +28 NAG, +18 DNHDD, +0 MIZ and early numbers +585 RAJ, +52 HP

+1842 in TEL... +337 in PUD... +200 in TPR
+2949 in ODI from 60909 tests @ 4.8%
+4601 in UP (61 deaths) from 121553 tests @ 3.8%
+1227 in BIH from 62215 tests @ 2.0%
+8601 in AP (86 deaths) from 54463 tests @ 15.8%
+1242 in KER... +428 in J&K... +116 in MNP
+5967 in TN (97 deaths) from 72023 tests @ 8.3%
+1291 in MP... +1061 in DEL... +1067 in GUJ...
+412 in UK... +139 in Goa... +117 in CHD...
+11015 in MAH (212 deaths) from 46784 tests @ 23.5% :damn: :damn:
+1505 in PUN from 12454...
+1074 in HAR... +761 in RAJ (night) for 1346... +48 in HP (night) for 100.
2967 in WB from 35267 tests @ 8.4%...
+814 in CHD (evening)... +940 in JH...
+5851 in KAR (130 deaths) from 39817 tests @ 14.7%... :(
Comment: KAR must get their act together. 130 deaths are too many.
+1879 in ASM from 28670 tests @ 6.6%
+322 in CHG (night) for 1136

+59,696 and that is final. A tad bit lower than expected, maybe, even with fewer tests.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 24 Summary: +59696 to 3,164,881 at a daily growth rate of 1.922% (Doubling: 36.4 days)
Deaths: +854 to 58,546 ... Been dropping lately, a bit... Overall death rate: 1.85%
Recoveries: +66,305 to 2,403,101... Overall recovery ratio: 75.9%

It was fewer tests reported today (ICMR said 609.9K but the states reported around 782K tests. Higher than last Monday's 729K. The positivity was again good at 7.6% today. So all in all, a decent-to-good day. Most importantly, the deaths were down in the 800s (though the 130 in Karnataka is cause for concern that they are not testing well and that more rises are coming). The active cases total came down by a 6K today too.

Will do the good/bad are analysis tomorrow with a regular testing total and probably a good spike back up to near 68K or more.



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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August 25 Updates:
+90 LDK, +82 MNP, +42 MEG, +41 ANI, +38 NAG, +35 MIZ, +29 SKM, +21 DNHDD
and early numbers +695 RAJ, +53 HP

+567 in PUD... +293 in TPR
+2579 in TEL... Only 295 in Hyderabad :)
Tests: 52933 tests @ 4.9%. TEL is taking care of business!
+2752 in ODI... A slight drop. Bhubaneswar 423
Tests: 58338 @ 4.7% in ODI. Pretty good. Not getting worse.
+1444 in BIH ... Keeps dropping (for the 10th day?)
Tests: 75835 @ 1.9%. See what good testing does?
+5006 in UP (72 deaths)
Tests: 121253 @ 4.1%... Lower it a bit more, UP.
+5951 in TN Bullcrap. They set the number. (107 deaths)
Tests: 70221 @ 8.5%. Frustrating as hell :damn:
+2375 in KER... Not rising but no drop. Malappuram 454
Tests: 34344 @ 6.9% in KER. Test better, damnit!
+701 in J&K... Showing a tendency to drop but not dropping.
+9927 in AP... No rise. (92 deaths)
Tests: 64351 (28.4 AG) @ 15.5%. Needs to get better.
+8161 in KAR. 4-day backlog 1331 added (Mysuru). Bengaluru 2294
Tests: 59787 @ 13.6 (may be better, considering the backlog numbers)
Comment: 148 deaths in KAR. This is getting bad. Get a grip!
+1148 in HAR... +392 in Goa... +1374 in MP...
+1293 in PUN (a decrease. good :) )... +1096 in GUJ... +1544 in Delhi...
+485 in UK... +174 in CHD...
+10425 in MAH (329 deaths) ...
Tests: 61423 @ 17.0%... Good to see the positivity down :)
+2964 in WB (58 deaths). Finally no upward creep today!
Tests: 37524 @ 7.9% ... Slight decrease in both positivity and cases! :)
+675 in RAJ (night) to 1370 total... +100 ARP...
+1145 in CHG (evening)... +1056 in JH...
+1973 in ASM from 34307 tests @ 5.8%
+142 in CHG (night) for 1287 today

+66,873 and that is a final!



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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

August 25 Summary: +66873 to 3,231,754 at a daily growth rate of 2.113% (Doubling: 33.1 days)
Deaths: +1,066 to 59,612. Not great. OVerall death rate falls to 1.84%
Recoveries: +64,151 to 2,467,252... Overall recovery ratio: 76.3%

Bad Areas:
+3288 (3.8%) to 90349 in 4/14 dists; Chittoor/Nellore/Prakasam (2621), and Vizianagaram (667), AP
+2761 (5.9%) to 49645 in 8/30 dists; Mysuru/Mandya/Hassan/Tumaku./Chitra./Davan./Shiva./U.Kannada, KAR
+2201 (4.9%) to 47507 in 16/30 dists; Khordha/Cuttack/Raya./Mayur. etc, but NOT Ganjam/Gajapati, ODI
+1669 (5.0%) to 35051 in 8/14 dists; Kannur/Kozhi./Malapp./Palakk./Thriss./Ernak./Alapp./Pathanam. KER
+1249 (6.9%) to 19401 in 18/28 dists; Raipur/Bilas./Raigarh/Suraj./Rajn./Bal-Baz./Bast./Bija. etc, CHG
+1146 (4.3%) to 29016 in 7/37 dists; Nilgiris/Erode/Namakkal/Salem/Cuddalore/Ariyalur/Nagapattinam, TN
+1102 (4.0%) to 28385 in 7/35 dists; Nagpur/Yavatmal/Chandrapur/Gondia/Bhandara/Wardha/Gadchiroli, MAH
+827 (4.3%) to 20156 in 2/35 dists; Satara/Sangli, MAH
+708 (4.2%) to 17427 in 9/75 dists; Saharan./Muzaff./Bij./Amr./Morada./Rampur/Budaun/Kasg./Farrukh.,UP
+633 (4.4%) to 15050 in 10/24 dists; Ranchi/Bokaro/Ram./Sim./W.Singh./Sa-Kha./Loh./Late./Haz./Kod., JH

Bihar keeps showing drops in daily additions, and continues to stay out of the bad list. Almost no bad districts in Bihar today. TN's numbers are from two areas that are technically not contiguous but they almost touch (Salem and Cuddalore districts). West Bengal had some 3 or 4 bad districts, and that was it. But Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand seem to be here to stay.

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 50% above our national average today (2.113*1.50 = 3.169%) and 625+ new cases... The bad areas together had +15,584 cases to take their total to 351,987 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.63%... The rest of the country had +51,289 cases to take their total to 2,879,767 at a good area growth rate of 1.81%. Today's good areas are where 89.1% of our current cases are.