Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

[jayakris]

So we had 69.2K today. But this was from 902K tests at a 7.68% positivity, which actually dropped our 3-day average positivity to 7.5% which is pretty good, on a spike day. Wednesday was the spike day last week also, so our 7-day average case count hardly moved up much. So it is about 8 days in the 61.7K to 62.9K range for the 7-day average. That graphs looks flattened for now. But not dropping. Maybe on a slow rise.

If I am to guess, the daily additions graph will go up at a minor rate from now on, or even drop. But I see no indication of a big rate-increase at all. It is all way too well-distributed across the districts in the country now. It is all down to 2.5% growth rate (28+ days doubling), and about 55.5K of our 69K today came from calmer districts where the average growth is now around 2.2% ... No wonder that the active cases graph is at a peak and not growing much at all.

All is good. All the states need to keep going at whatever they are doing. Good news may come sooner than we think. Not seeing much bad news, anyway

[suresh]

Was the mom tested again or she does not have any symptoms now ?

Just asking to confirm that there are no reinfections to the same person. If that is confirmed, we can have some faith that we will get a peak at some point of time.

RT-PCR tests do not distinguish between active and inactive RNA. So a person might continue to test positive up to 60 days after the infection even though the active virus is gone by 15 days. So it does not make sense to have his mom re-tested. However, it makes sense that the son and husband get tested.

[Omkara]

When the mom got infected, all three were tested. Only her test came positive. Then she gets better, gets tested again, tests negative and goes back to work. And it has been almost 2-3 weeks since then.

i am wondering what is the source of the current infection for dad and son. The results will out tomorrow. I am hoping it's a negative.

[suresh]

It could just be a different (not covid19) infection. Let's hope for a negative.

This article discusses what I mentioned above.

Are you infectious if you have a positive PCR test result for COVID-19?

[Omkara]

So we had 69.2K today. But this was from 902K tests at a 7.68% positivity, which actually dropped our 3-day average positivity to 7.5% which is pretty good, on a spike day. Wednesday was the spike day last week also, so our 7-day average case count hardly moved up much. So it is about 8 days in the 61.7K to 62.9K range for the 7-day average. That graphs looks flattened for now. But not dropping. Maybe on a slow rise.

If I am to guess, the daily additions graph will go up at a minor rate from now on, or even drop. But I see no indication of a big rate-increase at all. It is all way too well-distributed across the districts in the country now. It is all down to 2.5% growth rate (28+ days doubling), and about 55.5K of our 69K today came from calmer districts where the average growth is now around 2.2% ... No wonder that the active cases graph is at a peak and not growing much at all.

All is good. All the states need to keep going at whatever they are doing. Good news may come sooner than we think. Not seeing much bad news, anyway

While positivity rates look good, the trend looks similar. So best guess is, as you said, the daily addition graph goes up at a minor rate. Active cases graph has plateaued and that's good too. If only maha and ap and Karnataka gets their act together. Phew

[jayakris]

ICMR Update: 32,661,252 total ... Tests on Wednesday: 918,470 ... That is the highest number they have reported so far. Maybe the states will show something similar. Hopefully the positivity will improve and we will not cross 70K. Lab count: +8 to 1494

[Omkara]

Both my colleague and his dad tested positive. Home quarantine for now.

Very high tests for today. There can be a surge in numbers for sure .

[jayakris]

Looks okay so far, Omakara. Tests are a bit a higher, but probably won't go over 925K. The case totals seem to be a tad bit lower so far, though KAR and MAH could change all that.

Here is a stat for the day. More policemen in Maharashtra have had COVID (12,877 cases) than the the case total in all but 80 of the 200 odd countries in the world. More than the case total in countries like Norway, Hungary, Malaysia, Greece, Thailand, Vietnam, and so on... Just the policemen who have had it in MAH. There is a higher death total (133) among just policemen in MAH than is the death total in all but 95 of 200 odd countries. Unbelievable, really.

And still nobody in Maharashtra notices, and it's not like there are street riots about the extreme incompetence of the Government and the officials. Heck, not even a street corner protest with a few people that would have made some news. That shows me a state where democracy is completely failing, with the press and media being the worst culprits behind it. They are the ones to bring out the gravity of the situation, because we know that our politicians are (and have always been) clueless. If not question Uddhav because of fear of Shivsena backlash or something, somebody should at least be going after the officials for their incompetence. Absolutely nothing happens. That is totally disheartening.

When 21000 deaths do not bring out an outcry, there is something really wrong with the social systems in Maharashtra. The public, the politicians, the officials and the press are ALL responsible.

[jayakris]

And here it comes. 14,647 from the out-of-control state run by incompetent politicians, where the opposition parties are also spineless and cluless, and where people are so numb as to even raise a protest (or many don't even care)

14,647 in Maharashtra. This damned state keeps on spoiling our happiness, not to mention being the stating point of almost all spread in India.

[jayakris]

And they did 76K tests at 19% positivity, which keeps going up, not down. Is Uddhav hellbent on getting everybody in Maharashtra infected or what? is nobody going to do anything about this?

Now the blame really must go to Modiji in Delhi. How long more should you wait before you do something, sir? Here is a state that is literally making people die by the truckloads. And you are going to do nothing?

[suresh]

In Chennai, a corporation guy forced my friend who had a cold to take the test and he came out negative.

@jay Maharashtra is now like a forest fire that has gone out of control. It is shocking to see the numbers of cops who have tested positive.

[rajitghosh]

MSRTC long distance buses have been allowed to run. Is this a recipe for spreading the virus far and wide?

[jayakris]

@jay Maharashtra is now like a forest fire that has gone out of control. It is shocking to see the numbers of cops who have tested positive.

It is even more shocking that NOBODY is talking about this in India. This state has the 5th largest case total in the world. And after 5 friggin months of this bullshit and 21K deaths, they are giving the 4th most number of cases today, of all countries in the world. Only two foreign countries (Brazil and the US) have more cases these days than Maharashtra each day.

And the newspapers talk about the details of movie stars and cricketers. And ganesh puja. And all this bullshit main headline:

"Pained because I have been grossly misunderstood, says Prashant Bhushan" - The Hindu
"Steve Bannon Charged" - Times of India
"Ladakh Border Row" - Indian Express.
"India likely a topic: Pak FM strategic meeting in Hainan" - Hindustan Times

I saw so many articles that Sachin Tendular is looking for his first Maruti 800 car. THAT is news.

326 deaths in Maharashtra is no news.

[sameerph]

True and no news channel is now even giving 10% of it's time to Covid. Half of them going on about Sushant issue all the time and half on something else.

[rajitghosh]

Jay you missed the biggest one. The Sushant Singh Rajput conspiracy theories. That is the biggest topic of discussion.
As far as covid is concerned people are happy Pune had 51% people showing antibodies in the sero survey and Dharavi has been controlled. People are highly optimistic now that covid is over.