Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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Kumar
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

Not good news on vaccine front for elderly!
Norwegian officials have adjusted their advice on who gets the COVID-19 vaccine in light of a small number of deaths in older people, leaving it up to each doctor to consider who should be vaccinated.
It would be interesting to know if this happened after first dose or second dose

https://apnews.com/article/denmark-coro ... 9626c15844
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

^^^ Whoa, 13 deaths from 30,000 shots? That is way too many. What is going on? That is some 430 deaths per million, which is much more than the world average of deaths from Covid right now (259 per million people) ... Huh?? Really??
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Meanwhile, India had only +15.1K cases today, but our testing numbers are coming down a bit. Not sure if it is because healthcare folks are being reassigned to vaccination work or something. Only 845K tests reported by the states on Thursday (so 1.79% positivity)... That is some 240K tests fewer than on last Thursday. Deaths were only 176 today, and our 7-day average fell by another 472 to just 15.9K now.

Unbelievable as it may seem, India was only 11th in new cases today (Friday), and 15th in the number of deaths, among all countries.

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ICMR Update: 185,765,491 total tests... Friday tests: 803,090... Lab count: 2333
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by suresh »

First day of #COVID19 vaccination in Chennai. Volunteers call the procedure smooth and painless.



Link to Tweet
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

jayakris wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 3:57 am ^^^ Whoa, 13 deaths from 30,000 shots? That is way too many. What is going on? That is some 430 deaths per million, which is much more than the world average of deaths from Covid right now (259 per million people) ... Huh?? Really??
This is the total for entire population right! If we just look at the numbers for elderly, the vaccination totals may be far less
Very troublesome! And I don’t think Oxford did whole lot of testing with elderly! May definitely scare off elderly people and their caregivers
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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Kumar wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 7:00 pmThis is the total for entire population right! If we just look at the numbers for elderly, the vaccination totals may be far less. Very troublesome! And I don’t think Oxford did whole lot of testing with elderly! May definitely scare off elderly people and their caregivers
But I think those deaths came from Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, not AstraZeneca(Oxford). It is all pretty confusing. I think the whole world is taking some chances and letting things get started. There will be a bit of an unsettled few months before everything becomes somewhat clear.
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Only +15K cases today in India, from about 907K tests at 1.66% positivity... The test numbers went back up a bit. Good. Kerala has had the 7-average go up, but the tests are up about 10-15% this week, and positivity has dropped a tad bit, so the crap will hopefully start to end sometime in the near future. But there were about 6K today from Kerala. Outside of KER and MAH, there were only 6.2K cases in India, today. Amazing. 181 deaths. The 7-day average fell by 479 to 15.4K.

191.2K people were vaccinated today on Day 1 of the world's largest vaccination drive. I think they wanted to do 300K. Of course, we need to be doing 4 or 5 million a day in 3 or 4 months time, to get to even one third of our population in the next half an year. Not sure if they are planning to do it at such rates.

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ICMR Update: 186,544,868 total tests... Saturday tests: 779,377 (again it is low... consistently more than 100K below the states' count too)... Lab count: 2336
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Vaccination data after Day 1

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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

Very low numbers for states like TN, Telangana! Guess the machinery has not kicked up
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Kumar wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 11:40 pmVery low numbers for states like TN, Telangana! Guess the machinery has not kicked up
True. I have started keeping a spreadsheet (assuming the data will be available daily like tweeted out by the ministry today) to calculate basic stats. Among the larger states, AP leads after one day with 353 shots per million population. Kerala, Delhi and Karnataka follow with 230, 218 and 207. At the bottom end, TN is the worst at 39, with Punjab, Jharkhand, UP, TEL, WB with 44, 83, 95, 98 and 100... The national average is 143.

It is early though. Not sure why TN fell to the bottom end like that. Unusual.

A nice update article from India Today... Maharashtra won't do vaccination for 2 days. Technical glitch. What's new? Golly, Maharashtra!... Rajasthan will do it only 4 days every week... Mamata asking the center to give it free for the state... B.Biotech has promised compensation for all who suffer serious adverse after-effect. Etc.
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by suresh »

Yesterday was Kaanum Pongal and that might be the reason for the low number. The state will effectively restart from Monday.
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by suresh »

FYI

Insights from a Pan India Sero-Epidemiological survey (Phenome-India Cohort) for SARS-CoV2
Abstract: Background: India has been amongst the most affected nations during the SARS CoV2 pandemic, with sparse data on country wide spread of asymptomatic infections and antibody persistence. This longitudinal cohort study was aimed to evaluate SARS CoV2 seropositivity rate as a marker of infection and evaluate temporal persistence of antibodies with neutralization capability and to infer possible risk factors for infection. Methods: Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, India (CSIR) with its more than 40 laboratories and centers in urban and semi urban settings spread across the country piloted the pan country surveillance. 10427 adult individuals working in CSIR laboratories and their family members based on voluntary participation were assessed for antibody presence and stability was analyzed over 6 months utilizing qualitative Elecysys SARS CoV2 specific antibody kit and GENScript cPass SARS CoV2 Neutralization Antibody Detection Kit. Along with demographic information, possible risk factors were evaluated through self to be filled online forms with data acquired on blood group type, occupation type, addiction and habits including smoking and alcohol, diet preferences, medical history and transport type utilized. Symptom history and information on possible contact and compliance with COVID 19 universal precautions was also obtained. Findings:1058 individuals (10.14%) had antibodies against SARS CoV2. A follow up on 346 seropositive individuals after three months revealed stable to higher antibody levels against SARS CoV2 but declining plasma activity for neutralizing SARS CoV2 receptor binding domain and ACE2 interaction. A repeat sampling of 35 individuals, at six months, revealed declining antibody levels while the neutralizing activity remained stable compared to three months. Majority of seropositive individuals (75%) did not recall even one of nine symptoms since March 2020. Fever was the most common symptom with one fourth reporting loss of taste or smell. Significantly associated risks for seropositivity (Odds Ratio, 95% CI, p value) were observed with usage of public transport (1.79, 1.43 to 2∙24, 2.81561x10-6), occupational responsibilities such as security, housekeeping personnel etc. (2.23, 1.92 to 2.59, 6.43969x10-26), non smokers (1.52, 1.16 to 1.99, 0.02) and non vegetarianism (1.67, 1.41 to 1.99, 3.03821x10-8). An iterative regression analysis was confirmatory and led to only modest changes to estimates. Predilections for seropositivity was noted with specific ABO blood groups; O was associated with a lower risk. Interpretation: In a first of its kind study from India, we report the seropositivity in a country wide cohort and identify variable susceptible associations for contacting infection. Serology and Neutralizing Antibody response provides much sought for general insights on the immune response to the virus among Indians and will be an important resource for designing vaccination strategies. Funding: Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, India (CSIR)
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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suresh wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:46 am Yesterday was Kaanum Pongal and that might be the reason for the low number. The state will effectively restart from Monday.
Makes sense! Numbers should see uptick starting Monday then!
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

224K immunized today.... EDIT: Hold on... All kinds of numbers flying around from the ministry, so no idea :)

Looks like only around 35K (EDIT: 17K only) or so was done today, which is probably also because it was a Sunday. [EDIT: Okay, it was revised to 207,229 yesterday and 17,072 today for 224,301 total so far.

Meanwhile, a fairly well-balanced opinion article by Chanakya in The Hindustan Times - In India, the story of Covid-19 vaccines

Pakistan approved the AstraZeneca vaccine, but they don't know how to get India to give them Covishield. I think we should give the bug country a million doses or something and help the people. And make a big hoopla about it for PR too.
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

This was quite an interesting study. I took a quick look at the paper too. Here is a summary from Indian Express - Seropositivity for COVID-19 found to be lesser in smokers, vegetarians: CSIR survey

Weird that smokers get it less. Why??...
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