Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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suresh
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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by suresh »

Kumar wrote: Wed Jun 15, 2022 5:01 am Did u all get any updates from Prasen? Just wanted to check if he is okay after getting covid. Have not seen him post after Wednesday
He has recovered and is doing fine! I chatted with him on FB.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

suresh wrote: Wed Jun 15, 2022 5:41 am
Kumar wrote: Wed Jun 15, 2022 5:01 am Did u all get any updates from Prasen? Just wanted to check if he is okay after getting covid. Have not seen him post after Wednesday
He has recovered and is doing fine! I chatted with him on FB.
Thanks for the update!


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Nice to know that Prasen is fine!!

The case additions on Tuesday, June 14th were: ANI 1, AP 33, ARP 0, ASM 10, BIH 26, CHD 48, CHG 38, DNHDD 0, DEL 1118, Goa 104, GUJ 165, HAR 430, HP 8, J&K 18, JH 18, KAR 594, KER 1989, LDK 5, LKS 0, MP 43, MAH 2956, MNP 0, MEG 1, MIZ 45, NAG 0, ODI 23, PUD 16, PUN 62, RAJ 88, SKM 3, TN 332, TEL 219, TPR 1, UK 25, UP 284, WB 135

The total addition was a +8,837 that raised our average by +513 to 7,889... There were 8 deaths (4 in Maharashtra, 2 in Delhi, and 1 each in MP and RAJ) and Kerala added 7 more old deaths to it.

The Wednesday numbers will give us the level of case totals this week. We may cross 10K or even 12K.


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Re: Tokyo Olympics 2020 projections

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Atithee wrote: Mon Mar 02, 2020 3:31 am To me, this should be an eye opener for the world. The entire world supply chain can simply not be concentrated in one place. Thoughts?
No one responded at that time but how well said! Companies are still struggling with this and are now opening centers in other locations.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

^^^ True. But there are signs of some changes these days. Nothing too substantial though, probably.

Meanwhile, the numbers for June 15, Wednesday were: ANI 5, AP 53, ARP 0, ASM 21, BIH 43, CHD 22, CHG 58, DNHDD 0, DEL 1375, Goa 82, GUJ 184, HAR 596, HP 40, J&K 25, JH 14, KAR 648, KER 3488, LDK 10, LKS 0, MP 57, MAH 4024, MNP 1, MEG 6, MIZ 17, NAG 2, ODI 22, PUD 18, PUN 74, RAJ 77, SKM 1, TN 476, TEL 205, TPR 0, UK 26, UP 313, WB 230

That yields a total of +12,226 taking our average up by +715 to 715 to 8,613... There were 8 deaths (2 i MAH and 1 each in GUJ, HP, KAR, TN, UK, UP) and KER added 3 earlier deaths.

So it hit the 12K I was expecting at the upper end. The wave is not slowing down in its rise. We may see it rise to much much higher over the coming weeks, or we may see an inflection point sooner, but no clue as of now.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

The case totals on Thursday, June 16th were: ANI 1, AP 39, ARP 1, ASM 15, BIH 40, CHD 35, CHG 0, DNHDD 0, DEL 1323, Goa 112, GUJ 228, HAR 625, HP 26, J&K 22, JH 23, KAR 833, KER 3419, LDK 0, LKS 0, MP 60, MAH 4255, MNP 0, MEG 31, MIZ 21, NAG 0, ODI 41, PUD 19, PUN 92, RAJ 115, SKM 3, TN 552, TEL 285, TPR 0, UK 20, UP 413, WB 198

The national total was +12,843, which brought our weekly average of daily cases up by +752 to 9,355... There were 6 deaths (3 in MAH, 2 in DEL and 1 in KAR) and KER added 8 earlier deaths to it.

Now TN is also over 500 :(... Gujarat, Telangana, Rajasthan, Bengal etc slowly going up too. AP may have just started.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

The state-wise numbers for Friday, June 17th were: ANI 15, AP 46, ARP 0, ASM 11, BIH 72, CHD 55, CHG 153, DNHDD 0, DEL 1797, Goa 128, GUJ 225, HAR 689, HP 31, J&K 22, JH 15, KAR 634, KER 3162, LDK 1, LKS 0, MP 71, MAH 4165, MNP 0, MEG 3, MIZ 17, NAG 0, ODI 25, PUD 31, PUN 109, RAJ 84, SKM 1, TN 589, TEL 279, TPR 0, UK 30, UP 461, WB 295

That sums up to +13,220 and takes weekly average of daily case additions up by +698 to 10,053... There were 10 deaths (3 in MAH, 2 in KAR, and 1 each in DEL, MEG, PUN, UK, UP) with KER adding 13 more old ones.

Delhi/HAR/UP have gone back up again. TN and Karnataka keep going up.. Bengal, Telangana, Gujarat catching up... It looks like this will be a long slow-bleeding wave which will be there for the next several weeks, if at all it is going to go down. Maybe not. Vaccine immunity going down is most probably the main reason for this wave. I don't know if we are going to focus more attention on speeding up booster vaccinations again, but at least ICMR' said yesterday that the gap to the boosters is being reduced to 6 months now. Good idea!!


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

The case additions for Saturday, June 18th were: ANI 9, AP 43, ARP 1, ASM 25, BIH 69, CHD 64, CHG 94, DNHDD 0, DEL 1534, Goa 139, GUJ 234, HAR 712, HP 30, J&K 27, JH 24, KAR 750, KER 3253, LDK 3, LKS 0, MP 65, MAH 3883, MNP 1, MEG 0, MIZ 17, NAG 0, ODI 38, PUD 21, PUN 92, RAJ 123, SKM 0, TN 596, TEL 247, TPR 0, UK 30, UP 477, WB 288

That leads to +12,889 nationally, raising our daily average by +615 to 10,668... There were 8 deaths (3 in DEL, 2 in MAH, and 1 each in MP, PUN and RAJ) and KER added 7 old deaths.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

jayakris wrote: Sun Jun 19, 2022 4:14 am The case additions for Saturday, June 18th were: ANI 9, AP 43, ARP 1, ASM 25, BIH 69, CHD 64, CHG 94, DNHDD 0, DEL 1534, Goa 139, GUJ 234, HAR 712, HP 30, J&K 27, JH 24, KAR 750, KER 3253, LDK 3, LKS 0, MP 65, MAH 3883, MNP 1, MEG 0, MIZ 17, NAG 0, ODI 38, PUD 21, PUN 92, RAJ 123, SKM 0, TN 596, TEL 247, TPR 0, UK 30, UP 477, WB 288

That leads to +12,889 nationally, raising our daily average by +615 to 10,668... There were 8 deaths (3 in DEL, 2 in MAH, and 1 each in MP, PUN and RAJ) and KER added 7 old deaths.
The raise in 7 day average is almost same as last Saturday! So looks like very similar to the first wave in 2020, when our numbers were raising slowly?


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

Kumar wrote: Sun Jun 19, 2022 4:58 am The raise in 7 day average is almost same as last Saturday! So looks like very similar to the first wave in 2020, when our numbers were raising slowly?
That is right. The rise of the wave is very slow like in the first wave. The reason for that may be quite different though. The first time it was because the people were much less mobile (the railways and flights were all shut down through that period) and so the virus went from place to place very slowly, while this time it is probably because people are not getting infected at anywhere near that rate and so the movement of the virus from community to community and people to people is slow.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by jayakris »

The state-wise numbers for Sunday, June 19th were: ANI 3, AP 61, ARP 0, ASM 9, BIH 55, CHD 73, CHG 46, DNHDD 0, DEL 1530, Goa 78, GUJ 244, HAR 486, HP 8, J&K 32, JH 24, KAR 623, KER 3376, LDK 3, LKS 0, MP 62, MAH 4004, MNP 0, MEG 2, MIZ 2, NAG 0, ODI 51, PUD 21, PUN 103, RAJ 83, SKM 3, TN 692, TEL 236, TPR 0, UK 19, UP 490, WB 362

That yields a national total of +12,806, raising our daily case addition average by a +671 to 11,339... There were 7 deaths (3 in Delhi and 1 each in KAR, MAH, PUN and UP), and Kerala added 11 old deaths.

It is rather comforting that the death numbers are still not going up much, more than a month into this wave. Surely there are some 10 times as many deaths happening in India but it would still be not much more than 100 or so a day, which is much less than what we saw in the earlier waves.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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The numbers for Monday, June 20th were: ANI 4, AP 25, ARP 0, ASM 26, BIH 35, CHD 45, CHG 69, DNHDD 0, DEL 1060, Goa 78, GUJ 217, HAR 684, HP 51, J&K 19, JH 11, KAR 530, KER 2786, LDK 5, LKS 0, MP 71, MAH 2354, MNP 1, MEG 0, MIZ 18, NAG 0, ODI 46, PUD 8, PUN 79, RAJ 67, SKM 0, TN 686, TEL 246, TPR 0, UK 12, UP 466, WB 224

That sums up to a +9,907, and takes our weekly average of daily cases up by +479 to 11,818... There were 12 deaths (6 in Delhi, 2 in MAH, and 1 each in HP, J&K, UP, WB) and then Kerala added 5 old deaths.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

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The case totals for Tuesday, June 21st were: ANI 8, AP 70, ARP 1, ASM 24, BIH 63, CHD 79, CHG 88, DNHDD 0, DEL 1383, Goa 135, GUJ 226, HAR 611, HP 40, J&K 25, JH 16, KAR 738, KER 2609, LDK 10, LKS 0, MP 80, MAH 3659, MNP 1, MEG 4, MIZ 20, NAG 1, ODI 53, PUD 34, PUN 105, RAJ 114, SKM 1, TN 737, TEL 403, TPR 0, UK 18, UP 487, WB 406

That sums up to +12,247 and raises our daily average up by +487 to 12,305... There were 5 deaths (1 each in DEL, J&K, MAH, UP, WB) and KER added 8 old deaths.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by Kumar »

Is Maharashtra and Delhi is starting to flatten? The 7 day average has dropped.

Interesting how newspapers report covid numbers. For example in Maharashtra the leading newspapers earlier today Reported 55% increase for Tuesday number . Even though this is true and factual, it provides no service to the people(the 7 day increase was just 100 , a mere 3% increase

By the way, Is covid a biggest step back for environment?
https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/chinas- ... in-3082423

The amount of waste generated with use of mask, disposable scrubs(our dentist office charged $10 for disposable kits - gloves, gowns, etc). Also, the store stopped use of recycled bags and reuse coffee mugs as well for more than a year before slowly bringing it back.


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Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Post by rajitghosh »

I think real numbers are not getting reported. If I use my office as a case study, there are RAT kits available. Those who test positive go into self quarantine. Some of them do RT-PCR but the milder ones who don't need to see a doctor can get away without a RT-PCR. Also mandatory testing of all contacts is not happening any more. Lot of people who have mild symptoms don't even bother to get RAT done. RAT results don't get reported to the Government.
In general as cases are mild nobody is panicking. In fact nobody is even bothered. However, those who took the 2nd doese long ago and didn't take the 3rd dose or din't have covid in between are having more severe symptoms. I guess those would be the ones mostly showing up in the numbers.