Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

Generally a slight uptick in early numbers. -616 UNA .... AP +207, ODI +112, KER +78, PUN +99, NAG +26, MNP +19, SKM +14 and early numbers HAR +181, BIH +95, RAJ +92, ASM +68, UK +37, TRP +9, JH +8

Update: +104 in Ladakh... That is new.
Update: +271 in KAR .... Bengaluru with a +36 that is bothersome. The rest are spread out.
Update: +476 in WB
Update: +1982 in TN... Not a bad rise actually.
Data: 18231 tests today in TN! So the positivity isn't going up and up either. That is good.
Tidbit: TN just put our count over 300K to 301,579
Update: 3493 in MAH (over 100K now). It is +1366 in Mumbai. +127 deaths. That didn't worsen.
Data: 15660‬ tests in MAH. The positivity is 22.3% a bit lower than yesterday.
Comment: Maharashtra outside Mumbai growing a teeny bit over the national rate.
Update +46 in GOA
Update: +495 GUJ
Update: +528 in UP (to be confirmed but adding) ... Argh... Now we have to worry about UP? From 15K tests though.
Data: 20 deaths in UP today. About 5 more than UP's usual rate of 3 percent.
Update: +185 in HAR (night) to 366. No big rise there; thank God!
Update: +156 J&K
Hope: Can we stay under 11K?
Update: +53 in BIH (night) for 148 today.
Update: +202 in MP. Thank God that they have've been keeping a lid on it lately.
Hope: Can Delhi stay under +2000?
Update: +32 in UK for 69 (okay, so Uttarakhand has calmed down a bit after looking scary last week)
Update: +49 in JH for 57 today, +31 in CHG
Update: +138 in RAJ for 230 today
Update: +2137 in Delhi. A worse thing is +127 deaths. Come on Khichdiwal, how much have you messed up??
Data: It was 5947 tests in Delhi. Slightly higher than normal by 300-400... Now 36% positivity. ARGH :damn:
Update: +164 in TEL (133 in Hyderabad - so no flare-ups, but whom have they tested?). 9 deaths. 5 too many.
Update: Sikkim with a few more for +50 today (up from 13 total before today, to 63)
Hope: My man Himanta Biswa Sarma fell asleep, or dropped his phone in the toilet. So no tweet, no new numbers. 11.45 pm. Come on man!
Update: +195 in Assam (night) for 263 in the day, as per a 12:20 am tweet :(

+11,308 is the final for today.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

+11314 to 309,603 at a daily growth rate of 3.801% and a doubling period of 18.6 days.
Deaths: +388 to 8890. A few lower than yesterday, but bad... Overall death rate climbs a bit to 2.87%
Recoveries: A very good day today with +7259 to 154,231... Overall recovery rate: 49.8%.

Today's bad areas:
+2137 (6.2%) to 36824 in Delhi, DEL
+1747 (5.5%) to 33245 (+1526+125+96 to 28924+2569+1752) in Chennai/Chengal./Thiruval., TN
+1050 (5.5%) to 20207 (+764+211+75 to 16443+2053+1711) in Thane/Palhar/Raigad, MAH
+325 (8.9%) to 3997 (+174+151 to 1540+2457) in Jalgaon/Aurangabad, MAH
+313 (6.3%) to 5268 in the rest of the state outside Kolkata/Howrah, WB
+270 (7.1%) to 4088 (+185+57+28 to 2922+986+180) in Gurugram/Faridabad/Palwal, HAR
+263 (7.7%) to 3694 in the state of ASM

No other contiguous areas had a growth rate above our national average today (3.80%) and 250+ new cases. The bad areas together had +6105 cases to take their total to 107,323 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.03%... The rest of the country had +5209 cases to take their total to 202,285 at a good area growth rate of 2.64% ... [Probably more correct to say that the good areas added 5209+616 (the ministry adjustment) cases, to grow at 2.96% and a doubling period of 23.8 days]

Outside of two cities (Delhi/Chennai), the whole country, including vast areas of UP, Bihar, and every other large city in India, together grew at a 24 day doubling rate (in fact all those cities are growing slower, except Hyderabad!). Outside the two states in the East, WB and Assam and just the above 14 districts, some 700+ districts in India grew at just under a 3 percent rate.

The next two days are our weekly spike days. I am expecting 12,100 tomorrow (but it could be higher or lower based on the Ministry adjustment of unassigned cases).


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 13: Except for a weird and problematic sudden rise in Ladakh for a second day, things are okay to start the day. -331 UNA, +225 ODI, +222 AP, +198 LDK, +85 KER, +37 TPR, +13 PUD, HP +7, +7 NAG,+3 MIZ, +4 ARP and early counts +129 HAR, +118 RAJ, +87 BIH, +35 UK

Update: +306 in KAR ... About 50-60 cases are distributed all over the state. Need to keep finding them.
Update: +1989 in TN ... It is 4 days now in the 1850-2000 range. Chennai holds at +1520
Data: It is from 17911 tests, so the positivity didn't go up too much (11.1%).
Update: +3427 in MAH... +113 deaths, so things didn't get worse. Mumbai had a +1,380
Data: MAH did 16464 tests today, their highest ever. 20.8% positives. It dropped a small bit.
Update: +502 in UP... Just a bit above the national average in growth rate.
Update: +77 in PUN (they have some reverse migration cases. Lots of migrants returned. But all under control]
Update: +286 in HAR (night) for 415 today. Their highest total. Delhi is hurting them badly in Gurugram/Faridabad.
Update: +454 in WB... Not great. Not slowing down, but no steep rise.
Update: +517 in GUJ... and they get their 6% deaths at 33.
Comment: The numbers are up, so Delhi may put us at 11K and we may even hit 12K today.
Update: +64 in MNP. The Northeast migrants are the last ones to reach home!
Update: +60 in Goa. All the small states with such numbers now. Lots of testing, so it's all good.
Update: +67 in CHG
Update: +215 in RAJ (night) for 333 total.
Update: +253 in TEL (with 179 in Hyderabad. Trouble, but not out of hand yet)
Update: +106 in BIH (night) for 193, +26 in UK (night) for 61, +45 (night) in TPR
Update: +198 in MP, +148 in J&K, +54 in JH
Update: +2134 in DEL ... 57 deaths, so that number improved a lot from yesterday.
Data: 5776 tests in Delhi today... So, they keep their 36% (Mexico rate) stats.
Data: The death count for today is 309, a significant drop from the 380+ we had for 3 days.
Data: Over 8000 recoveries today. Terrific!
Update: +182 in ASM (night) for 207 today. It dropped a bit from yesterday.

+11,993 is the final, it seems. EDIT: 12,031 with a +38 in CHG.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 13 Summary: +12,031 to 321,626 at a daily growth rate of 3.886%, and a doubling period of 18.2 days.
Deaths: +309 to 9199 ... A much better day than the previous three... Overall death rate is 2.86%
Recoveries: +8091 to 162,326, so a very good day on that too. Overall recovery rate crosses 50% for the first time -> 50.4%

Today's Bad Areas:
+2134 (5.8%) to 38958 in Delhi, DEL
+1851 (5.0%) to 38956 (+863+441+103+163+70+118+93 to 17306+11722+2560+2216+1781+1738+1633) in Thane/Pune/Aur./Pal./Rai./Sol./Jalg., MAH
+1656 (5.3%) to 33149 (+1520+136 to 30444+2705) in Chennai/Changalpattu, TN
+502 (4.0%) to 13118 in the state of UP
+366 (4.9%) to 7786 (+158+62+69+28+49 to 3514+1682+1493+686+411) in Kolkata/Howrah/N.Parg/S.Parg/P.Mednipur, WB
+303 (7.8%) to 4211 (+203+100 to 3125+1086) in Gurugram/Faridabad/Palwal, HAR
+253 (5.6%) to 4737 in the state of TEL

No other contiguous areas had a growth rate above our national average today (3.89%) and 250+ new cases. The bad areas together had +7065 cases to take their total to 140,915 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.28%... The rest of the country had +4966 cases to take their total to 180,711 at a good area growth rate of 2.82%

So, again, no signs that things are getting worse. We continue with a slight slowing down of daily additions, considering that Sat/Sun are the spike days. My 2-week prediction for tomorrow was 335K-355K, which became 335K-345K last Sunday, but we won't hit even 335K tomorrow. Nice!!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 14: Okay start today. -548 UNA, +186 ODI, +220 HAR, +54 KER, +41 Goa, +15 TPR, +18 PUD, +5 NAG, +SKM, and early numbers +131 RAJ, +66 BIH, +43 ASM, +31 UK, +9 MNP

Update: +112 in LDK. Man, what is going on in Ladakh?
Update: +294 in AP, +176 in KAR... Andhra goes up and Karnataka comes down.
Comment: I don't like the +42 in Bengaluru. They better be testing/tracing well. It is growing steadily now.
Update: +1974 TN ... That's a 4th day of holding at just under 2K ... 1452 in Chennai
Data: 18782 tests today in TN !!! ... Positivity drops a bit more to 10.5% ... GREAT sign that numbers are dropping.
Update: +389 in WB ... That is a drop today.
Update: +77 in PUN,
Update: +106 ASM (evening) for +149
Update: +497 in UP (from the minister. adding it in)
Update: +511 in GUJ, as they hot their calculated number :) ... The death number(+29) continues to be terrible :(
Update: +163 in J&K
Update: +162 in RAJ (night) for 263 in the day.
Update: +3390 in MAH. death number didn't go up... +120.
Data: MAH did 16,298 tests today. The positivity around the same as yesterday, at 20.8
Update +239 in HAR (night) for 459 in the day. No respite at the DEL border. Gurugram/Faridabad becoming like Thane now.
Update: +2224 in DEL
Data: Delhi had 7353 tests today. A notable uptick on that! And positivity dropped from 36% to 30%. Good!
Update: +237 in TEL... It is 195 in Hyderabad and it is growing steadily.
Update: +161 in MP, +113 CHG
Update: +120 in BIH (night) for 186
Update: +50 in JH (EDIT: Only +37)
Update: +49 from ASM (night) for +208

+11,377 and that is a final. So, it wasn't another 12K peak like we feared. Very nice!!


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 14 Summary: +11374 to 333,008 at a daily growth rate of 3.536% and a doubling period of 20.0 days
Deaths: +321 to 9520 and our overall death rate stays at 2.82%
Recoveries: +7362 to 169,689, so the overall recovery rate is now 51.0%

Today's bad areas:
+2224 (5.7%) to 41182 in Delhi, DEL
+1769 (4.9%) to 38023 (+1452+177+68+37+35 to 31896+2882+1865+709+671) Chennai/Cheng./Thiruval./Kanch./Thiuruvan., TN
+971 (4.5%) to 22616 (+774+110+87 to 18080+2668+1868) in Thane/Palghar/Raigad, MAH
+365 (8.3%) to 4769 (+169+191+13 to 3294+1277+198) in Gurugram/Faridabad/Palwal, HAR

No other contiguous areas had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (so 3.54*1.2 = 4.24) and 250+ new cases. Pune, UP, WB were all in the 3.6 to 3.9 percent range, just above the national average. The bad areas together had +5329 cases to take their total to 106,590 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.26%... The rest of the country had +6045 cases to take their total to 226,418 at a good area growth rate of 2.74% ...


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 15th: -464 Unassigned, +213 KAR, +146 ODI, +82 KER, +28 Goa, +8 PUD, +5 MIZ, +5 CHD, +4 NAG, and early numbers +119 HAR, +106 BIH, +78 RAJ, +40 ASM, +57 J&K, +17 UK, +9 HP, +6 LDK

Update: +304 in AP... Not sure why it is up a bit lately. Distributed cases, and they test some 15K a day though.
Update: +476 in UP (as per minister. adding it in)... 18 deaths, a little higher than we want to see.
Update: +1843 in TN (day 5 of sticking at that number. And this is from even more tests, 18,403!!)
Data: 44 deaths today... Lag effect possibly, but it is 20 more than expected.
Data: Chennai had 1348, about 100 less today.
Update: +127 in PUN... That is up a 50 more than expected. Delhi travelers going across...
Update: +407 in WB, +32 in MNP
Update: +209 in RAJ (night) for 287 in the day.
Comment: The numbers aren't sufficiently down like I expected today :(
Update: +133 in MP... A very good drop from the 200-250 range. MP has been past the peak for a few days.
Update: +514 in GUJ.. No drop from their set rate of 500... 28 deaths too, at the rate they have set :(
Update: +1647 in DEL ... Lower number (from 6100 tests, so 27% positivity, about the same as yesterday)
Data: They had 73 deaths. Not good.
Update: +81 in BIH (night) for 187 in the day, +29 in HP (night) for 38 total.
Update: +44 in CHG, +30 in JH, +10 TPR, +4 ARP
Update: +2786 in MAH... But +178 in deaths (only 58 in Mumbai). Sad!! Lag effect of more cases earlier, possibly.
Data: It was only 1067 in Mumbai today... Quite low.
Data: It was 12,255 tests today in MA for 22.8% positivity. Damnit, MAH, test more and finish this virus off!
Update: +395 in HAR (night) for +514 total today. Yikes.
Update: +219 in TEL (189 in Hyderabad). No sign of the 50K tests and all that bunkum talk.
Update:+151 in ASM (night) for 191 for the day

+10014 is the final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 15 Summary: +10014 to 343,026 at a daily growth rate of 3.001% and a doubling period of 23.5 days
Deaths: +396 to 9,915 and a notable increase in our overall death rate to 2.89%
Recoveries: A great day with +10,637 to 180,320... Had more recoveries than new cases today. Overall recovery rate: 52.6%

Bad Areas:
+1647 (4.0%) to 42829 in Delhi, DEL
+1601 (4.4%) to 38108 (+1348+123+42+30+37+21 to 33244+3005+751+701+234+173) in Chennai/Cheng./Kanch./Thiuruvan./Ranipet/Vellore, TN
+832 (4.3%) to 20300 in areas outside of Mumbai/Thane/Pune, MAH
+514 (7.1%) to 7722 in the state of HAR
+304 (4.9%) to 6456 in the state of AP
+264 (5.3%) to 5265 in areas outside of Kolkata/Howrah/Hooghly, WB

No other contiguous areas had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (3.00*1.20 = 3.6%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +5162 cases to take their total to 120,680 cases at a bad area growth rate of 4.47%... The rest of the country had +4852 cases to take their total to 222,346 at a good area growth rate of 2.23%...

Notice that the higher growth is all outside of cities everywhere (except at Delhi and Chennai). And those cases in the villages are all running at 60 to 80% traveler cases and nothing else. For the time being, it is possible India is done with growing. Actually some of my analysis shows that even the growth is because of some double counting, and the ministry adjustments may soon start dropping our daily additions. But need to wait a bit more to say for sure. Can't make any conclusions after the Monday numbers anyway - as they are from reduced tests on Sunday.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 16: Not a good start because of the +712 in Unassigned category. +108 +ODI, +94 LDK, +79 KER, +53 CHG, +67 UK, +14 PUD, +7 CHD, +4 MIZ,+4 SKM and early numbers +115 RAJ, +110 HAR, +74 BIH, +10 ASM, +3 HP

Update: +264 AP ... At least it didn't go up. Mostly traveler cases in the western districts of the state.
Update: +78 J&K
Update: +1515 in TN... Yay, a nice drop... I knew it was coming... I knew it was coming... Only 1001 in Chennai
Data: This was from 19242 tests in TN :notworthy: :notworthy: ... Positivity drops from 10.5 to 7.8% in one day.
Update: +507 in UP (as per minister. Adding it in)... 18 deaths.
Update: +317 KAR. When AP drops a bit, KAR goes up a bit. Nice pattern :)
Comment: Bengaluru continues to add some 40 cases a day. They need to bottle this up NOW.
Update: +104 in PUN, +10 in MNP, +37 Goa
Update: +415 in WB
Update: +524 in GUJ. They will keep chopping the Ahmedabad peak at a set rate for ever, I think. 28 deaths :(
Update +120 in RAJ (night) for 235 in the day; +16 in CHG (night) for 69 today, +30 in UK (night) for 97
Update: +440 in HAR (night) for 550 today. Still no sign of the Delhi effect stabilizing.
Update: +134 in MP, +46 in JH
Update: +2701 in MAH ... And Mumbai had 935... Under 1000 after a long time.
Data: Deaths in MAH goes up +1328(correction)+81(new) to 5537 due to reconciled data. Yikes. :damn:
Data: There were 14,274 tests today, so positivity dropped in MAH too, to 18.9%
Update: +1859 in DEL
Data: And Delhi reconciles their data and adds a +437(correction)+93(new) to their death total (to 1837) :damn: :damn:
Data: The 1859 were from 7786 tests, so the positivity drops to 24% there. Not bad.
Update: +213 in TEL (165 in Hyderabad. Good; not growing too fast), +6 in TPR
Update: +191 in ASM (night) for 201 today, +74 in BIH (night) for 148

+11,082 and that seems to be a final.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

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June 16 summary: +11077 to 354,148 at a daily growth rate of 3.23% and a doubling period of 21.8 days
Deaths: Ouch. +1765 correction. Record-keeping issue. Don't even ask. +2,004 to 11,921... Overall death rate shoots up to 3.39%
Recoveries: +7228 to 187,552... Overall recovery rate: 53.0%

Bad Areas:
+1859 (4.3%) to 44688 in Delhi, DEL
+712 (10.2%) to 7684 in the Unassigned category
+550 (7.1%) to 8272 in the state of HAR
+317 (4.4%) to 7530 in the state of KAR
+271 (4.6%) to 6109 (+170+70+31 to 3946+1689+474) in Kolkata/N.Parganas/S.Parganas, WB
+264 (4.1%) to 6720 in the state of AP

No other contiguous areas had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (3.23*1.20 = 3.88%) and 250+ new cases... Chennai left the bad area group, and probably for good... Farewell, Chennai. It was nice knowing you :) ... The whole state of MAH grew only at under 3% rate today and even Mumbai (+935 to 60228), Thane (+596 to 19328) and Pune (+469 to 12888) were all under 3.8% growth...

The bad areas together had +3973 cases to take their total to 81,003 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.15%... The rest of the country had +7104 cases to take their total to 273,145 at a good area growth rate of 2.67% ... Basically most of India is growing at that rate with a doubling period of around 27 days. We just need the Delhi area to calm down, and then we will have a relaxed growth around the country. I think we will keep growing for a while, even if we get a temporary peak sometime in the near future. We may not get a peak... But if the daily cases continues to drop at a slow pace after a peak, without a second peak, that won't surprise me either.... but that may be unlikely. Either way the numbers will keep going for quite a while.


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 17 update: +589 in UNA, +351 in AP, +204 KAR, +175 ODI, +126 PUN, +79 KER, +38 LDK, +29 PUD, +27 Goa, +14 NAG, +5 DNHDD, +3 CHD, and early numbers +122 RAJ, +109 HAR, +95 ASM, +79 BIH, +43 UK, +10 HP

Comment: The rise in AP is bothersome. Testing a lot, that is why, though.
Comment: It is +55 in Bengaluru. They need to do more tracing/testing in Bengaluru. kill this thing NOW!!
Update: +2174 in TN ... So, Chennai hasn't left the bad list just yet (EDIT: No, Chennai is gone)
Data: Actually Chennai had only +1311. This was from a ton of testing in other dictricts!
Data: From 25463 tests in TN. Amazing. Positivity at 8.5%
Update: +520 in GUJ (20 deaths), +108 in J&K, +583 UP, +391 WB
Update: +3307 in MAH... That is up :( ... Around 1350 cases in Mumbai today. Not bad.
Data: 16686‬ tests today, so a minor rise in that, but positivity is 19.8% (below MAH's worse numbers earlier though)
Update: +204 in RAJ (night) for 326 in the day. Up everywhere :(
Hope: Can we stay under +12,750 today? Maybe not...
Update: +451 in HAR (night) for 560 in the day.
Update: +38 in UK (night) for 81 for the day, +15 in HP (night) for 25
Update: +2414 in Delhi
Data: This was from 8093 tests in Delhi. It went up, but the positivity is 29.9% :(
Update: +161 in MP, +80 CHG
Update: +269 in TEL (and 214 are in Hyderabad)
Update: +51 in BIH (night) for 130 today.
Update: +56 JH, +43 TPR, +52 MNP, +4 in ARP
Update: +84 in ASM (night) for 179 in the day...Nice to see the steady drop in ASM cases.

+13,102 and that is pretty much the final figure, unless Mizoram sends any small numbers...


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 17 Summary: +13107 to 367,264 at a daily growth rate of 3.70% and a doubling period of 19.1 days
Deaths: Not a bad day. +341 to 12,262 ... Overall death rate drops a bit, to 3.33%
Recoveries: +6889 to 194,438, so the overall recovery rate is 52.9%

Bad Areas:
+2414 (5.4%) to 47102 in Delhi, DEL
+863 (6.3%) to 14637 in areas outside Chennai in the sate, TN
+747 (6.2%) to 12748 in areas outside Mumbai/Thane/Pune in the state, MAH
+589 (7.7%) to 8273 in the Unassigned category
+408 (7.8%) to 5669 (+180+228 to 3862+1807) in Gurugram/Faridabad, HAR
+269 (4.7%) to 5675 in the state of TEL
+255 (6.6%) to 4099 (+25+67+59+14+23+30+37 to 88+580+1151+117+694+821+348) in Chitt./Anant./Kurn./Prak./Gunt./Krish./W.God., AP

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% above our national average today (3.70*1.20 = 4.44%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +5545 cases to take their total to 97,933 cases at a bad area growth rate of 6.00%... The rest of the country had +7562 cases to take their total to 269,331 at a good area growth rate of 2.89% ...

In other words, places where we have 73% of the current case total, the growth was just 2.89% (at a doubling period above 24 days)... But we have bad growth in only ONE city (Delhi) as of now, though Hyderabad with +214 cases today will soon join the bad city list...

The way Bengaluru is adding more and more cases every day (up to +55 today at 7% growth), I am getting concerned of Bengaluru also. Lucknow is another city that is looking a little trouble some now (+74 today at 10% growth)


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 18 updates: +430 UNA, +174 ODI, +97 KER, +9 TPR, +9 MIZ, +3 CHD, and early numbers +114 HAR, +84 RAJ, +82 ASM,+57 UK, +53 BIH, +4 HP, +1 DNHDD, +1 ANI

Update: +425 AP... It is actually raging in the towns/villages in the western half of AP. Lots of testing too.
Update: +604 in UP... Need to see if there is an unusual rise in the states. But a pretty good rise in the state.
Update: +210 in KAR (but 12 deaths... what is that from? awaiting district-wise split... EDIT: 8 in Bengaluru)
Data: Only 17 in Bengaluru today. I hope they have brought in all cases connected to the cluster of these 8 deaths.
Update: +2141 in TN... Chennai has 1514, so the city is not quite dropping... but riding the peak.
Data: 26,736 tests today!!! ... Positivity down a bit more, to 8% ... TN numbers are on a down-slope for sure.
Update: +182 in MP
Update: +510 in GUJ, as the set rates continue, with 31 deaths also, as set :(
Update: +435 in WB, +49 in Goa, +118 in PUN, +54 in MNP
Update: +231 in RAJ (night) for 315 today
Update: +3752 in MAH. This.is.not.good.... Need it below 3500 again soon. Deaths: 100. Not terrible on that count.
Update: This was from 16729 tests. So positivity 22.4% and still not dropping. They need to pool test and do 25K... Come on Uddhav!!
Update: +149 in J&K
Update: +272 in HAR (night) to 386 today. PHEW!! I was fearing a 600+ today after 550 and 560 the last two days. Thank you Lord :)
Update: +22 in UK (night) for 79 today, +43 in BIH (night) for 100 today, +6 in HP (night) for 10 today
Update: +82 in CHG, +22 in JH
Update: +84 in ASM (night) for 166 today. Again a small drop there. Good. Himantabhai went to sleep early?
Update: +352 in TEL. And finally, what we always knew would happen, happens. Hyderabad +302. Resign KCR, resign, you idiot!
Update: +11 in TPR (night) for 20 today.
Update: +26 in PUD
Update: +2877 in DEL
Data: Delhi did 8726 tests at 33% positivity. No sign of mass testing after the big talk from politicians. Bullshit!
Update: +43 in ASM (midnight) for 209. Haha, yeah right, Mr. Sarma was going to sleep early. Nope. Here he comes.

+13,826 and that is pretty much final.


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jayakris
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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 18 summary: +13826 to 381,091 at a daily growth rate of 3.765% and a doubling period of 18.8 days
Deaths: +342 to 12,604 .... Overall death rate drops a bit sharply to 3.31%
Recoveries: +10743 to 205,182, so overall recovery ratio is 53.8%

Today's bad areas:
+2877 (6.1%) to 49979 in Delhi, DEL
+750 (4.9%) to 16023 in Pune division (Pune/Solapur/Satara), MAH
+613 (5.4%) to 11979 in areas outside Chennnai/Chengalpattu, TN
+430 (5.2%) to 8703 in the Unassigned category
+425 (6.0%) to 7496 in the state of AP
+302 (8.0%) to 4066 in Hyderabad, TEL

No other contiguous areas in the states had a growth rate more than 20% over above our national average today (3.765*1.20 = 4.52%) and 250+ new cases... The bad areas together had +5397 cases to take their total to 98,246 cases at a bad area growth rate of 5.81%... The rest of the country had +8429 cases to take their total to 282,845 at a good area growth rate of 3.07%.

Again, areas with 74% of our cases grew at just about 3 percent rate today. That is driving our national growth rate. The cases are all very well distributed now across all areas and all big and small cities, except two -- Delhi and the new bad boy Hyderabad (Hello CharMinar... You won't let us relax and have one for a while, we know :))


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Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

Post by jayakris »

June 19 updates: +224 in UNA, +165 ODI, +118 KER, +57 LDK, +16 PUD, +5 NAG, +4 DNHDD, +2 ANI, +1 CHD, and early numbers +138 BIH, +115 HAR, +52 RAJ, +24 HP, +24 UK

Update: +365 in AP... Testing all over and adding asymptomatic numbers like TN. Trace more, so you can test less :)
Update: +337 in KAR... Argh. Yikes. +138 in Bengaluru... There.we.go.again....
Update: +2115 in TN. Only 1257 in Chennai.
Data: It was 27,537 tests. So, 7.7% positivity, which again drops a good bit.
Update: +540 in GUJ. They raised their rate to 550 max, I think. 27 deaths. A very slight drop there.
Update: +156 in MP, +75 in MNP, +20 Goa, +72 in CHG
Comment: The reports are coming out very slow today. Not sure why. RS elections?
Update: +125 in J&K, +27 in TPR
Update: +499 from TEL (329 from Hyderabad). :damn:
Data: They finally gave daily test numbers. 2477 tests. That is 20.1% positivity :(
Update: +809 in UP. No wonder they took time to report it. Argh, argh. (So, instead of "Unassigned" cases, UP took them in today)
Data: 311 of the UP cases are in the districts just west of Delhi, Noida/Ghaziabad/Bulandshahar/Hapur/Aligarh/Sambhal/Mathura
Update: +355 in WB. At least things are well under control and contained in WB. Thanks Mamata didi!
Update: +50 in UK (night) for 74 today; +8 in HP (night) for 32 today
Update: +3827 in MAH. 142 deaths. It was 1264 in Mumbai.
Data: MAH did 18960 tests today, their highest number. Still 20.2% positivity. [EDIT: Correction. 17991 tests at 21.3%]
Update: +217 in PUN
Hope: Can we stay under 14K today?
Update: +41 in JH
Update: +410 in HAR (night) for 525 today.
Update: +247 in RAJ (night) for 299 today.
Update: +112 in BIH (night) for 250
Update: +3137 in DEL. ARGH :damn: (I guess yesterday's 456 antigen test positives were added today)
Data: Delhi did 13074 tests today, so it included 7000+ antigen tests and +456 positives (6000+ RTPCR for 2700).
Data: Total positivity in DEL dropped quickly from 30+ percent to 23.1%... Good! :)
Update: +102 in ASM, +13 in ARP, and +10 in DNHDD (night) for 14 in today.

+14,721 and that is a final.