Search found 26634 matches

by jayakris
Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:40 am
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

ICMR Update: 12,412,664 Total tests... Tuesday tests: 320,161 ... Ouch. So, will we see 33K tomorrow at the current positivity rate, or will the positivity come down? I'm scared to look at the numbers that are about to come out on Wednesday! We should probably be testing at 500K per day right now, b...
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 7:45 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

I don't know if any of you remember me saying one day a long time ago, maybe 2+ months ago, that all the bad areas then were in a polygon from Bombay to Ahmedabad to Delhi to Meerut to Hyderabad and back to Mumbai (Mumbai, Pune, Surat, Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Udaipur, Gurugram, Delhi, Meerut, Noida, Agra...
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)
Replies: 65
Views: 5403

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

July 14th Summary : +29,842 to 937,487 at a daily growth rate of 3.288% and doubling period of 21.5 days . Deaths: +587 to 24,315 ... The second-highest total we've had, but the overall death rate drops to 2.59% Recoveries: +20,968 to 593,080, so a good day... Overall recovery ratio is now 63.3% Ba...
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:34 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Good news. For the first time in some 3 months, the Mumbai positivity fell below 20%... 5241 tests and 969 positives (BMC number) for 18.5% ... The positivity has been steadily dropping by about 2 or 3 percent week to week, as I compare the same days of the week.
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 1:34 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

^^^ No idea, as I have not seen proper official responses on it. My guess is that they removed the Antigen tests from the count. The problem is that adding the antigen tests is a little weird because it will miss some of the positives (generally the very asymptomatic or low viral load cases, who rea...
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:47 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)
Replies: 65
Views: 5403

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

July 14th Updates : -179 UNA, +63 PUD, +55 HP, +51 NAG, +35 LDK, +5 DNHDD, +2 MEG, and early numbers +98 RAJ Update: +543 in ODI... Update: +1432 in BIH... Distributed growth with Patna at +162 Data: 10018 tests @ 14.3% Bihar has a serious testing problem now. This cropped up in 2 weeks flat! :( Up...
by jayakris
Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:13 am
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

ICMR Testing update: 12,092,503 total... Monday tests: 286,247 ... So Monday itself is back to the Sunday Saturday numbers (a bit more)... Stay under 29K for Tuesday, please... But my wishes are not getting granted these days :( ... Lab Count update: +6 to 1206 . Not enough. Tuesday starts with a -2...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 7:25 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)
Replies: 65
Views: 5403

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

July 13 Summary : +28,178 to 907,645 at a daily growth rate of 3.20% and doubling period of 22.1 days . Deaths: +540 to 23,727... Overall death rate: 2.61% Recoveries: +17,683 to 572,112... Overall recovery ratio: 63.0% Bad Areas: +2738 (7.0%) to 41581 in the state of KAR +1935 (6.6%) to 31103 in t...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 3:07 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

How many tests in BLR? Not sure of tests in BLR, but I think it is no more than 5 or 6K. The rest of the state is probably still under 8 percent or so in positivity but BLR may be over 20 or 25% now, for all we know. The cities are all screwed because we don't have enough healthcare personnel, and ...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)
Replies: 65
Views: 5403

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

July 13 Updates : -666 UNA, +71 NAG, +50 PUD, +29 CHD, +13 DNHDD, +7 LDK, +2 SKM, and early numbers +242 HAR, _95 RAJ, +14 JH, +4 HP Update: +616 ODI... It is still the rual Ganjam dist with migrant returnees (+283). Cuttack is totally calm. Update: +1116 BIH... Not good in Patna , with 229. The wh...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 4:49 am
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

^^^ Actually the care total went from 309,603 to 879,447 which means it beccame 2.84 times bigger - so it more than doubled. I think you calculated it differently, but this is the correct calculation. In fact, in the next 30 days, if the current linear growth rate of daily cases holds, we will see o...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 1:17 am
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

The doubling rate has certainly accelerated in the last few days. Actually the doubling period is still getting longer. It was in the 19.5 day range last week but moved up to around 21 days now. I expect it to go to 23 or so next week. The daily additions are still linear, which means the doubling ...
by jayakris
Mon Jul 13, 2020 1:10 am
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Revisiting my predictions from 2 weeks ago (June 28), which was checked and revised in my post last Sunday (July 5): But I have to raise the window slightly for next Sunday, as things did not slow down enough this past week. Revised 7-day prediction for next Sunday (Jul12): 860K-880K New 14-day (fir...
by jayakris
Sun Jul 12, 2020 6:44 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)
Replies: 65
Views: 5403

Re: Covid-19 Daily Number Updates (June 12 onward)

July 12 Summary : +29,105 to 879,466 at a daily growth rate of 3.422% and a doubling period of 20.7 days Deaths: +500 to 23,187...Not our worst day, I guess. Overall death rate drops even more to 2.64% Recoveries: +18,139 to 554,370, so the overall recovery ratio is at 63.0% Bad Areas: +2122 (5.0%)...
by jayakris
Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: General Chit Chat
Topic: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)
Replies: 3157
Views: 68131

Re: Coronavirus SARS-Cov2 (COVID-19)

Amitabh Bachchan believes in homeopathy. Apparently Arsenicum Album 30 can do the job according to homeopathy. But that is a bit of a slow long-term process to build immunity. Once you test positive, you better be ready to go into a regular hospital and get oxygen support if you get worse. Has ther...